Hospitalizations Surge As US Hits New Record Covid Cases

Mish

The US hit a record 108,000 cases on Wednesday.

Nine States Post New Record Cases

The day after the election, Covid Cases Surged to New Records.

Nine states reported record one-day increases in cases on Wednesday: Colorado, Idaho, Indiana, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Rhode Island, Washington and Wisconsin.

In addition to rising cases, on Tuesday hospitalizations topped 50,000 for the first time in three months. North Dakota reported only six free intensive care unit beds in the entire state on Wednesday, when it was one of 14 states that reported record levels of hospitalized COVID-19 patients.

The proportion of tests coming back positive is greater than 50% in South Dakota and over 40% in Iowa and Wyoming. The World Health Organization says rates of more than 5% are concerning because they indicate undetected community transmission. 

The previous U.S. record for new cases in a day was 100,233 on Oct. 30, the highest ever reported by any country in the world.

New Cases Per Million 

New Covid Cases Per Million - 2020-11-04

New Deaths Per Million

New Covid Deaths Per Million - 2020-11-04

Deaths inevitably follow hospitalizations so we should see a spike in deaths soon.

Mish

Comments (164)
No. 1-36
Eddie_T
Eddie_T

The way the pattern is developing seems to indicate it might be related to the seasonal change and the onset of cold weather, rather than any particular behavior.

The Midwest is about to be completely gobsmacked, or already is in some places.

Since the only thing that we can do that works is to (properly) wear a mask...and a real one, not some paper thin bandana...and to practice hand washing and using hand sanitizer...and social distancing....... EVERYONE should be doing that.....and if somebody around you isn't, you should stay the hell away from them

Lockdowns suck, we can all agree on that.......the best way to avoid lockdowns is to practice reasonable public health measures, and avoid irresponsible crowd behavior and bars.I think one reason our numbers are still good here is because the bars are still closed. I feel for the people in the hospitality industry...but bars are super-spreaders.

njbr
njbr

I thought it was going to disappear on Novemebr 4--that's what Trump said...

njbr
njbr

The next 2-1/2 months will be painful for the economy and the health of the population.

The guy at the top has instituted such a top-down structure (I alone can fix it) that the various agencies that should be mobilized to address this crisis are frozen into inaction without direction. The guy at the top has already spent the entire crisis minimizing it and standing in the way of effective public health policy and will be distracted for the next month or so addressing various conspiracies and lawsuits. And given his vindictive nature, it is certain that there will be a distinct slant to his response.

My guess is that the federal leadership and response will be even more absent.

Fire Faucci?

RayLopez
RayLopez

I'm not a Covid-19 skeptic, but here's something to consider. A company I follow, ACC, that rents houses to students (a possible buy too, gives 5% dividend).
Here is what they report on Covid-19, and keep in mind young people socialize so they are at risk: "For the 2020/2021 academic year, ACC realized 97% rental collections of its total leases, as of September, up from the 93.7% realized in the June quarter. Residents reported 1,500 positive Covid-19 cases, or only 1.7% of the trust’s total occupied beds. As of late October, there are only 110 active cases, or 0.1% of the trust’s total occupied beds. Even in the states with higher Covid-19 incidents, the trust is not seeing any major rise among its residents."

This data was after the 'second wave' not the current 'third wave' but still, it makes you wonder whether perhaps Covid-19 is over-rated as a threat? Keep in mind: active cases are not total cases, so any any one time only about (roughly) a months worth of active C-19 cases are active, or, given today's record high 'third wave': 75k avg infected people x 30 days = 2.2M infected people / 330M people in the USA = 0.7% or 7 people out of 1000, or, "not that many"

Doug78
Doug78

jerrykeyes
jerrykeyes

How do you get the word out that LERONLIMAB is a safe Effacious therapy for Covid-19. Phase 2 trial just showed that after 3 days viral load was eliminated! This will save DEATHS! This is a David vs Goliath in the battle with Remdesivir. Mish, can you help?

Rocky Raccoon
Rocky Raccoon

How can that be? It's November 5. The election was two days ago. The media is just pushing this hoax to hurt the president elect...

