Shocking End to US Dominance in the Mideast

Mish

US dominance in the Mideast is over. Thank president Trump.

US Humiliated in 13-2 UN Vote on Iran 

US Secretary of State Michael Pompeo pressed US allied in the UN to extend an arms embargo against Iran. 

The US failed 13-2 or more accurately 2-2-11 (Russia and China voting against) with 11 abstentions.

Humiliating Abstentions

Germany, France, the United Kingdom and eight others abstained. Only the Dominican Republic, supported the US resolution in a in a Humiliating UN Vote.

Let us underline this. The most powerful countries in the world and the current representatives of the main global blocs just sided with Ayatollah Ali Khamenei against Donald J. Trump.

Under the terms of the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), the weapons ban on Iran will expire in mid-October. 

The Trump administration wants to extend the embargo despite having exited the deal. Pompeo even watered down the US demands to no avail.

Cannot Have Your Cake and Eat it Too

Trump threatens to unilaterally impose an embargo arguing that the US has the legal authority to re-impose sanctions on Iran under UN Security Council Resolution 2231.

Trump unilaterally withdrew from that treaty. Now it wants to enforce part of it. 

OOPS. 

The rest of the UN Security Council thinks Pompeo’s idea is crazy, that he can trigger the snap back provision even though the US pulled out of the treaty, telling CNN, “You can’t have your cake and eat it too.”

Even Iran Surprised

Note that even Iran was Surprised by the Humiliation.

President Hassan Rouhani said, according to US News and World Report, “I don’t remember the United States preparing a resolution for months to strike a blow at the Islamic Republic of Iran, and it garners only one vote. But the great success was that the United States was defeated in this conspiracy with humiliation.”

Poking Trump in the Eye

The spokesman for the Iranian foreign ministry, Sayyid Abbas Mousavi, said on Twitter Saturday that the US regime must take a lesson from its absolute defeats at the UN security council. Otherwise it will, he said, continue to be isolated, even more than it is today.

Mousavi, by using the term “regime” to describe the US government, was tweaking the Trump administration, which routinely refers to the Iranian government as a “regime,” which has connotations of authoritarianism and illegitimacy.

China is the Big Winner

The EU is weak and European corporations are unlikely to risk the wrath of Trump by making deals with Iran. China is another matter.

China in particular appears determined to risk US sanctions in order to make a huge investment in the Iranian economy. The US Treasury Department can only sanction firms that trade in dollars with Iran or that also trade with the US. China intends its projects in Iran to be funded with soft-money currencies it has accumulated through its vast global trade. In accepting those African and other currencies, Iran will suffer a 30% loss, but it will escape the American net.

What About the New UAE Deal

Trump is bragging about a new Israel-UAE Peace Deal even though it leaves Palestinians in the cold according to a Bloomberg Op-Ed.

The Palestinians were disbelieving. They understood the agreement not as a friendly diplomatic move to ward off an Israeli land grab, but as, in the words of Palestinian authority president Mahmoud Abbas, “a stab in the back.” Abbas is right.

The UAE has secretly been doing business with Israel for years. Such clandestine dealings are considered par for the course in the region. But by going public with a peace treaty, the UAE did something revolutionary — it proclaimed its independence from the Palestinian cause. The country is willing, even happy, to be of help to the Palestinians, but it is no longer committed to Ramallah’s side or its demands from Israel.

As par for the course, Trump takes credit for something in which he played little if any part. 

Trump's Six-Point Legacy

  1. Bully Allies 
  2. Belittle Friends 
  3. Break Good Deals
  4. Invoke Disastrous Trade and Sanction Policies
  5. Amplify Racial Hatred
  6. Drive Countries Into Deals With China

In regard to points 4 and 6, Trump's trade and sanction policies have been a disaster on every front.

All of our allies thought the nuclear accord deal with Iran was working, every one of them. 

Another Trumpian Scheme Bites the Dust

By unilaterally breaking the nuclear treaty with Iran, Trump undid the single best accomplishment in 8 years of an Obama presidency.

It could have been and should have been US corporations making infrastructure deals in Iran. Instead it will be China.

As with NAFTA, Trump said he cold get a better deal.  He didn't. Another Trumpian scheme backfired miserably.

Winning Comes to An End

The US cannot take much more of Trump's self-proclaimed "winning". Fortunately, such "winning" comes to an abrupt end in November.

One of Biden's first moves ought to be to revive the nuclear deal with Iran hoping to rebuild a good setup that Trump destroyed.

