The financial markets have fallen into a "great extreme paradigm" similar to what occurred in 1987, Woody Dorsey, president of Market Semiotics tells Aaron Task on Tuesday's the
Real Story podcast.
The rally may persist into summertime, but because the stock market's "spring break" in March proved short lived and shallow, the next decline is going to be of greater magnitude and longer duration, Dorsey says.
Dorsey's comments came on a day when the
Dow Jones Industrial Average
, Russell 2000, NYSE Composite and S&P MidCap Index finished at or just below all-time high levels. Such strength in stock proxies is one reason the
does not need to cut interest rates anytime soon, but also evidence the market doesn't really need a rate cut to rally, Task says.
editor-at-large notes good economic news such as Tuesday's stronger-than-expected housing starts data and tame inflation news, including Tuesday's CPI report, have been pushing stocks higher in recent weeks, which counters the notion the market craves a rate cut.
The stock market also has been buoyed by stronger-than-expected earnings news, which was embodied Tuesday by Dow components
Johnson & Johnson
. Those consumer giants, along with
, also have benefited from weakness in the dollar, but a falling greenback is another impediment to a Fed rate cut, Task says.
The earnings parade continued after the close Tuesday with stronger-than-expected results from
, but mixed data from
In the remainder of the podcast, Task discussed the day's corporate news, including M&A activity involving
being the latest entry into the cancer drug sweepstakes, and
( FIC) and
falling into "the Geoff Tate zone."
here to listen to the entire podcast.