The Times They Are A-Changin'
Must be something about these year-end things that gets you all nostalgic. When my wife decided to hang up her trading spurs five years ago, one thing she said she would not regret is the sheer phoniness of all of the newfangled companies that I wanted to trade.
Karen liked to trade
Maytag
(MYG)
and
Merck
(MRK) - Get Report
.
Cat
(CAT) - Get Report
and
Deere
(DE) - Get Report
were what the market was to her. She loved the autos and the drillers.
Toys R Us
(TOY)
and
Federated
(FD)
were her meat and potatoes. Tech? That's
IBM
(IBM) - Get Report
and
Data Gen
(DGN)
. I wanted
Cisco
(CSCO) - Get Report
. I believed in
Dell
(DELL) - Get Report
and
Sun Micro
(SUNW) - Get Report
.
Altera
(ALTR) - Get Report
and
Xilinx
(XLNX) - Get Report
made sense to me.
Microsoft
(MSFT) - Get Report
was worth more than
GE
(GE) - Get Report
to me even back then, and I wanted it on my sheets -- big. It drove her crazy, and she could never accept the notion that Cisco could be bigger than
General Motors
(GM) - Get Report
.
Now a new generation of names has taken over. Names like
Yahoo!
(YHOO)
and
Amazon
(AMZN) - Get Report
and
Excite
(XCIT)
. Names like
Lycos
(LCOS)
and
Inktomi
(INKT)
and
eBay
(EBAY) - Get Report
. I know it, and you know it. For most of this year, I struggled to not be like my wife -- and I am a huge believer in online! I skipped eBay and fought off Amazon. I laughed at
Onsale
(ONSL)
, and I derided
Infoseek
(SEEK)
.
But those stocks made you money in 1998. And that is all that matters. I don't give a rat's #^% about whether eBay is in business next year or not. I should have seen it coming when my wife liked the bidding. (I still think it is incredibly overvalued, but so what -- I wish I had those 200 points in my bank.)
So, as 1998 comes to an end, I have to remind myself that the most important part of my job, both as a fund manager and as a columnist, is to be open-minded, to not be mired in the
Western Digitals
(WDC) - Get Report
and
Seagates
(SEG)
when all around me are potential Yahoo!s and
AOLs
(AOL)
.
My wife, in the end, felt put out to pasture by Cisco. As much as I may scoff at the valuations the Net has put on many companies already, I must never let new stocks put me out to pasture. Her retirement was right. In the end, the Net stocks will retire a whole passel of money managers.
I don't want to be one of them.
Random musings:
The big switch to the new site design is rapidly approaching, and I am told that
TheStreet.com
will be heavily staffed this weekend (including execs) for customer-service purposes. Remember, these days I am so far removed from the action of
TheStreet.com
that I feel it is a large part of my job to represent the average customer of the site. Get the transition right, and this customer will be plenty happy. Get it wrong, and this customer will demonstrate a level of passion that I usually reserve for losing Philadelphia sports teams.
James J. Cramer is manager of a hedge fund and co-chairman of TheStreet.com. At the time of publication, his fund was long Cisco, Intel, Microsoft, America Online, Yahoo!, Amazon.com, General Electric, Western Digital and IBM, though positions may change at any time. Under no circumstances does the information in this column represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks. Cramer's writings provide insights into the dynamics of money management and are not a solicitation for transactions. While he cannot provide investment advice or recommendations, he invites you to comment on his column by sending a letter to TheStreet.com at
letters@thestreet.com.