"Simple Math" Election Lies By the Gateway Pundit

Mish

If you get your news from the Gateway Pundit you are getting a pack of political errors if not purposeful lies.

Revealed Simple Math 

That lie was retweeted 25,600 times as of 5:00 PM Central, December 20.

REVEALED: 'Simple Math' Shows Biden Claims 13 MILLION More Votes Than There Were Eligible Voters Who Voted in 2020 Election @JoeHoft  via @gatewaypundit

Here is the Gateway Pundit Article. 

Bill Binney, of US Intel fame tweeted out a message yesterday noting that more people voted in the 2020 election nation-wide than were eligible to vote.

Binney attaches a link to the number of registered voters in the US. We made a copy as of today and added these voters up. When we add up the number of registered voters we obtain 213.8 million registered voters in the US as of this morning.

Using the numbers as of today, which are materially similar to Binney’s, we find a huge issue. If we have 213.8 million registered voters in the US and 66.2% of all voters voted in the 2020 election, that equals 141.5 voters who voted in the 2020 election (Binney shows 140 million which is materially the same).

If President Trump won 74 million votes, then that leaves only 67.5 million votes remaining for Biden. This means 13 million duplicate or made up ballots were created and counted for Biden!

This also supports our observations from the start. Biden committed fraud in every imaginable way, but the big steal was in millions of fraudulent votes that were created to steal the election for Biden. MILLIONS!

Disputing the Garbage

I did not doublecheck the Gateway Pundit Spreadsheet. Instead I used their source and added three columns.

My added columns are votes for Trump, Votes for Biden, and Total Votes for Trump + Biden. I excluded irrelevant columns.

Popular Vote Totals Alabama Through Mississippi

Election Popular Vote Totals AL Thru MS

Election Popular Vote Totals MO Thru WY

Election Popular Vote Totals MO Thru WY 2

In no state did the total for Biden + Trump exceed the number of registered voters. 

Thus the total of votes did not exceed the number of registered voters either.

Where's the Lie?

The main lie is only 140 million people voted.

The 2020 presidential election set a participation record, with more than 157 million people casting their ballots.

My state-by-state totals are from Election 2020 Results and Live Updates.

If you wish sloppy, biased reporting, by all means keep reading the Gateway Pundit.

At least 25,600 people retweeted @gatewaypundit  Gateway Pundit garbage. 

Another 14,000 retweeted garbage by @Bill_Binney, Bill Binney, self proclaimed "Constitutional Patriot"

Correction 

I inadvertently copied South Carolina into South Dakota. Now Corrected.

Addendum

Reader Easterbilby came up with this: The core mistake is using a 66.2% turnout figure from WAPO. That number is more-or-less accurate, but it is 66.2% of eligible voters, not registered voters. It comes from the United States Election Project.

If so, there is no excuse for using a turnout percentage as a means of determining the actual turnout instead of using reported turnout numbers.

Another reader was annoyed with the number of registered voters column claiming it was too high. 

Amusingly I used the source the Gateway Pundit used. There is a CSV download available and I used it straight up.

Mish

Comments (44)
No. 1-19
davebarnes2
davebarnes2

Does your refutation mean that my ticket to Fat Donnie from Queens' second inaugural is useless?

shamrock
shamrock

By that"logic" if 140m people voted and biden got 80m that means trump could have only gotten 60m. Total fraud by team trump to create 14m fraudulent votes.

Tjhager
Tjhager

If your data is accurate, then 73.2% of registered voters did so in the 2020 election. Is such a high turnout likely?
This suggests that the 66.2% figure used by WaPo is invalid.

Easterbilby
Easterbilby

I was curious about where the original mistake came from so I did some digging. It ends up that The Gateway Pundit is confusing registered voters with eligible voters - not all eligible voters are registered.

The core mistake is in using the 66.2% figure from the Washington Post. That number is more-or-less accurate, but it is 66.2% of eligible voters, not registered voters. The number comes from the United States Election project at http://www.electproject.org/2020g

Given that the US Election Project estimates that there are 239,247,182 eligible voters in the US, 66.2% of the number is 158,381,635 votes, which is pretty close to your number. There's a discrepency, but the Election Project are estimating the total votes figure, which would explain it.

Thus if the Gateway Pundit had noticed the difference between eligible and registered voters this woudn't have happened. Unfortunately, they confused the two and came to an incorrect conclusion.

Casual_Observer
Casual_Observer

Gateway Pundit is a fake news site with zero credibility amongst educated people. Not even necessary to do the analysis.

RunnerDan
RunnerDan

Alright, way to speak truth to power and call out the bull in the media!!!

Phew...for a while there I thought the media was drifting back to center-left!

