Trump Seeks Election Night Chaos and Is Likely to Get It

Mish

Trump and the Republicans in swing states are doing everything they can to disrupt counting of mail-in votes.

Trump Prefers Chaos 

Please consider Republicans In Swing States Were Fixing Vote-By-Mail Systems. Then Trump Tweeted.

Michigan

Early this year, Michigan advanced a bipartisan measure to let election officials take absentee ballots out of their mailing envelopes — but not to unseal the ballots or count them — the day before Election Day. 

Pennsylvania 

Democrats and many of the state’s election officials have called for state legislators, who are meeting this week, to change the law so that election officials can begin to process ballots days or weeks before Election Day.

That could mean simply opening the envelopes in which ballots arrive without unsealing the ballots, or opening the ballots and tallying the votes without publicly reporting the results. But Pennsylvania Republicans have said that tallying votes before Election Day will not be allowed

Only a year ago,  State Rep. Kevin Boyle pointed out, nearly every Republican in the statehouse joined Democrats in expanding the option of no-excuse absentee voting to most Pennsylvania voters. “It was not a partisan issue whatsoever,” he said. “Republicans did not express any reticence, didn’t express any misgivings that this was somehow beneficial to Democrats or it was corrupt or would be used for corrupt purposes, until now.”

Wisconsin

In Wisconsin, the Republican-controlled state legislature has altogether ignored calls to prepare for a tidal wave of mail-in ballots. 

Trump Encourages Vote Fraud

Vote Twice Trump
Vote Twice Expanded Trump

Precious Vote Counting

  1. Trump tells people to vote early then show up again to see if their vote has been counted and if not to vote again. 
  2. Meanwhile Republicans will not even allow ballots to be opened, let alone counted by election day.
  3. Oh. God Bless America. 

Law and Order

That process is of course called "Law and Order".

Election Night Chaos

Election Night Projection

If things go according to plan, Trump will be in the lead on election night.

The election results could look something like the above Bloomberg Group Projection.

I highly doubt it is that extreme, but it's possible. Compare to my extreme possibility above.

Yet, even three states, say Florida, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin could delay the winner for several days or longer.

270-To-Win

270-To-Win Projection September 6

That is how 270-to-Win sees things right now. 

I would move Georgia to light pink and Arizona to light blue. Otherwise, I agree.

Possible Election Night Map

Possible Election Night Map

In the above map I assumed Trump would win North Carolina and Ohio outright but lose Arizona outright leaving just three states undecided, not an unrealistic possibility.

I believe that is more unlikely than my Extreme Election Night map, but it is not at all far-fetched.

Something in between those two maps is highly likely. 

All it will take is for the news outlets to refuse to make a call and Trump to refuse to admit he lost.

For further discussion, please see As Trump Endorses Election Fraud, It's No Longer "Pretty Early".

Mish

Comments (51)
No. 1-20
davebarnes2
davebarnes2

I look forward to President Pelosi on January 20th.
She will definitely drive Fat Donnie from Queens crazy.

Tengen
Tengen

Have been reading people online loudly proclaiming landslides in both directions, these people are crazy. Barring a major unforeseen event over the next two months, it should be close as most US elections are nowadays.

Since we can expect a tight contest, these ugly scenarios of chaos and confusion are likely to occur. Buckle up, everybody!

Jojo
Jojo

Election night? Trump is looking to create chaos for the next 70 days until the election.

If he loses, the military needs to ignore any nuclear launch commands from him. He is just crazy enough to initiate a nuclear apocalypse.

Augustthegreat
Augustthegreat

Popcorn? Corn-growing farmers will be a big winner, because popcorn will be sold-out soon. tRump will prove to be the greatest clown ever!

AWC
AWC

Urban denizens only break things, loot and burn when they get hot. Weather will be nice and cool in November, so they’ll go indoors shortly after dark.

That said, the vote has likely already been counted. It’s results just haven’t been synced to the meme yet. Hopefully, the media won’t declare the winner the night before the election. Makes it hard on perceived credibility. Other than that, “vote early, vote often” if it makes ya feel good. ;-)

PecuniaNonOlet
PecuniaNonOlet

57 days till chaos then.

RayLopez
RayLopez

I'm calling a Trump win. I won't vote for him, but if he can pick up Texas, PN or AZ (pick one), some northern states (WI, MN) and FL, the Democrats can't win. And of course if Trump supporters vote twice, the chaos will indicate an early Trump win that might embolden Trump to delay leaving office even if he's lost the popular vote.

My color map here: https://www.270towin.com/maps/Ql3bw tell me where you disagree, I think most of my state picks are reasonable, note I'm giving PA to the Democrats but the Republicans win AZ, a traditional "red" (neck!? lol I lived there for a while) state.

