Seniors are Another Problem Group for Trump

Mish

In addition to women, those 65 years and older are a problem group for Trump.

Trump Trails Among Seniors

Some states with big populations of people over 65 years old are also places where voters appear to be shifting away from Trump, polls show.

Please note Trump Trails Among Seniors, Key Group in Many Battleground States

Mr. Trump won seniors by 7 percentage points in 2016 but has trailed Mr. Biden by 10 points with that group all year in Wall Street Journal/NBC News polling. The coronavirus pandemic is making it hard for the president to rebound with older voters, who are among those most vulnerable to Covid-19.

Mr. Trump’s weakened standing with seniors is particularly important because of one demographic fact: Nearly every competitive state in the election is also home to large shares of people age 65 and older—larger than the national average.

Interviews and polling suggest that Mr. Trump’s handling of the coronavirus pandemic is weighing on the minds of older voters.

Asked whether the economy or coronavirus was more important to their vote for president, more seniors in the Journal/NBC News national survey picked coronavirus, the only age group to do so, though the preference among seniors was narrow. Seniors were also more likely than other age groups to say Mr. Trump was taking unnecessary risks with his own health when it comes to the virus.

Rallies Don't Equate to Turnout

Trump can cheer all they want and show up en masse at rallies. 

However, that does not win them votes among seniors or women. 

Trump Supporters Entitled to their Own Opinions

Trump supporters are entitled to their own opinions, of course. But they act as if they are entitled to the opinions of others. 

Rally turnouts don't matter. Overall votes do. 

In 2016 Trump turned the election into a referendum on Hillary. This year, Trump turned the election into a referendum on Trump, and he is losing that referendum.

Why Trump Will Lose the Election in One Word

On October 16, I wrote Why Trump Will Lose the Election in One Word

The word was "women". It will be enough. But if you insist on another word, add "seniors".

Mish

Comments (48)
No. 1-14
PecuniaNonOlet
PecuniaNonOlet

The two seniors in my life voted Biden. When trump insults Biden for being old, he insults all seniors. Trump arrogance cant see that of course.

15 days till election.

Augustthegreat
Augustthegreat

By doing nothing positive with the coronavirus, tRump has been endangering seniors and core interests of women. We cannot get rid of TrumPlague quick enough.

Eddie_T
Eddie_T

Whatever is true about whether Trump mishandled Coronavirus, he gets to own the problem...because it happened while he was in office.

I don't think there is any doubt he could have done a far better job....he is completely lacking in any understanding of science, medicine, or epidemiology...and he has.....and has had.....a bad case of Dunning-Kruger effect...and the Peter principle..... he won't listen to people who are smarter and better educated than he is....and he has been promoted to a position far above his qualifications.

And people can see......that it was always about him and his winning the election.....nobody would accuse Trump of deep concern about other people.

But it was unlikely that we would not have had a huge problem......even if he had done more things right....and the few things he did get right...like limiting entry from China when he finally did...still didn't matter that much.

But what he could have done.....is he could have pulled the country together to fight COVID with coherent national strategies.....and he did just the opposite....just to punish NY and CA and his political opponents. Even a dumb senior can see that.

A change of the guard is unlikely to make much difference now....that barn door was locked way too late.

What we should get out of living through this pandemic that NOBODY gets...and nobody writes about.....is how we could prevent a worse one....by outlawing genetic modification of viruses....

Maybe if the next one kills half the planet, people will wise up.

Nah.....not here.

ToInfinityandBeyond
ToInfinityandBeyond

Very surprised the GOP hasn’t thrown Trump under the bus in an attempt to save the Senate.

Eddie_T
Eddie_T

One more thing that springs to mind....Seniors always vote primarily out of fear...of something.....and fear of death is very high on their list.

In this case the effect might be positive.....but it is often negative....because all you have to do with Seniors is tell them what to fear.....and who to blame....and you will get most of the senior vote if they believe you.

Carl_R
Carl_R

Here is the real problem. Trump likes to divide, and then put himself in the bigger half. That works, initially, but after awhile the plan backfires. When you divide on one issue only, and are in the bigger half, you win, but the more issues you divide based on, the more people you exclude, particularly if the program is "agree on everything, or leave".

Bit by bit, Trump has carved down his core from 50% to about 38% of the population. One of the groups he has carved out is Seniors concerned about Coronavirus.

Webej
Webej

Everyday stock price movements are always ‘explained’ by some news event, but no evidence is ever given to prove that that was it.

I would have to see more evidence to accept that seniors are rejecting Trump specifically over his Covid policies and not a raft of other possible factors. Until then, I'll regard it the same way as the explanations offered for market moves: Perhaps.

silverdog148
silverdog148

Above all, seniors want to keep the status quo system going, it largely benefits them. That is the reason they are leaving Trump, anecdotal: my particular neighborhood was filled with Trump signs in 2016, the neighborhood has a lot of seniors. Now I can only think of two homes with Trump signs, some have switched to Biden signs from 4 years ago. Trump is done

Sechel
Sechel

White males with a college degree too. Poll after poll shows the more educated the less likely to support Trump

Sechel
Sechel

My unofficial poll tells me there are far more voters who voted for Trump in 2016 with buyers remorse than new converts to Trumpism

nzyank
nzyank

"non-college-educated white men are fleeing the president's camp at an alarming rate and admitting that they have become embarrassed by his actions and his bullying" - https://www.yahoo.com/news/ditching-donald-trump-largest-voter-100102798.html

nzyank
nzyank

Still waiting for the bombshell headline "Libertarians endorse Biden"......

Rocky Raccoon
Rocky Raccoon

Crisis in America give each president an opportunity to shine and build a legacy. Not Trump. He acted inconvenienced when it was hit time to step up to the plate and lead.

FromBrussels
FromBrussels

if seniors are worried about their health they should wear masks, avoid large crowds and wash their hands 100X a day , exactly what we, restrained and oppressed europeans have been doing.....and the results are.... FANTASTIC : we are now dramatically and exponentially WORSE off than in march........Damn pity we don t have a scapegoat like Trump to blame it all on !! Fools enjoy being fooled that s the way it is and always will be ! Allow me to take the opportunity to congratulate you already with your great new president Biden .....rrrrm.... yeah right....I guess. This can only happen in the US of A....


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