ROGO1
ROGO1

Meh!..Start working on January 5, 2021 When two seats will be won in the great black & white shake up!.. This starts the dismantling of the GOP and sends old white shitweasels back to eating at Cracker Barrel and rightfully so!

Sechel
Sechel

If you get your news from gateway pundit.

Just stop there.

Sechel
Sechel

I'm not wasting my time on Gateway Pundit numbes but claims like this have been on social media since November 3rd. Usually the answer has fallen on a mxing of 2020 against 2016 data. If it were this simple in reality the analysis would have wound up in a court filing in at lest one of the over 60 cases Donald Trump and his allies have filed that were either withdrawn or dismissed. And in court one can't engage in non-nonse claims or face perjury charges.

Sechel
Sechel

here's an article from back in November debunking the claim. I'm virtually certain there's a similar article that points to 2016 voter data being used. These articles such as Gateway are targeted at the least intellectually curious in our society and I'm being kind

Realist
Realist

These claims of election fraud are just like claims that the earth is flat. People who simply “believe” either premise will latch on to any “proof” that justifies their belief. Every time someone demonstrates that their “proof” is invalid, they simply shrug and move on to find another “proof” of their irrational belief. They become caught in an infinite loop because there will always be someone who feeds them more irrational “proof”, which they will simply believe, because it fits their original premise. Eventually, when they can’t find any more examples of “proof” they latch on to conspiracies about how well hidden or suppressed the “proof” is. They never escape their infinite loop and people like Mish (or others) end up in an infinite loop of trying to counter these irrational “beliefs” with real facts. This is exactly what happens with global warming deniers as well. Endless facts fighting against endless irrational beliefs.

Eddie_T
Eddie_T

Whatever narrative you’d like to believe, there is some SOB flogging it. The truth is a casualty of media....It always was, to tell you the truth.....but when there was only one narrative , then most people went along with it.

In general, there isn’t much attention paid to the truth as a desirable feature of journalism.

The best you can hope for is to weed out the out-and-out lies....but bias? Bias is in everything. You can learn to spot it if you work at it.

David Puddy
David Puddy

All we need is the total number of registered voters. Calculate Trumps total, which was 71 million and subtract that number from the total. On election night, Trump had massive leads (750,000 in PA) and large leads in most all of the swing states. All of the swing states simultaneously stopped counting votes around 11:30PM on election night, which I'm sure was just a "coincidence." Then Biden votes showed up in the middle of the night at all of the counties in all of the swing states, many in trash bags and many with no crease in the ballot, meaning it could not have been sent in the mail. Trump's massive lead turns into a deficit soon after. Not to mention all of the swing states were using Dominion voting machines which showed blocks of Biden votes in many counties showing up in groups of 1200 and 3400, which is highly suspicious and mathematically, next to impossible. Whistleblowers came forward and were threatened in many ways, including with the loss of their jobs. Trump campaigned heavily and had anywhere from 10,000-60,000 supporters showing up. Biden did almost no campaigning and when he did, had about 12 people show up and half of them were the "press." Biden supposedly had 10 million more votes than Obama, who campaigned non-stop with much enthusiasm from his base. Biden had almost no enthusiasm from his base. Anyone who is intellectually honest should want to look at these irregularities, investigate them and determine the truth. The integrity of our election system should be far more important than putting Biden in, anyway possible, even if it meant rigging the election. Truth matters.

Rocky Raccoon
Rocky Raccoon

Jim Hoft at the Gateway Pundit is not only fake news. He is a fake conservative. He rose during the Tea Party movement in St. Louis, yet he rarely complains about the record spending approved by Donald Trump, the new taxes Trump pushes in the form of tariffs, and of course Trump's efforts for more gun control.

He is a big disappointment.

LawrenceBird
LawrenceBird

There are more registered voters than eligible voters in many counties in KY. Should we now call into questions the Senate race there?

Rocky Raccoon
Rocky Raccoon

How does one call themselves a "Constitutional Patriot" and support Donald "take the guns" Trump? Bill Binney has some explaining to do...

Sechel
Sechel

Meanwhile Newsmax has joined with FOX nad stating that newsmax has no ties to george soros, nancy pelosi or hugo chavez. they are running from the whole story after smartmatic lawyered up

Bobbie333
Bobbie333

no one ever stated the number of votes in a state exceeded, that was in specific counties lol..

Herkie
Herkie

Gateway Pundit, Breitbart, The Hill, Newsmax, and as far as I am concerned Sinclair Broadcasting have all the credibility of CraigsList RANTS AND RAVES: politics.

You want to see some Cra Cra political crap with obscenely phrased hate and sedition? Try it.


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