Trade Deficit With China Keeps Growing Despite Tariffs


Trump's tariffs aren't exactly working as planned. Nor will they ever.

The Peterson Institute for International Economic notes US Trade Deficit with China Keeps Growing, Even with Tariffs.

Despite the Trump administration’s penalty tariffs on China, the US goods trade deficit with the country is 10 percent higher than it was in 2017, projected to reach $413 billion in 2018. The US-China trade war has not prevented Chinese firms from sending more shipments to the United States. Total US imports from China are up 6 percent from 2017, while US exports to China are down 5 percent. The global US goods trade deficit is up 10 percent from last year, with China’s share of the deficit remaining constant.

Imports from China are up, exports to China down, especially soybeans and other agricultural goods.

I have posted third quarter numbers previously, so this development is no surprise. Peterson did provide a 4th quarter estimate that I have not seen.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock

Comments (6)
No. 1-2

Nearly all new American tariffs on China take place on January 1.

How much of this is importers front loading inventory?


The US trade deficit will only get worse in 2019 as Trump continues his trade war with the rest of the world. For example, TPP comes into effect on Jan 1 2019. This will lower tariffs and trade barriers between the 10 participating countries (Japan, Australia, New Zealand, Mexico, Canada, Peru, Chile, Brunei, Singapore and Malaysia). This will reduce some US exports, particularly agricultural, to many of these countries as Trump pulled the US out of TPP.

Global Economics