Trump to Rush a Vaccine by Nov 1. What Can Go Wrong?

Mish

Two days before the November 3 Election, Trump mandates that states prepare for a vaccine.

Rush to Vaccinate

The CDC tells states Get Ready for November 1.

The date suggests the federal government anticipates a vaccine will become available just days before President Donald Trump stands for reelection Nov. 3, an aggressive goal that would depend on shots being tested and reviewed by then.

Trump has previously said that he thinks a vaccine will be ready by Election Day or soon before. He’s also accused staff at the Food and Drug Administration of slowing vaccine work to hurt him politically. The claims have raised questions about political interference in vaccine reviews; FDA Commissioner Stephen Hahn has promised repeatedly that science will guide any decisions.

Emergency FDA Permit

Michael Fraser, chief executive officer of the Association of State and Territorial Health Officials said a FDA emergency-use authorization would likely be needed to distribute a vaccine that soon. The designation allows the agency to use limited data to make a vaccine available for a narrower group of people. The health officials association “would be extremely concerned about a vaccine hasn’t completed Phase 3 trials,” Fraser said.

What Can Go Wrong?

Among the obvious ramifications, the vaccine might not work, it might make people sick from side effects, and it could even make the virus itself worse for unknown reasons.

The not-so-obvious implication is that it could backfire spectacularly on Trump.

It is clear Trump is rushing a vaccine for political purposes. He is willing to gamble on lives to win an election. 

The irony is Trump is pushing for a vaccine although he talks as if the virus is now much ado about nothing.

Mish 

Comments (45)
No. 1-12
njbr
njbr

as of 9/2/2020

... So far the published data on the two mRNA vaccines is very modest - we know 2 doses will be required and the published data is on only 15 volunteers who received 2 doses of the Moderna vaccine and 12 volunteers the Pfizer vaccine, or 10 the Astra Zeneca vaccine...

Prof Peter Hotez MD PhD,
Vaccine Scientist-Pediatrician-Author, Prof Dean
@BCM_TropMed, @TexasChildrens, Univ Prof @Baylor
Hagler Inst Advanced Study @tamu
Founding Editor @PLOSNTDs

PecuniaNonOlet
PecuniaNonOlet

And you cant sue if something goes wrong, big pharma indemnified...

Maximus_Minimus
Maximus_Minimus

Isn't the Moderna vaccine developed with Astra Zeneca?
Phase 1 trials should determine whether the vaccine is harmful, or not.
I know people who claim Flu shots make them sick, and don't take them. There will always be some who will have some minor side effects.

Tengen
Tengen

This seems like Trump's opportunity for self-sabotage. Even if the vaccine works reasonably well, if he pushes it aggressively he will alienate a sizable portion of his base.

Between the people who think Covid is a hoax, to those who think all vaccines are a hoax, to those who just don't like the government telling them what to do (other than bending over for the Fed or supporting war, where they are strangely silent), these groups add up to a LOT of people.

Jojo
Jojo

Here's what can go wrong.

Gerald Ford Rushed Out a Vaccine. It Was a Fiasco.
Trump should keep that in mind as he pushes for a coronavirus shot.
Sept. 2, 2020

Augustthegreat
Augustthegreat

By rushing a vaccine, tRump has a win-win (double wins) for himself: 1. by announcing the availability of the vac before the election, he creates a positive/optimistic attitude of the populace toward him; 2. after the election, if the vac actually works well, it's another win; but if it fails, he can blame the FDA for approving the vac.

fedak
fedak

I don't understand the strategy here:

  1. Much of his base believes the whole thing is a hoax and won't rush to take a vaccine
  2. A sizable portion of his base is anti-vax entirely
  3. No one is going to believe this wasn't rushed for political purposes
  4. Deploying it is going to take months, so even if it is available in November it won't allow for a near term "return to normality"

So I see a bunch of potential downsides and not a whole lot of upside to rushing this before the election

Sechel
Sechel

Any idiot can see Trump has pushed CDC and FDA to rush a vaccine in time for the election. What could go wrong?

They seem to have forgotten they need public buy in.

randocalrissian
randocalrissian

Count me among the rabid pro-vaccination crowd. I am also staunchly opposed to Trump being re-elected. I also want to do everything I reasonably can to help end this pandemic. There is NO WAY I am taking that vaccine as long as it is rolled out without full vetting. I am not rolling any dice with my health or my life. Period.

Webej
Webej

Perusing the reactions of young healthy people to the vaccine trials so far, it seems that the reaction in many cases is worse than with the asymptomatic or subclinical reactions of people actually exposed to the virus. What will happen when giving it to the frail or children? It has not been established that vaccination is going to be a solution worse than the disease ...

Augustthegreat
Augustthegreat

Murphy's Laws says that if something could go wrong, then it will go wrong. Rushing a vaccine certainly could go wrong, so wait for disaster!

Kimo
Kimo

"The irony is Trump is pushing for a vaccine"
Trump's role is obviously passive, passing on the info that he received. His attempt to get in front of a Gates vaccine parade is a blunder. I'm still waiting on doubtful reports that he's threatened to fire anyone if they move too slow. But he will take credit if a vaccine works out well. I for one, will avoid it like the plague. Keep slim, take Vit D, keep Zinc & Quercetin handy. If one succumbs, Google Ivermectin for one treatment, Budesonide for another.


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