The Rub
The Rub

More granularity about the underlying causes for patient admissions is needed. A case is not a case until one is hospitalized, IMHO. Also critical to be aware that Medical Authorities continue to ban/ignore treatments which have been shown to reduce hospital admissions, i.e. Ivermectin/zinc/antibiotic bundle. And what about the role of private equity in taking ownership of rural hospitals and slashing number of ICU beds? Hospital admissions always increase this type of year. How much of these admissions are the result of spiritual exhaustion and despair? No pcr test for that unfortunately.

KidHorn
KidHorn

This was going to happen sooner or later. It's extremely infectious. The idea was to not overwhelm the medical system. Or to lesson the overwhelming. I think so far, the world has done a pretty good job.

Call_me_Al
Call_me_Al

In ND there isn't a lack of space or equipment, it is a staffing issue-

"The doctor echoed other hospital administrators in saying that the crunch at medical centers is due to staff shortages, rather than a lack of physical beds.

Like many other states, North Dakota had a lack of nurses and other workers before the pandemic, and the issue has only been exacerbated in recent months. Trinity spokeswoman Karim Tripodina confirmed that about 140 staff members at the hospital had been in quarantine as of the end of last week, though she was unsure how many staff members are currently on the sidelines."

@KidHorn, the general consensus is that the pathogen is extremely infectious, so that should beg the question 'Why is this happening later, not sooner?'. This part of the country has been less conforming to official guidelines, so why would it be the last region to be designated a hot spot?

numike
numike

my favorite comment line: "I'm not a covid expert"

numike
numike

and fiddly dee to all your chatter
Whats important is that we save the cookies!
"Oreo built a doomsday vault to protect cookies from an asteroid. No, we're not kidding."

njbr
njbr

People work in jobs that they have an affinity for and have the best cost/benefit ratio, as they understand it.

People who were willing to accept the cost/benefit ratio of working in health-care during a non-pandemic, find that the cost/benefit ratio during a pandemic has drastically changed.

Few people go into a job with the understanding that they are placing themselves and people they care about in jeopardy. It is unrealistic to expect the health-care system to remain fully-staffed in an extended time of new, unexpected risk.

Futher, it is extemely demoralizing for the health-care workers to know that at least half the population dismisses even the most basic public health practices.

So, yes, there may be rooms--will there be workers?

amigator
amigator

And that's only the tested it is probably 10 times more people actually have the virus and/or have had it so we are probably closer to 98 million at least 240k deaths 0.245% deaths.... still 20 times normal flu very serious. Stay safe and be healthy!

Dodge Demon
Dodge Demon

Mish, can China help us out by shipping those mobile crematorium incinerators from Wuhan that you were writing about 8 months ago?

Mish
Mish

Editor

There will be 2 runoff Senate elections in Georgia
Perdue "won" but will not top 50%.
GA requires a runoff

In the other GA seat, no one came close to 50%

ToInfinityandBeyond
ToInfinityandBeyond

Mish - do you still have Georgia and PA going to Biden?

Mish
Mish

Editor

Georgia Update

This is going to be within a few thousand votes
Remaining votes will be solidly Biden - do not know if there are enough of them

Mish
Mish

Editor

Can people edit comments?

Mish
Mish

Editor

Trump alleges 10,000 illegal votes in Nevada

Mish
Mish

Editor

Georgia Update

Well forget about Noon

This is going to be within a few thousand votes

Assuming 61,000 left and current Trump lead of 13.5K is accurate I believe Biden will win

“We’re going to make sure every legal, lawful ballot is counted,” said Mr. Sterling, speaking for Republican Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger.

ToInfinityandBeyond
ToInfinityandBeyond

Posted to test edit

ToInfinityandBeyond
ToInfinityandBeyond

No option to edit my post. Only option is to copy link.

Jojo
Jojo

So tired of Covid. Let the "weeding" progress and let's move on.

Mish
Mish

Editor

Mish
Mish

Editor

if editing was there and is now gone - then due to being forced to turn off posting again, the two are related.

