John J. Edwards III Chats on AOL, 0ct. 4
John J. Edwards III chatted on AOL MarketTalk on Monday, Oct. 4. AOL's MarketTalk is hosted by Sage Online (Keyword: PF Live). As with all chats, this transcript is unedited.
Comment:
Live from New York, NY, please welcome John Edwards, markets editor at
TheStreet.com
. John can answer your questions about the markets and investing. John does
not
offer individual stock commentaries or recommendations.
Jedwards:
Hi. Great to be here.
Question:
Who do you think will win
Sprint Fon Group
(FON)
?
BellSouth Corp.
(BLS)
or
MCI World Com Inc.
(WCOM)
?
Jedwards:
What we're hearing is that MCI WorldCom seems to have the edge at this point, but it's much too early to say for sure.
Question:
The market acts like it
knows
what Green is doing tomorrow. Would you buy now or wait till after tomorrow?
Jedwards:
Depends in part on your time horizon and investing style. The market seems to be anticipating no change in interest rates (certainly correct) and a continued neutral policy bias (quite possible, but I expect a tightening bias).
Jedwards:
At this point, given the general health (or lack thereof) of the market, I think the market's setting up for a rough time if it doesn't get what it sees as the optimal outcome.
Jedwards:
I guess the upshot is, dive in if you have a short-term horizon and think there's more rallying in store. Otherwise, it might be wiser to sit back.
Question:
How can I find out when a stock pays its dividend?
Jedwards:
The best thing to do is call investor relations to be sure. Phone numbers for just about every public company are available on TheStreet.com under Tools/Quotes, in the Profiles area.
Question:
Is there a way to screen mutual funds for individual stocks?
Jedwards:
A mutual fund's composition is available from the fund company, but you should be aware that the firm only has to report the fund's composition once a quarter. Holdings can change, but generally you can expect the largest holdings to remain fairly constant.
Question:
Why do you think the pharmaceutical stocks have not done well? With consistent double-digit earnings and a true hi-tech industry, why?
Jedwards:
There are concerns about patent expirations, but I imagine that's only a small part of the picture. It speaks to the difficulty in analyzing this market: Sometimes industries whose fundamentals seem to argue for gains nevertheless fall out of favor.
Jedwards:
I haven't been following the drug stocks extremely closely, but I can suggest that you look for stories by TheStreet.com's biotech and pharmaceuticals reporter,
Jesse Eisinger, for insights.
Question:
If the fed moves to a tightening bias, and the employment number is high, do you think they'll pull the trigger Friday?
Jedwards:
Well, I don't think the Fed would hike rates on Friday in any case, if that's your question. But a tightening bias and a strong jobs number might very well augur a rate hike at the Nov. 16 meeting.
Question:
With the Euro stable, will that help European Markets?
Jedwards:
It's certainly better than instability, and the other fundamentals in Europe seem solid now. In fact, the central banks of Europe are finding themselves in a similar position to that of the Fed, looking to keep the current recovery going without inflation.
Comment:
Thank you for joining us today John! We have been speaking with John Edwards, markets editor at
TheStreet.com
.