Clinton Campaign Linked to Iowa Caucus Fiasco

Mish

The Iowa caucus was a spectacular mess. Guess whose name is smack in the middle of it.

Where's there's a Democrat political scandal, it's a good bet that Hillary or an associate of Hillary is lurking somewhere nearby.

Such is the case with with Iowa Caucus fiasco. A Tech firm started by Clinton campaign veterans is smack in the middle of the mess.

An app created by a tech firm run by veterans of Hillary Clinton’s 2016 presidential campaign is taking heat for the unprecedented delay in reporting Democratic caucus results from Iowa.

Results from Monday’s caucuses could not be transmitted to Iowa party headquarters, and state Democratic Party Chairman Troy Price blamed the problem on a coding error. “While our plan is to release results as soon as possible today, our ultimate goal is to ensure that the integrity and accuracy of the process continues to be upheld,” he said in a statement Tuesday morning.

The firm behind the app reportedly is Shadow, an affiliate of ACRONYM, a Democratic nonprofit founded in 2017 “to educate, inspire, register, and mobilize voters,” according to its website. Shadow started out as Groundbase, a tech developer co-founded by Gerard Niemira and Krista Davis, who worked for the tech team on Clinton’s campaign for the 2016 Democratic nomination.

In a statement late Monday night, ACRONYM distanced itself from Shadow, saying it was not a tech provider and did not have any information about what went wrong in Iowa.

Should Have Known Better

FiveThirtyEight comments Iowa Democrats Should Have Known Better Than To Use An App

More than 14 hours after the Iowa caucuses began, we still don’t have any official results.

This year, the Iowa Democratic Party, which runs the state’s Democratic caucuses, introduced a smartphone app that local precinct chairs could use to send in tallies from their caucus sites. Immediately, election security experts raised concerns because the party wouldn’t reveal who built the app, what testing had been done, or who they had consulted to make sure it was secure.

The party insisted, however, that thorough security measures had been put in place, and besides, precinct chairs could always fall back on the reporting technology they’ve been using for decades: a phone-in hotline. One problem: Multiple precinct chairs reported hours-long wait times, and even getting cut off, when they tried to use that hotline.

Even before the caucuses began, some precinct chairs reported difficulty with the app, including trouble downloading it. Additionally, one county chairman told The New York Times that seven of the 10 volunteers running precincts in his district never downloaded the app at all and always planned to call in the results.

The good news, if there is any, is that because the Iowa caucuses also have a robust paper trail and don’t require a secret ballot.

Robust Paper Trail

Let's get an official comment on that robust paper trail.

I posted one this morning in Nate Silver on the Iowa Shit Show

“We weren’t set up for everyone to have to use the phone, it sounds like,” said Adin Mann. “I’m at home trying to get the paperwork organized all the way they want it. It’s scattered all over the room here."

I commented "You are at home? With the paperwork? Counting votes?"

I believe we have a new definition of "robust".

Winner By Coin Toss

Vox notes Some of the Iowa Caucuses are Being Decided by Coin Toss.

A few times on Monday night, at some of the Iowa caucuses, candidates ended up with the same number of votes. There was a tie when it came time to hand out delegates. So the Iowa voters resolved it with a time-honored election tradition: the coin toss.

Pete Wins

Warren Won This one

Biden Beats Klobuchar

Biden Wins Another Flip

Iowa Might Have Screwed Up The Whole Nomination Process

Today Nate Silver comments Iowa Might Have Screwed Up The Whole Nomination Process

I’m not going to predict what those numbers will eventually be, although early indications are that Bernie Sanders, Pete Buttigieg and perhaps Elizabeth Warren had good results. The point is that the lead story around the 2020 Iowa Democratic caucuses is now — and will forever be — the colossal shitshow around the failure to release results in a timely fashion.

To repeat: There’s very little importance in a mathematical sense to who wins 41 delegates. Iowa is all about the media narrative it produces and all about momentum, and that momentum, whoever wins, is likely to have been blunted.

Who might this help?

The presence of Iowa was helpful to Bernie Sanders, whose chances of winning a national delegate majority would have been 24 percent without Iowa — as compared to the 31 percent chance that he had with Iowa, as of Monday afternoon. Iowa was hurtful to Joe Biden, however, whose chances of a delegate majority would have been 50 percent without it, rather than 43 percent with it.

To be even more blunt: The Iowa Democratic Party’s colossal screw-up in reporting results will potentially have direct effects on the outcome of the nomination process. The failure to report results will almost certainly help Biden, assuming that indications that he performed poorly in Iowa are correct, as they won’t get nearly as much media coverage. And they’ll hurt whichever candidate wins the state — most likely Sanders or Buttigieg.

Hillary, who will not support Bernie under any circumstances, is no doubt pleased with this colossal screw-up, assuming of course Sanders did win.

But what does win mean anyway?

At least three and possibly four or five candidates will proclaim a win.

Should we decide based on a coin flip? Or did we already?

Mike "Mish" Shedlock

Comments (8)
No. 1-7
Latkes
Latkes

"Winner By Coin Toss"

More ridiculous circus.

"and that momentum, whoever wins, is likely to have been blunted."

Purely by accident.

"Hillary, who will not support Bernie under any circumstances, is no doubt pleased with this colossal screw-up"

Yes, a screw-up. It's always a screw-up, incompetence, miscalculation etc. Never malice. After all USA is not Russia, right?

Six000mileyear
Six000mileyear

The worst thing for Democrats is for Bernie Sanders to quit the party and run as an independent. The Iowa Caucus fiasco couldn't be a better way for Bernie to take the majority of electoral votes from the DNC. A major implosion awaits the DNC.

abend237-04
abend237-04

Some wags might say that, if you looked hard, you might even see slick Willie moving through the crowd feeling their pain, and their daughters...

jivefive99
jivefive99

I think the biggest loss in this is for those of us who still do favor single-payer care .. run by ... Democrats. Ugh.

Felix_Mish
Felix_Mish

Can you imagine the Democrat and media reaction if this were the Republican
caucus?

This whole thing might fade because it's branded with a swear word.

Mike2112
Mike2112

It's obvious Hillary and the DNC that wont stop her couldnt care less how it looks. They do it right in their voters' faces and say "yea, so what!"

shred1
shred1

One brokered convention with Killary Prez/Buttjudge VP, coming up!


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