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The bad stuff is in the market. It just has to get more in. That's all. That's the conclusion you have to reach when you see companies like
, which is valued at only a billion and a half dollars, or
at $2 billion and change or
at $3 billion.
In other words, forget about the stock prices. They are almost all absurd unless we are headed into a recession of such magnitude that companies start showing severe losses in the first quarter. Think about the market cap size. If Terex, which is actually a pretty good machinery company, can sell at a billion and a half dollars -- about the price that some acquisitive company might have paid for a
of Terex a year ago -- why can't it sell at $1 billion? How about $800 million? What's to stop it? The sellers at this point obviously don't even care about it, not one bit. They just want money. The buyers have had their heads twisted off and don't want anything more to do with it. No one wants to recommend it because the estimates are too high. And without a dividend, it has no protection; besides, people might perceive that the dividend can't be paid -- a la
-- and sell it anyway.
Last night I had a call from an employee of
who wanted to know what I thought of the stock at $37. I know I have liked this company for
, just a solid metal bending company that has done many things right and really represents the best of American manufacturing. But I took a look at the yield, 2.63%, and said simply that it hadn't fallen enough.
That's how I feel about so many stocks that are owned by the wrong owners with the potentially right owners either on the sidelines or petrified -- not down enough yet.
And because of the phony nature of how the market trades -- the price could be up or down 4 in a heartbeat -- why not wait until it at least yields something more worthy? Because with the exception of
, there hasn't been a single opportunistic offer of a company whose stock has been beaten down beyond reason.
Except that it could be beaten down beyond reason by another 10% or 20% and no one would care.
At the time of publication, Cramer was long Freeport-McMoRan.
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