Even so, the Mideast picture will never be the same. 

The Bright Side

US unilateral dominance in the Mideast and the US go-it-alone sanction policy have both hit the end of the line.  

That's a good thing even though the rise of Chinese influence (thanks to Trump) isn't. 

Mish 

Comments (95)
No. 1-35
Sechel
Sechel

U.S. is losing dominance everywhere. I don't agree with you that it's a positive although I do agree or involvement in Iraq was counter-productive as was our involvement in Iran during the Shah days. We don't always have the wisdom to match our military capability.

My eye right now is on Belarus. Any other President would be standing firm with NATO and warning Russia not to become involved. Weak and indecisive Presidents often invite conflict because they lack strengthand determination. Don't see Trump standing up to Putin. We could see what many would argue an attack if they get "invited in" and the U.S doesn't properly discourage.

PecuniaNonOlet
PecuniaNonOlet

77 days till election. It has become clear the only winning Trump is interested in is self-adolation and praise.

Zardoz
Zardoz

I'll award trump a point for not starting another war. I figured that would be the reelection plan. Destroying the postal service so people can't vote is a novel approach.... but it might end up getting more people killed when it's all said and done.

Sechel
Sechel

U.S. position on Iran as pushed by Trump is a mistake. UAE making peace with Israel is an indication nobody trusts the U.S. to be the stop-gap so UAE is making peace with Israel for military cooperation and most likely the nod from Washington that they can purchase more advanced weaponry. If anything the peace deal with Israel represents an escalation and not a calming of tensions. I may be wrong but I bet if we watch we'll see news in the coming weeks and months that support the view that military thinking drove the UAE decision. The UAE and Israel had defacto relations already , just done in secret.

pimaC
pimaC

I've said for decades now that the US needs shut down the CIA and close ALL its foreign military bases and bring the troops, planes, ships, and drones home. The CIA has toppled democratically elected governments all over the globe and as a result created hatred for the US. The CIA is the exact opposite of what we believe the US should stand for and support. We need to stop being an empire and start taking care of business right here at home. If we actually do that, maybe in a few decades the rest of the world might forgive us... might... maybe...

Tony Bennett
Tony Bennett

Good Riddance

signed - US taxpayer

Enough with the Empire garbage that only benefits the owners of capital (aka - "the rich")

spex
spex

Mish, shame on you. I used to have respect for you, but now I don't. Where is your patriotism? The Iran deal was a fraud and even enabled Iran to pursue nuclear weaponry(remember they didn't allow inspectors?). Not only that, but it is public that Iran is the biggest state sponsor of terrorism(hezbollah, hamas, Syria, Yemen, etc) and they say so themselves. By selling Iran munitions, they enable murder, rape, abduction, and just plain destruction for the sake of it. So Pres. Trump is right; and you're an idiot, along with everyone else that abstained. And just so you know, they probably abstained in order to keep selling them weapons and making money. So if you encourage supplying weaponry to terrorists, you are no different than them.

Augustthegreat
Augustthegreat

tRump is bringing Chaos to America and to the whole world. But in the long run, he is inadvertently bringing down the American Empire, which will be his greatest achievement, and remembered by History.

rafterman
rafterman

Does this mean the US can get back the $1.7 Billion that the previous administration sent to Iran?

Rocky Raccoon
Rocky Raccoon

As more of these countries realize how irrelevant we have become, I would imagine Americans are about to find out the hard way about the huge trading advantage we have had all along--the world's reserve currency. When they dump the dollar as the main trading tool...

KidHorn
KidHorn

I'm not sure Trump has been the one driving this. I think he's surrounded himself with neocons who want a war with Iran. His mistake has been appointing the wrong people around him.

Webej
Webej

QUESTION: What could convince Iran that any new deal could endure the vagaries of US domestic politics and rhetoric?

njbr
njbr

I'm regularly in contact informally with people who are overseas in governmental positions in lesser developed countries. When I first became involved with this program during Obama's term, there was huge respect for the US, though this already had been tarnished by the Iraq/Afghanistan debacles. In the past few years, the opinion of the US has diminished significantly and it is odd to be the recipient of sympathy of others in other countries who have been also at the random fiats and catastrophes of neo-dictators.

But it's great we can still count on the Dominican Republic...

