2nd High-Quality Poll Has Biden Ahead By 9 In Pennsylvania

Mish

ABC/WaPo puts Biden up by 9 in Pennsylvania.

Huge 2-1 Lead for Biden in Philadelphia Suburbs

Pennsylvania Polls

Pennsylvania Polls 2020-09-29

Polls are from FiveThirtyEight.

Polls marked with an "*" are sponsored. The first I believe by Republicans and the second I believe by Democrats. I ignore both. 

Polls of likely voters are of higher quality than registered voters.

That makes the most recent poll chain +9 +9 +5 +7  by ABC/WaPo, Siena College/NYT, TIPP, and Fox News respectively.

Blockbuster Tax Report

The blockbuster New York Times tax disclosure on Trump could be fatal for Trump's chances.

For discussion, please see Trump Says Taxes are "Fake News": He Has an Easy Way to Prove It

For an update on Trump's dwindling chances, please see Election 2020 What States are In Play?

Mish

Comments (51)
No. 1-11
Sechel
Sechel

Pa is going for Biden, all eyes are now on Florida a state that is do or die for Trump

FactsonJoe
FactsonJoe

Mish, did you remove a long and detailed comment I just wrote OR did your comment system automatically remove it?

If your comment system removed it could you please return the comment so it shows and if you removed it I would appreciate knowing what was wrong in the comment so I can avoid whatever mistake you think I did in the future.

The comment was very detailed and had many sources including about studies on D-vitamin and HCQ and also included references to birthright citizenship legal background or rather the lack of it and to Biden's policy promises regarding amnesty and what that would cause and ideas on how Trump could still win Pennsylvania.

ladros
ladros

I have given up adding comments because mine have also been deleted or removed.... Testing to see if this one gets though.

Boot6761
Boot6761

Can anyone tell me how their lives would be different if Biden wins?

TimeToTest
TimeToTest

Tonight is the night.

I still expect the debate to be cancelled at the last minute.

PecuniaNonOlet
PecuniaNonOlet

I have had comments go missing, i dont think they are being deleted. I think what happens, especially for long comments, is the page refreshes and if you dont hit submit before that happens your comment is gone!

Here is a tip: If you have a very long comment, write it outside the webpage, when ready, copy and paste and submit. This has eliminated all my missing comments.

Of course, Mish could have deleted the comment too but only if it breaks the rules.

If you dont know the rules, they are here:

joe_is
joe_is

Balderdash! Killary by a landslide!

LawrenceBird
LawrenceBird

I think it is closer than many of the polls suggest, as much as I do hope for a Biden blowout

LawrenceBird
LawrenceBird

Administrative aside: it is way more annoying to post here now as if I close the tab or browser I always need to get a new code first.

Webej
Webej

Data I see suggests the US and then the EU are the biggest consumer markets.
China comes in third. Chinese GDP also trails third.