Massive Manufacturing Disruptions Due to Coronavirus Include iPhone


Global manufacturing, including the iPhone, is under severe strain because of coronavirus related work stoppage.

Iphone Disruption

Floating Quarantines

China is effectively shut down and goods are now stranded in floating quarantines.

Nearby countries like Japan and South Korea are hit hardest but Global Shipping Disruptions will spread fast.

About 80% of world goods trade by volume is carried by sea and China is home to seven of the world's 10 busiest container ports, according to the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. Nearby Singapore and South Korea each have a mega port too.

"A closure of the world's manufacturing hub impacts container shipping at large, as it is a vital facilitator of the intra-Asian and global supply chains," said Peter Sand, chief shipping analyst at BIMCO, an international shipping association. "This will affect many industries and limit demand for containerized goods transport," Sand told CNN Business.

The shutdowns mean that some ships can't get into Chinese ports, as the loading and discharging of goods slows, said Guy Platten, secretary general of the International Chamber of Shipping, a trade body. Others are stuck in dock, waiting for workers to return to ports so that construction and repairs can be completed, Platten added.

Still more vessels are idling in "floating quarantined zones," as countries such as Australia and Singapore refuse to allow ships that have called at Chinese ports to enter their own until the crew has been declared virus-free, added Sand. Platten said he knew of at least one crew that is running low on food because their ship has been idled for so long.

Giant shipping companies such as Maersk, MSC Mediterranean Shipping, Hapag-Lloyd and CMA-CGM have said that they have reduced the number of vessels on routes connecting China and Hong Kong with India, Canada, the United States and West Africa.

Not Just Shipping

IAG Cargo, the air cargo arm of British Airways parent IAG, on Monday canceled all services to and from mainland China for at least the remainder of the month, citing a UK government travel advisory, according to a statement on its website.

German logistics group DHL has reported "severe disruptions to inbound and outbound air cargo shipments, trucking and rail cargo services."

Shipping Down 20% in China Ports

The Wall Street Journal reports Coronavirus Hits Shipping as China Port Traffic Slides

“The full impact of the Chinese coronavirus outbreak on container volumes will not be fully measurable until ports announce their throughput numbers for the first quarter, but data collected on weekly container vessel calls at key Chinese ports already shows a reduction of over 20% since 20 January,” Paris-based Alphaliner said in the report, released late Tuesday.

“As far as box volumes in China, we see a fall of around 23% over the past three weeks as the country is gradually shutting down,” said Wang Lei, a broker in Shanghai, the main gateway for Chinese exports and the world’s busiest seaport with some 42 million containers a year.

“Workers from crane operators to customs officials and truck drivers are staying home,” Mr. Lei said. “It’s always slower during the Lunar New Year holidays, but this is something else. People are afraid to interact and it’s killing business.”

Supply Chain Disruption to Japan and South Korea

Germany Coming Up


Nothing Moving

Volkswagen Postpones Restart of China Joint Venture Production

Tourist Ship Quarantines

Permanent Relocation?

Hong Kong Prepares to Quarantine China

Baltic Capsize Index is Negative

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Index tracking freight rates for world’s largest cargo ships plunges deep into negative territory as coronavirus slows global trade.

The Baltic Exchange’s capesize index, which constitutes part of the Baltic Dry Index—an important proxy for the world’s shipping market—extended deeper into negative territory Monday, after slipping below zero for the first time ever on Friday.

Capesize vessels move products such as iron ore and coal from mines in Latin America and Australia to Europe and China. The index tracking them plunged from minus 21 points to an all-time low of minus 102 on Monday, a Baltic Exchange spokesperson said.

The broader Baltic Dry Index, which tracks global shipping rates, fell to 466 on Monday, its lowest level in four years.

If the rate is negative, someone is paying you to take the ship.

Amazon Cancels Attending Conference

Supply chain disruptions are starting to hurt big time.

The airlines, carmakers, and phone makers are already in trouble, especially Hyundai and Apple.

Shipping disruptions to the US will hit the West coast ports no later than March.

But hey, let's pretend this is no worse than an average flu.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock

Comments (35)
No. 1-15

Tim "Marley" Cook forged his own supply chains.
Which will drag him to Hell.


How many of those massively overpriced phones contaminated with the (bioweapon) cornhole virus? AH a lot! At least folks got Obamacaid to cove hospices.

Russell J
Russell J

Not to be an alarmist but I think its critical to keep in mind 4 weeks ago this wasn't on anyones radar, now 2/3 of China is shutdown indefinitely and 400 million people are under some form of house arrest/martial law indefinitely. I've lost track how many countries have confirmed nCov cases. If you think this isn't going to get worse your out of your mind.
What do you think we can expect in the next 4 weeks?


Offtopic but how do you sell 500k iphones per day continually? Puts into perspective how many people there are and how th

Good thing I got other income than my mfg job. We dont crap from China. We send them crap so i'm not sure how that will go. We're already hurting from the tariffs.


This is a test. It is only a test. If this was a real attack turn to 1984 for further instructons.


The iPhone is 2.65% of the NASDAQ. That one item is 2.65% of a major US Index. Take about eggs in one basket.

And Mish this is just the beginning. There are probably very few items in your house that don’t have part or completely made in China.

Literally everything.

And we won’t even begin to talk about things needed to maintain our infrastructure. Pipe fitting, transformers, wire, ac compressors. The list is endless.

The US will learn about offshoring very quickly.

Seems like Trumps wet dream.

Runner Dan
Runner Dan

Prediction: 3 months from now, we'll all be talking about how bad the economic indicators are while the stock market is hitting new highs.


The Great Central Banking swindle is about to be exposed. Yes, you can stimulate demand through 'accomodative monetary policy' and interest rate suppression but Central Bankers cannot create production. People can get a bank loan or have a bag full of cash but nothing to buy except, maybe, a stay in hospital.


Hey all, daily lurker here.

I'm on a personal crusade to try and get people to start calling this the:
Wuhan Flu.

In the past these super flu's use to be named after their point or origin (Remember the Beijing Flu before china was globally significant?). It's more catchy too.

I think China deserves recognition for this Predictable and Preventable baby they created. This new trend of giving technolabels to these virii makes it easy to forget they are man made creations brought on by poor hygiene and farming practices that should be outlawed for the global death and suffering they cause.

Any thoughts on getting some momentum on this Mish et al?


And people thought the trade war would cause a recession. nCoV is the black swan for the global economy.


Trump's proposal to bring manufacturing back to the US doesnt look so silly when you think about controlling your own supply chains.


I'm pretty certain the "just the flu" thing started as people telling non-Chinese to worry about the flu more since the Coranavirus was mainly in China but was misconstrued to this. That's what I think at least


Newsflash: Nuclear Terrorism flattens City of London and Downtown Manhattan. Dow explodes +600 in overnight futures activity.


Ocean Shipping Service is a means of shipping by sea, between two countries or from one country to another. The companies using this service do not necessarily have to be located at sea ports but can have their principal office in one or the other place.

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