Another attack on my website

Sports betting and sports promotion sites sending hundreds or even thousands of links. Do not know the count. They are autodeleted.

This has been going on for several days causing frustration for everyone.

In response, spam filter also affecting legitimate comments. I undelete them when I see them.

Do not submit comments twice if they disappear. It's extra work on me.

Apologies offered.

Mish

frozeninthenorth
frozeninthenorth

Don't know according to the Qanon guys there are all actors there is no covid it's all fake news. No one is sick it's a plan by the man to keep the bros under control.
One of the most amazing stats that has come out is the increase in the wealth of the 1% over the past 7 months -- astronomical; clearly for some Covid has been a great thing.

Gilead
Gilead

Look at the numbers:
The US has 13% of the new deaths, 19% of new cases, and 20% of severe cases in the world.
Give or take, that is a larger number of cases than India and Brazil together.
The trend is increasing faster than the most pessimistic projections
Pertinent to the presented data, commentary should focus on the seriousness of the situation.
Gilead

RonJ
RonJ

Chris Martenson: "The silence around Vitamin D alone is extremely telling. It is the pharmacological dog that did not bark.

One true inference suggests others. Here, too, we can deduce from the near total silence around Vitamin D that the health managers would prefer not to talk about it. They don’t want people to know. That much is painfully clear.

Such lack of promotion (let alone appropriate study) of safe, effective treatments is a thread that, if tugged, can unravel the whole rug. The silence tells us everything we need to know."

Martinson has also become critical of the suppression of HCQ.

Not from Martinson's blog:

"Patterns of COVID-19 Mortality and Vitamin D: An Indonesian Study
Vitamin D Insufficient Patients, those patients that had a blood serum 25(OH)D of between 21 to 29 ng/ml died at a rate that was 12 times greater
than those patients who had a blood serum level greater than 30 ng/ml.

Vitamin D Deficient Patients, those patients that had a Vit D active blood serum level that was lees than 20 ng/ml died at a rate that was 19 times
greater, than those patients that had a blood serum level that was greater than 30 ng/ml.

Regardless of sex or age, Vit. D deficient people are 19 times more likely to die from covid or have serious organ damage than those who are
Vit. D normal."

As far as i am aware, Dr. Fauci has never suggested that anyone take vitamin D or zinc. Nor has the head of the CDC, to my knowledge.

Six000mileyear
Six000mileyear

My company is still planning to re-open the offices to 40% by first of the year. It is a very big company so that explains the lag between the uptrend in COVID and their decision-making.

Realist
Realist

The US is definitely going in the wrong direction. From worldometer:

US cases:deaths

Nov 1 S 71,321:399

Nov 2 M 88,905:522

Nov 3 T 94,463:1199

Nov 4 W 108,352:1200

Nov 5 T 118,204:1125

ToInfinityandBeyond
ToInfinityandBeyond

With all eyes on the election this COVID outbreak has gotten completely out of hand. If this virus follows the course we have seen to date we can expect hospitalizations to increase significantly in the next week or two followed by a spike in the death rate. Hope to hell I am wrong otherwise it is not going to be the happiest of Thanksgivings or the Merriest of Christmases.

BillSanDiego
BillSanDiego

San Diego County is facing another shutdown due to increase in new cases. Repeat increase in new cases, not increase in hospitalizations. There has been no increase in hospitalizations, it remains at 297 in a county of 2.5 million, but new cases requires an economic shutdown.

Jojo
Jojo

A live debate is happening on Youtube in a couple of hours that some may be interested in:

Herd Immunity as a Coronavirus Pandemic Strategy
November 6, 2020, 3:20P Central US

Would letting coronavirus infect the broad US and global population be a safe and effective means of ending the COVID-19 pandemic?

Jay Bhattacharya, MD, PhD, of Stanford University's Center for Primary Care and Outcomes Research is a signatory of the 'Great Barrington Declaration,' which proposes to "allow those at minimal risk of death to live their lives normally to build up immunity to the virus through natural infection, while better protecting those who are at highest risk."

Marc Lipsitch, PhD, of the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, a signatory of the 'John Snow Memorandum' which refutes the argument, responds.


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