Trump's Need for Adulation Outweighs his Covid-19 Concerns

Mish

Trump is ready to hit the road, Covid-19 or not.

Trump thrives on praise and adulation. He can wait no longer to have his rabid supporters once again cheering at big rallies. 

Please note Trump Says He’s Ready to Hit the Road.

Mr. Trump told reporters at an event with business executives on Wednesday that he plans to travel to Arizona next week and Ohio soon after that. “We’re going to start to move around,” he said, adding that he hopes to start holding campaign rallies again.

The president, who before the pandemic regularly traveled on weekends to his Florida resort, Mar-a-Lago, and held campaign rallies around the country, has made no secret of his eagerness to get back on the road. “I’ve been in the White House now for many months,” he said. "And I’d like to get out—as much as I love this, this is the most beautiful house in the world.’

He said he wanted to see a “good old-fashioned, 25,000-person rally” without social distancing. “I can’t imagine a rally where you have every fourth seat full, every six seats are empty for everyone that you have full,” he said. “That wouldn’t look too good.”

Counterproductive Adulation

The amusing thing is how counterproductive this plan is.

Adoring fans and big rallies will not win Trump the election in November. 

Extremely Difficult Setup for Trump to Win in November

Trump's Extremely Unfavorable Map - 2020-04-28

Trump faces a huge uphill battle at this point. It's an Extremely Difficult Setup for Trump to Win in November.

Note that Fox News gives Biden an 8-point lead in Michigan. This is despite (or because) of soaring Michigan unemployment, perhaps as high as 30%.

For details, please see For details, please see Over 25% of Michigan Workforce Filed For Unemployment.

Yet, Despite Massive Unemployment, Michigan Disagrees With Trump.

Governor Gretchen Whitmer, a Democrat, has a Covid-19 approval rating of 57%. Liberate Michigan, Liberate Minnesota, and Liberate Virginia backfired.

I discussed the above Tweets in Huge Battle Over Covid-19 Tests and Trump's Liberation Tweets.

Words of Caution

It's not impossible for Trump to win in November, but it is difficult. 

These polls are early. November is still 6 months away but the election map, Trump's handing of Covid-19, the recession, and the thought of 4 more years of Trump to swing voters all weigh against Trump.

This is Not 2016

Finally, this is not 2016. Many swing voters gave Trump a nod in in 2016 simply because they despised Hillary.

Many of those same swing voters have had enough of Trump's divisive treatment of allies, his belittling of everyone but himself, and his handling of Covid-19.

Mish

Comments (51)
No. 1-13
The Hood
The Hood

I give up on you Mish,... America is about to be ripped apart and the seams and you're throwing gasoline around all the time. There is no objectivity left in you. You have become a partisan and in so doing, you have turned against the American People.

TimeToTest
TimeToTest

Trump is a leader in the aspect that he inspires confidence.

We can’t deny that his constant pumping is what took the stock market up. He also has pumped then”recovery”.

His confidence is second to none. I will give him that.

TCW
TCW

So what if he acts like a bigger than life buffoon, he will put the right people in the judiciary and other countries are not going to mess with him militarily. Biden can do no better, he has dementia and will be a puppet.

Casual_Observer
Casual_Observer

I think Trump has fallen behind but I don't think he is toast yet Mish. I expect by late September Covid-19 will have ended and the economy will get back on its feet. I'm no fan of Trump except on 1 issue - limiting foreign labor on visas and changing immigration rules to favor citizens in the job market. I live in a state where my vote for President will be of no consequence and so I may be a single issue voter come November. I vowed not to vote for Trump a couple of months ago but I am an independent and my mind can be changed based solely on favoring citizens for jobs and in the labor market overall. I think in swing states there are a lot of voters like me. I heard the Trump campaign has identified 120M voters that are undecided. They need 70M of these in select states to win again. Remember in 2016, that Trump won by a large margin electorally. Biden will struggle because of his party not himself. They do not favor citizens in many aspects of the job and labor market and this may be their undoing. The Trump campaign knows this and will pivot to immigration and jobs again. That is the issue that hits home with most Americans.

Tony Bennett
Tony Bennett

Swing voter in the street waits till after Labor Day to make decision.

A LOT will happen in the next 4 - 5 months.

Casual_Observer
Casual_Observer

By the way, it has come to light that Sheryl Sandberg and Mark Zuckerberg were effectively embedded with the Trump campaign in 2016 and knew of its every move online and on social media. Zuckerberg himself has met with Trump on several occasions during his presidency. This election is nowhere near over and it may not even be decided by the people. Social media pushed Trump into the White House in 2016 and will have a big factor in 2020 as well.

Realist
Realist

”Trump needs the adulation.”

Exactly.

He thought he would get it with his daily press briefings on how well he was ”handling” the pandemic. However, because of the format, where he was answering questions, he ended up looking like a fool (which he is).

So he desperately needs these rallies, in front of his adoring fans, who will cheer every lie, every falsehood, every conspiracy theory he puts forth, ”without” question.

And he will set a terrible example to the faithful, that it is okay to get out there in large crowds, spreading the virus that he says he contained so well.

Darwinism at it’s finest.

Webej
Webej

"I've had enough of Trump. I'm going to vote for Biden's female offer."

What a line of thought...

If America's guiding light has to one of these brainless old egomanical clowns, her best days lie in the rear view mirror

Montana33
Montana33

Thanks for excellent analysis of how Trump will certainly lose. People are more locked into political views now than they have been in my lifetime so I think little will change before the election. We will also take the Senate and then hopefully implement laws to stop future corrupt Presidents from destroying the rule of law and Democracy, stop voter suppression and self enrichment and nepotism. The Justice department cannot be managed by the President. We have to find a way to ensure that future criminal Presidents cannot destroy the rule of law. It’s been proven multiple times that criminal Presidents can stay in power. We have to abandon the flawed impeachment process and take politicians out of it. They fail every time no matter which party is in charge. How do we disconnect Justice from politicians so that we never find ourselves in this horrible position again? Trump will continue to attack our Democracy long after he loses in November. He will do everything he can to urge his rabid followers to undermine laws and truth and fair elections. He will continue to preach hatred and division and we know he has a big audience for that.

Casual_Observer
Casual_Observer

Not directly related, but remdesivir will help immensely in shortening the illness cycle. Now that they have found something that can slow down Covid-19, more drugs will be developed that are better and very quickly. Vaccines are unrealistic because coronaviruses are also the culprit of the common cold (along with rhinovirus). They've been working on a vaccine for the common cold for 30 years but have little to show for it. So expect medicines like remdesivir, which was developed for Ebola and SARS-COV. This is good news for the country because the clinical trial for remdesivir was large and has all the hallmarks of a clinical trial (unlike the chloroquine trial in France). We should all hope this helps get the virus on the run and economy back on its feet, irrespective of who the President is.

Quatloo
Quatloo

Trump's Need for Adulation Outweighs ALL OTHER Concerns
...at least for Trump

lol
lol

Gonna be a bloodbath for the republicon party if there's an election,Trump will not win a single state (not one)if there's an election.Best bet for el presidente find a reason to cancel postone the election,make something up or pump out the MMT,without it this "election"is over!


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