Trump will win, you read it here first. And three presidential debates will give Sleepy Joe ample opportunity to choke. Trump is an actually an excellent 'folksy' speaker, as I said before.

Felix_Mish
Felix_Mish

All this (repeated from 2016) talk about how Trump won't concede is fun. But, the groundwork is already in place for Biden hang on for dear life. Remember how a (Democratic) pollster noted that true, mail-in results won't be published until well after election night?

Aside from either or both candidates dying or otherwise dropping out (as many fans pray), the most entertaining result would be for more than one state to require a recount. Lawyers should be salivating at that prospect.

Realist
Realist

Lol. Trump is turning the US into a banana republic!

And the Republicans are letting him do it.

What a shit-hole country America has become with mafia-don as leader.

ReadyKilowatt
ReadyKilowatt

If I could change one thing about US elections it would be to announce the results 30 days from Election Day to allow for tabulation. No reason at all we have to know who won on the night of the election. Even if you have money on it. It's just completely manufactured suspense for the idiots on the idiot box.

Better to have an accurate number over an expedient one.

Tucsonman
Tucsonman

Mish. Been reading your blog since 2005ish. First comment ever! Live in Tucson, AZ and married to a Mexican. I will be shocked if Trump loses AZ. Every single member of my wife’s family ( lots of cousins) all hated Trump 4 years ago. The majority now like him and have told me they are voting him this time around. I’ve been astounded how many Mexicans here are now behind him. My friend who works at the Union Pacific railyard here told me this week all the Mexican guys he works with there have almost all turned pro Trump. Mexicans are conservative people They laugh at things coming from liberals like LatinX. They like straight talkers and believe it or not they want border security. There is an under current of Trump support from Mexicans NOT being shown in polls. I’d say it’s somewhere around 30-40%. Possibly higher. Don’t underestimate the Hispanic vote nationally. Now the largest minority vote. Small biz owners, not politically correct, pro life/family. Immigrant mindset. Mark my words AZ was turning blue, however, Trump has turned that around. Put simply they like the guy now.

Rbm
Rbm

I think they should put on gloves and box it out.

awc13
awc13

interesting. i think biden seeks election night chaos

lol
lol

What has Trump done in 4 years except rack up trillions in dept,funneled trillions to Wall Street while Main Street continues it's steady rot and pretend he saved the world?Who does that remind you of? If you said barak ,go to the head of the food bank line!

TCW
TCW

He sure created a lot of chaos the night he beat Hillary, can't wait to watch the meltdown again!

Casual_Observer
Casual_Observer

The deadline in most states to vote by mail is well before election day. So this means votes will be counted on election day. Postal workers are no friend of Trump. They could deliver ballots early to states.

Sylviaerose
Sylviaerose

Why are we changing the way we elect a president when everyone is declaring fraud? It’s seems rather logical to not introduce universal, or mail in, voting. If we want a secure Election Day, why are we demanding that we mail everyone a ballot? If we want to mail a ballot we should request an absentee ballot months before. But to rush a massive change like universal voting seems insane and will only delay results. We should have results like we always do, on the night of, not weeks or months later.

I don’t agree at all with my own party as it seems like we’re trying to rig things. Liberals like me no longer have a party to call home.

Sylviaerose
Sylviaerose

Why are we changing the way we elect a president when everyone is declaring fraud? It’s seems rather logical to not introduce universal, or mail in, voting. If we want a secure Election Day, why are we demanding that we mail everyone a ballot? If we want to mail a ballot we should request an absentee ballot months before. But to rush a massive change like universal voting seems insane and will only delay results. We should have results like we always do, on the night of, not weeks or months later.

I don’t agree at all with my own party as it seems like we’re trying to rig things. Liberals like me no longer have a party to call home.

BaronAsh
BaronAsh

Classic Trump troll move!
Everyone says he's lying about how mail-in ballots will raise the fraud level through the roof.
He quietly - in his usual fun way - pokes holes in the argument.
By telling his supporters to vote twice.
Because: if you go in person, any paper ballot with your name gets rejected.
Now: YOU might have sent it in and forgotten. Or you might have signed up for one and not sent it in. But ALSO: some Dem operative somewhere might have harvested your ballot and sent it in for you. Or some boiler-room op somewhere may have done this for thousands. Or maybe thousands of R votes get dumped by a biased postal worker into the nearest landfill.
Going to the polls in person is the best way to counteract any shenanigans with R votes.

Now if the Dems want to inflate their own votes, that tactic won't have any effect. The Press won't report it when 110% of a district votes making for a D win because the Press doesn't like to publish anything critical of their side.

In any case, Mish, you just got punked. Again.
Telling his people to vote twice is the hook.
The real meat is that the walk-in vote causes the paper ballot vote of the same name to get annulled lessening the scope of fraud using R voter names. Not foolproof, but better.


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