...The United States, which left the Iran nuclear deal in 2018, argued that the arms embargo should not be allowed to expire because Iran continues to support terrorist organizations. But Russia and China said the U.S. has no place presenting resolutions on a deal that it is no longer a part of, and European allies expressed concern that extending the embargo would cause Iran to withdraw from the deal and begin developing nuclear weapons.

Of the 15-nation Security Council, 11 nations abstained, with two voting yes and two voting no. The United States would have needed nine votes to prevail — but Russia and China, the two nations that voted no, each had veto power and would have been able to defeat the resolution even if it received the nine votes. The Dominican Republic is the only nation that voted with the U.S....

njbr
njbr

There used to be a "tradition" of subsequent Presidents mostly adhering to previously reached agreements and treaties. The random, personal and vindictive over-turning of agreements and treaties that Trump has done has injected great uncertainty in world politics.

Who can count on what from a future administration? There is whole domino fall around the world with respect to other agreements.

When rise or fall international agreements are allowed to be tied so tightly with the personal whims of a president, we have moved well into the effective neutering of effective US power in the world.

LarryK
LarryK

Good! We need to be out of these cesspool no win areas anyhow.

Mish, if I remember your positions 4 years ago, you were tired of the endless wars and wanted to see Trump get in as he promised to end the wars and bring our troops home. Now he does it, and you say its a humiliation?

I mean seriously, Trump is a bull in a china shop (no pun intended) and stumbles through the "delicacies" of foreign policy and domestic as well. BUT....he IS heading in the right direction, although there are probably many better ways to do it.

Eighthman
Eighthman

As I see it, there is no alternative. Biden is already pushing regime change in Turkey and hinting at more attempts at war with China. Congress and liberals oppose Trump and vote for more endless war - with Afghanistan, Iran, Syria and whoever it is this month. It never stops and it's sick. If any politician opposes this, they will find the Deep State trying to remove them, whether Trump or Tulsi Gabbard or anyone else. Even Schumer warned Trump about this !

The US is a man with a leaky roof, trash in his yard, debts he skips and a family often in rebellion. His solution? Start a fight with somebody in the next county that is reputed to beat his wife.

The only way to stop this insanity is to wreck the system (Trump, deliberately or through his incompetence) and hope that a dollar decline forces Progressives to finally vote against this ceaseless aggression - and CONCENTRATE on fixing the US.

ToInfinityandBeyond
ToInfinityandBeyond

Trump is clueless when it come to international diplomacy. There is no way the Europeans, or any other country for that matter, will support a Trump initiative given Trumps belligerence and America first attitude. Trump needs to realize he can dictate terms to the rest of the world but it does not mean he will get a buy in from anyone. He might have gotten away with that behavior in the business world when dealing with suppliers but it just won’t work in the big boys world. Two words come to mind: mental midget.

Mish
Mish

Editor

Stupidest Comment In Months

"So if you encourage supplying weaponry to terrorists, you are no different than them."

The US supplies weapons to Saudi Arabia - a Terrorist nation.
The Corrupt CIA has been involved in more deals that have blown up (including Iran) that I can count.

Where's "My" Patriotism?

@spex, you would no know patriotism if it jumped up and spit grapefruit juice in your eye.

You are a "false patriot" neocon foolishly waving a military might-makes-right flag in defiance of all common sense. You bought US military propaganda hook line and sinker.

Jojo
Jojo

When Trump assumed the USA throne, I stated on a few forums that Trump would prove to be a Manchurian Candidate. I think I can claim 100% success in this prediction. The only question is who is controlling Trump, because no one on their own could be as stupid as Trump has shown himself to be over the last 4 years.

goldguy
goldguy

GOOD! and with any luck, Trump will get the military out of the 70 odd countries around the world and the 800 or so military bases there.

Maximus_Minimus
Maximus_Minimus

Sadly this will not be the end of this story.
Remember the coalition of the willing. It proved the UN security council is an empty propaganda shell. Further gutted by the Libya adventure. In more noble times the UN security council would dissolve itself, but too many high paying jobs are at stake.
As you said, the financial embargo will go on, and will strengthen China's hand.
They (China) can't believe winning would be so easy.

Six000mileyear
Six000mileyear

By voting in favor of Iran, China may earn a "terrorist nation" label.

Stuki
Stuki

"US dominance in the Mideast is over. Thank president Trump."

US dominance of anything has been waning for 50 years. At an accelerating pace. Trump just happens to be Dear Leader at a time when circumstances are making it more obvious. (Not saying he hasn't helped speed it up, but only t the margin.)

