State of Emergency in New York, More Die in USA

Mish

Gov. Cuomo declares state of emergency and mandates insurers waive testing costs. Two more deaths in US, both Florida.

Governor Cuomo Declares State of Emergency

The weekend is not off to a great start as Two Coronavirus Deaths in Florida; New York Declares Emergency.

The coronavirus epidemic continued to escalate globally into the weekend, with Florida reporting the first two deaths on the U.S. East Coast, and New York state declaring a state of emergency as officials announced a jump in new cases, particularly a cluster tied to one patient in Westchester County.

The two people who died in Florida had recently traveled abroad, according to the state’s Department of Health. One death was of a patient previously announced in Santa Rosa County, and the other was a new case, a person in their late 70s in Lee County. Their deaths raised the number of fatalities in the U.S. to at least 16.

Florida health authorities also announced two additional cases, bringing the total number of infections in the state to 13. Seven are Florida residents, five are repatriated and one is a non-Florida resident, according to health authorities. Overall cases in the U.S. have shot to 340, according to data compiled by Johns Hopkins University, as testing continues to expand.

In an indication of just how the virus spreads—and how hard it is to contain-—in New York, there are an additional 23 cases in Westchester County, Gov. Andrew Cuomo said. All the new cases are connected to a 50-year-old lawyer from New Rochelle, officials said. About 1,000 people were quarantined earlier this week due to the lawyer’s case.

There are also a handful of cases in Rockland, Saratoga and Nassau counties, as well as New York City, which now has 11 confirmed cases.

Costs Waived

That does not sound legal to me. But if you make the test free, do you really think testing will expand?

If followed, costs will rise for everything else to make up for it.

These people cannot think.

We need to use the cheap test that China developed, not the error prone, costly test developed by the CDC.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock

Comments (36)
No. 1-12
numike
numike

ok lets do the math https://twitter.com/LizSpecht/status/1236095180459003909

Ted R
Ted R

Somebody needs to get those damn test kits in mass production tout de suite. This virus is no joke anymore.

Six000mileyear
Six000mileyear

If NY is in a state of emergency, does that mean the subways will stop running, bridges between NY/NJ close, and interstate highways close too? Oh and lets no forget it's not a real emergency if Wall Street is open for business. I smell a politician who doesn't want a crisis to got to waste.

Stuki
Stuki

"We need to use the cheap test that China developed, not the error prone, costly test developed by the CDC."

We should employ them all. And tag each reported result with which test was used, who administered it, the reason it was performed, and other possibly relevant information.

There are plenty of statistical methods available to extract relevant information from test and testing related skew and noise. Just let it rip, make as much data as possible public while trying to standardize reporting as much as possible, and see what patterns can be gleaned from it.

MiTurn
MiTurn

I suspect that a declaration of emergency must open up access to federal dollars. But I don't know...

Curious-Cat
Curious-Cat

Did someone say something good about China? :-)

tokidoki
tokidoki

My prediction? Trump and Xi will jointly win the Nobel Peace Prize later this year.

Like Xi, Trump will declare "war" against the coronavirus. He will employ all sorts of methods including further corporate tax cuts, massive build up in military contracts to bail out Boeing, jawboning the stock market, hassling the Fed every second to introduce negative rates, lifting the trade tariffs (the ones for medical gears have been lifted), and finally ..... imposing tariffs on the "coronavirus".

The OK Boomers might not make it through this, but some will.

DeeDee3
DeeDee3

Mish they aren't relying on CDC they have another vendor

Carl_R
Carl_R

The test we need is the one S. Korea has. You drive up in your car, give them your information, and a sample, and 40 minutes later you have an answer. You never even get out of your car.

Carl_R
Carl_R

According to Fox News, it's really no different than the flu. Most recover, and a few die. No big deal. For unknown reasons, however, they neglect to mention that .03% of people who had the flu this year died, while 3% of the people with SARS-COV2 have died. They also neglect to mention that .2% of people with the flu need to be hospitalized, while 15% of people with SARS-COV2 require hospitalization.

I did learn one good thing in my research today, though. Apparently the US does have some preparations for a pandemic flu. Apparently there are 4,000 or so mechanical ventilators in a warehouse somewhere, as a part of a strategic reserve. Those will come in handy, and save some lives, but will turn out to be a drop in a bucket.

Over the last three days the US case number is rising at 36% a day.
At that rate:
March 31: 644,000 cases in the US; 97,000 hospitalized, 32,000 critical, 6-20,000 dead, catching up with the flu, and killing in one month what the regular flu has taken 6 months to kill.
April 15: 65m cases, and the rest you don't want to know

I do predict that the rate of new cases will drop to 25%, which will slow things by a couple weeks. Even then, I predict that within two weeks we stop hearing "It's pretty much like the flu" because the hospitals will be overwhelmed with cases.

Carl_R
Carl_R

The biggest question is why we can't learn from other countries. We know what China did, and it appears to have been effective, though it destroyed their economy. We know what Korea did, and it seems to be effective as well, and we are seeing the growth of cases there slowing. Has any country had success containing coronavirus by telling people "it's just the flu, so don't worry, just do what you normally do", or "just wash your hands, and you will be fine"?

The US approach most reminds me of the Wuhan approach, where they told everyone everything was fine, and to show how safe it was, they hosted an outdoor buffet for 40,000 families. Sure. It's no big deal. It's just the flu. Most people will recover, though a few may die. All true, depending on how you define "few". We won't hold any outdoor buffets, but March Madness anyone?

Herkie
Herkie

Mish, we also had a declared state of emergency in Oregon at the same time as New York, two new cases in Jackson County in the south of the state were found (my county) Partly they do it for access to the new $8.4 billion in federal funding appropriated for the fight but also in this state the constitution allows the governor wider latitude to operate without silly things like quorums or majorities in the legislature. It gives her direct access to National Guard and several other options that sidestep normal democratic requirements written into the constitution.

And Kate Brown is a "progressive" who just cannot say no to a declared emergency. This is like her third one. She can't get her (and speaker of the house Tina Kotek, a far left radical lesbian Sanders borg) agenda done via normal means because they are just far too far to the left, like her cap and trade carbon tax that would gut the Oregon economy and cost Oregonians a doubling in gasoline prices as well as a doubling of utility bills. They passed a law that forced landlords to accept HUD section 8 vouchers and the result was rents doubled in 5 years, while vacancy rates plummited from 5.6% to under 1%. So they declared a housing emergency over that and introduced the nation's first statewide rent control that is a really a true disaster. And housing is in even shorter supply so they are trying to pass another law that will set aside all local zoning for single family homes so the governor can force builders to build low income multifamily rental housing within all new single family developments. Because that is just what we all want next door to our new $500,000 house, a mini welfare project.

I am a democrat with the values of a democrat, but these progressives are NOT democrats and can only manage to bring their utopian ideas to completion using coercive tactics outside the normal rule of law. That is why I could never vote for Sanders or any other "progressive."


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