At the beginning of the season, everyone has predictions and their picks to go to the big dance.
Many are picking the obvious powerhouses, while others are going with sleeper teams. I think the NFC East is looking like it will be quite the battle this year. Everyone is expecting the Dallas Cowboys to come out strong, but with the New York Giants losing Michael Strahan to retirement and defensive end Osi Umenyiora to injury, no one is expecting them to be so dominant.
Oh, and let's not forget the Philadelphia Eagles! If they stay healthy, they
win the NFC East. The vaunted Cowboys will be dethroned and the defending Super Bowl champs will not repeat. The problem with the Cowboys is that their quarterback Tony Romo is too small. By the end of the year, he will be beat down and really throwing off his back foot! The football season is a grueling experience and it wears you down physically.
Another issue with the 'Boys is their running back. Yes, they have Pro Bowler Marion Barber. Remember this phrase: "You can't turn a 2 into a 1." What I mean is when a guy is used to coming off the bench and carrying the rock 10 to 15 times, it's hard to all of sudden to increase his carries to 20 to 25. Remember what happened to him in the playoffs -- big first half and nothing in second half. I know it may sound crazy, but let's see how the year plays out.
The most important aspect in making those predictions is looking at the value of the team's players, their underlying assets and their environment. The same goes for picking stocks.
For a great play today, check our
. For those of you not familiar with this company, it is a home improvement retailer. The company provides a range of products and services, including decorations, maintenance, repairs and remodeling.
Since mid-July, when it hit its 52-week low of $18, this company has climbed off the deck, but it's still off more than 15% in the last year. It is off its highest point in the last year of $32.53.
When I look at this company, I like the stats I'm seeing. It has a beta of 0.89, meaning it's not that volatile of a stock. It has revenue of more than $48 billion and operating income of more than $5 billion. The stock has hefty institutional support at 83%, which is also reassuring to me. It's got a return on equity of 15.51%, which isn't too shabby.
Lastly, its forward price-to-earnings ratio is 15.83. This is still a very reasonable rate. I feel very good about this pick not only because of its stats and where it has been in the last few months, but because of where I believe this company is going.
Keep moving the chains!
At the time of publication, Brown had no positions in stocks mentioned, although positions may change at any time.
Tim Brown played 16 seasons in the NFL, where he made nine Pro Bowls. After a brief stint with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in 2004, Brown retired as an Oakland Raider. He was a Heisman Trophy winner in college for Notre Dame.