No country where increasingly all resources are being handed willy-nilly to mediocrities in exchange for nothing, will dominate much of anything for long. The US started with a lot of capital post WW2. It had a long way to fall. But the mediocrities The Fed has handed it all to, has by now largely burned it all, with their near universal incompetence at anything whatsoever aside from collecting welfare checks stolen from their more competent superiors.

Covid, the BLM riots etc., just put some pressure on the hollowed out cardhouse which is all that America now is. And, of course and inevitably: The mediocrities who "made money from their house" and "their portfolio," and from mindlessly being handed cuts of money others "made" of their house and "portfolio", failed. As fail is all they have the aptitude to do, once the task they are faced with, gets any more complimecated than collecting stolen handouts from The Fed.

Per current fantasy-derived-from-nothing-but-inertia, Americans are still plenty wealthier than Chinese. Which is exactly as relevant as Argentinians being wealthier than Chinese pre Corralito. In both cases, nothing but a Chimera built on a cardhouse. Just like in Argentina, once people start looking under the covers, and see how rotten it all really is, reassessment can be very, very quick and painful.

Realist
Realist

Trump's Six-Point Legacy

  1. Bully Allies
  2. Belittle Friends
  3. Break Good Deals
  4. Invoke Disastrous Trade and Sanction Policies
  5. Amplify Racial Hatred
  6. Drive Countries Into Deals With China

An excellent summary Mish. Trump is the Divider in Chief.

Trump has succeeded in isolating America; economically, militarily, and diplomatically.

Early on, America’s friends and allies were as tolerant as could be, hoping that Trump would soon learn that the world was not his toy to play with as he pleased. Sadly, he never seems to learn anything. He is just as ignorant today as he was 4 years ago.

As a result, those tolerant times have passed. America’s former friends and allies are now all thoroughly disgusted with Trump, and hence America. However, they are not stupid. They know that the world needs a strong America, that is willing to once again partner with them. But they know that is impossible with Trump in the White House.

I suspect they are all fervently hoping that Biden will win the election, simply because he is not the arrogant, uninformed, idiot that Trump is. Biden is someone who you can negotiate with, knowing that he won’t stab you in the back ten minutes later.

If Trump manages to win or steal the election, America will simply become a pariah on the world stage. If Biden wins, hopefully he can begin to heal the wounds that Trump has opened.

nzyank
nzyank

The US government has become a pariah internationally which cannot be good for American's long term interests. This has been apparent for a long time now.

Mish - What really gets me though, is that you recognize that the 11 abstentions are essentially a vote for Iran and against the US, but you are abstaining from endorsing a presidential candidate. Failure to endorse Biden/Harris is essentially sending a message that you are ok with continuing down the path the country has taken under 4 more years of Trump . Do you really think Biden/Harris would be as bad?? Still 77 days to change your mind....

spex
spex

@Sechel Well, that's interesting; why would Iran develop nukes now if they only wanted nuclear material for energy purposes? Hidden intent no? No negotiating with terrorists. Besides, Iran is not a threat to the US. Israel can finish it "chik-chak" if US gives the green light.

spex
spex

@xil Nowhere? Who does the US terrorize except the bad guys(Russia, Iran, China, Venezuela, North Korea, etc.)?

spex
spex

@Louis Winthorpe III No, I'm not. I go where I see is right and I see that Pres. Trump has done much good for the US and the world in 3.5 years. If you think the US is a laughingstock, I dare you to hand out a dollar in any other country and see how fast they take it and how much respect it gives you. Give me a euro or a pound and it's a souvenir. Don't let yourself be fooled by the anti-Trump narrative; look at the facts.

spex
spex

@nlightn
Oh, really? Is that why Putin("best relations between US & Russia in decades"-Putin), Kim Jong Il(friendly with US; more cooperation with S. Korea), Saudi Arabia(Wow; Ardha dance), China("please, make a deal!"), Iran(on their knees now) are in trouble or begging to be friends with Pres. Trump?

spex
spex

@Webej

Dude, where are you getting your information from(you're a scumbag, by the way)?

truthseeker
truthseeker

Why take me down? Are you intimidated by BLM?

amigator
amigator

You think China will come out ahead? We did exactly what we wanted while there and even that did not work out. We will be laughing like Russia is now with Afghanistan.... I can hear the water starting to drain! C'mon Trump!

Casual_Observer
Casual_Observer

Good luck dealing with Putin and other crooks. What's the point of being a libertarian but not espousing those values for the world ? Do you think a blog will change the world ?


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