Lie of the Day From Mexico: "Virus Losing Intensity"

Mish

Mexico's President Lopez Obrador says the virus "is losing intensity". Facts suggest the opposite.

Mexico surpassed Italy in the number of Covid deaths and case counts have soared to record highs. Nonetheless, Obrador says the virus "is losing intensity"

."I want to tell you that the report is positive, is good, the conclusion is that the pandemic is decreasing, is losing intensity," Lopez Obrador said in a video address to the nation. 

"We have availability to receive patients. The other pandemic is the sensationalism from the conservative media, that's why we need to continue informing, they compare Mexico with other countries. Today I want to transmit tranquillity because we're improving facing professionally this pandemic," the President added.

Yesterday's Data

Top 10 Countries by Total Covid Deaths 2020-07-12

Mexico added 539 new deaths and although the curves are flattening, they are not pointing down.

Mexico 7-Day Moving Average Deaths

Mexico 7-Day Moving Average Deaths 2020-07-12

Mexico 7-Day Moving Average Cases

Mexico 7-Day Moving Average Cases 2020-07-12

There was an improvement in the number of deaths but that happened once before too. The number of cases is still on the rise and deaths tend to follow cases with a lag.

Dangerous Political Game

There is no way one can realistically brag about this data. 

It's possible the trends change right now, but it is a lie to say that have changed.

Obrador wants to spread confidence, but this will backfire if things worsen, as US president Donald Trump just found out.

Mish

Comments (17)
No. 1-7
ToInfinityandBeyond
ToInfinityandBeyond

Can’t blame this one on the Trumpster.

AbeFroman
AbeFroman

Anyone think Ron DeSantis will issue a mea culpa?

BillSanDiego
BillSanDiego

"...wrong too often. this is absurd. he's been reflecting the evolving knowledge..." That neatly summarized the stupidity of all this PREDICTING on anything. The future cannot be foretold and when we try we can do nothing but sow fear and dissention.

Anda
Anda

I guess "the conservative media" is different in Mexico from other countries in the region. "Opposition media" would likely be more correct, but I guess it sounds too conflictive.

Montana33
Montana33

We can’t trust numbers from Mexico, Brazil, Russia, and Iran among others. Our counts are too low due to too little testing but at least competent people in private industry are trying. Johns Hopkins and the covid-19 tracking project are our saviors.

JimmyScot
JimmyScot

Its not the first time that it's been claimed that the virus is weakening. Some pretty senior people in Italy have been saying it for weeks - patients presenting with lower viral loads, not getting as ill. So there may be something in it. Whether that translates to a genuine weakening of the virus or an impact of weather conditions remains to be seen.

Anda
Anda

In Spain the catalan regional authority tried to impose lockdown on Lerida province, which Lerida council took to court and the lockdown order was overturned as not constitutional, needing to come from central government. The Catalan authorities are still acting as if they have the say. In neighbouring Aragon they have had restrictive measures increased to "phase two flexible" which no-one seems to know what it means, probably they have a banker in the advisory committee.

Slightly further afield Tangiers in Morrocco has been put into lockdown, and South Africa has increased measures including re-banning the sale of alcohol. India as well has just increased measures, going back to a lockdown of some kind. Australia is likely already in most people's news feeds. This is probably going to go on like this for a long time.


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