Theresa May Pledges to Stand Down By May 22 (Next Phase) if MPs Back Her Plan


May offers to stand down if MPs only pass her deal. "I hear what you're saying," said May.

May's Statement

This has been a testing time for our country and our party. We’re nearly there. We’re almost ready to start a new chapter and build that brighter future.

But before we can do that, we have to finish the job in hand. As I say, I don’t tour the bars and engage in the gossip – but I do make time to speak to colleagues, and I have a great team in the whips’ office. I also have two excellent PPSs.

And I have heard very clearly the mood of the parliamentary party. I know there is a desire for a new approach – and new leadership – in the second phase of the Brexit negotiations – and I won’t stand in the way of that.

I know some people are worried that if you vote for the withdrawal agreement, I will take that as a mandate to rush on into phase two without the debate we need to have. I won’t – I hear what you are saying.

But we need to get the deal through and deliver Brexit.

I am prepared to leave this job earlier than I intended in order to do what is right for our country and our party.

I ask everyone in this room to back the deal so we can complete our historic duty – to deliver on the decision of the British people and leave the European Union with a smooth and orderly exit.

On or Before May 22

May 22 did not seem to be a promise but I see many Tweets like these.

Some Tories Now on Board

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The New York Times reports Theresa May Promises to Step Down if U.K. Parliament Backs Brexit Plan

The Guardian Live Blog reports How May Told Tory MPs She Will Quit Before the Next Phase of Brexit.

Bercow Won't Allow 3rd Vote

Two Possibilities?

Does the Deal Become Better?

I am not sure what El-Erian has in mind but I see this as making the deal passing far more likely. The alternative is an accident (no-Deal Brexit), not something else.

As for "Does the deal get better?"

Clearly not, it doesn't change. However, and this is key, the next prime minister, and it will be a Brexit-Backing PM, will lead further negotiations.

Please recall what I said about parliament not being able to force the PM to do something. With the right PM in place, the UK could threaten to hold payments to the EU if the EU does not negotiate in faith.

There are many things a committed sovereign country can do. May was not committed.

With May out of the way, the next round of negotiations will be much better.


Bercow will look like an ass if he attempts to hold this vote up.

May will find a way to bring this to vote and it will pass by a small margin. Perhaps it takes two more votes or queenly intervention.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock​

Comments (20)
No. 1-8


I take no pleasure in the observation that the British government seems even more disfunctional than the present American government.


I'm bored with Brexit, I have move on to other things and could care less what happens to the UK. Although, it is amazing that a country such as the UK can't seem to figure out what's in its own best interest.


Oh Mish, what Queenly intervention? Two more votes? May has just been told that unless TV3 contains substantial changes she won't be able to table it. What don't you get about the fact that May is distrusted because she is a Prime Minister gone rogue? As to things getting better under a new leader you face a big problem in that the current Tory party couldn't organise a bunkup in a brothel. We have local elections in May ( The month ) in the UK. Today I was canvassed by a member of the Conservative party. He was a very nice man. I have no problem with the way my local council is run. I have a big problem with the national leadership. When I listed my problems with May all he could say was that he agreed with me but it was a national problem. He knows and I know that the May local elections are used by the Brits to either give the Government, of any colour, either a pat on the back or a massive kick up the backside. This time the result will be the latter. He knew it. At the end of our conversation I kept apologising for being so strident all he said was that he he knew and understood what I had said but that it was a national problem. The election of May's successor will split the Tory party. No one on the left will accept Johnson the liar or any other Brexiteer and the ERG will not accept a Remainer PM like May. Stuffed whatever they do. You keep referring to Eurointelligence. The teenage scribbler there was employed by a Brexit nut job called Francois who is an MP. Thus he was employed by an MP not the House of Commons. If he had been employed by the House Of Commons he would have been employed in the House of Commons Library. The people in the HoC library are a class act and are under an injunction to provide impartial advice to all MPs. I read your blog because I have been consistently impressed by your writing on economics and economic policy. You have one of the best blogs on the net. Sadly on British politics you are wide of the mark and I fear you need to change your sources. Our MSM are as bad as yours and are also not to be relied on.


"Clearly not, it doesn't change. However, and this is key, the next prime minister, and it will be a Brexit-Backing PM, will lead further negotiations." I very much doubt that. We have seen who the brexiteers are, and I would not have any faith in David Davis (proven imcompetent), Boris Johnson (proven very incompetent) or Jacob Rees-Mogg (only after his own interests). The rest of them aren't any better. May has her failings, and she did make some stupid mistakes (calling a snap election...), but since there is no majority for any option she was dealt a poor hand. Whoever is up next will face the same reality.



"Oh Mish, what Queenly intervention?"

Dear Avid Remainer, if you are from the UK, you clearly do not know how your country runs.

Theresa May could ask the Queen to dissolve parliament. If the Queen did so, othing would change. There would not be new elections. The same parliament would go into session the next day.

Then there would be another vote. Will it come to that? No, because Bercow will cave in, Parliament will change the rules, or May will get a wording change.

You are letting your asinine support for remain get in the way of any kind of realistically clear thinking, and you sure as hell do not know how parliament works, or who the EU will deal with (a head of state, not the UK parliament).

Please stop making a fool out of yourself.


'With May out of the way, the next round of negotiations will be much better.'

This optimism, based on what, Mish?


My first impression in this offer was a feint echo of, "You'll have to pass it to see what's in it," by Nancy Pelosi.


Why doesn't anyone comment on the fact that she's willing to go because she will have a higher paying gig in the EU, servicing the EU, or as a lobbyist? She's not going to tend to her garden when her tenure comes to an end. And for that reason alone her deal should be scrutinized.

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