Covid-19 Update and Tweets of the Day

Mish

As daily record cases sweep across the South, let's take a look at the data and pertinent Tweets.

New Record Cases Across the South

Today vs Yesterday and Last Week

Hospitalizations Bottomed on June 15

A Word From South Dakota

Jim Cramer in Search of a Good Mask Design

Somehow I doubt the next mask is the answer. 

Has Anyone Tried This?

Trump says Mask Makes Him Look Like the Lone Ranger

Doubts Arise

What About Middle Seats on Airplanes?

Fake News on Covid Parties

In Honor of Nurses

Florida Fool Wears Underwear to Protest Masks

Trump's Coronavirus Strategy in a Nutshell

Please play that video. It's a riot.

We Have Now Reached Stage 4

A Word About Common Sense

We are in a three-day holiday weekend.  

Bianco notes lots of labs and doctor's offices will be closed. So look for a dip in new cases into Monday/Tuesday.  Next Thursday/Friday will tell us the real trend.

Mish

Comments (84)
No. 1-18
BaronAsh
BaronAsh

Realist
Realist

There is no good reason for Americans to have to suffer like this when other countries have shown that you can get the virus under control and then open safely.

Today’s new cases:deaths

Spain 442:17

Italy 223:15

Germany 283:9

France 582:18

Canada 319:21

Singapore 169:0

Switzerland 134:0

Japan 194:1

S Korea 63:0

USA 54,904:616

America has failed.

DBG8489
DBG8489

In the second week of April, we tested about 100K people. Of those tested, about 15% of them were positive (14,975).

Since April, the number of those tested has been rising but the percentage of positive results has gone down (with a notable exception in the 3rd and 4th week of April. Since mid-May, the percentage of positive results has fluctuated between 6 and 9%.

The last week of June, we tested nearly 2,000,000. Of those tested, 8.6% of them were positive (162,750)

Clearly, the percentage of positive results has gone down while the number of positive results is going up because we are testing 10x more people than we were in early April.

Also in April and May, we were only testing those who actually had real symptoms that were causing them enough problems that they had to go to the hospital. Now we are testing anyone who goes to a testing center and says they believe they have symptoms.

Why are we testing more? Because we can. Because that's what everyone wanted. That's what everyone demanded. If we were still testing only those with actual, verifiable symptoms, the number of "cases" - which should really be the number of "positive test results" unless the actual presence of symptoms can be verified - would be dropping in all likelihood.

Instead, we are using bad data that is being misread and misused by many and calling every positive test result a new "case" without regard to the presence of symptoms or any real verification of the type or accuracy of the tests themselves.

Anda
Anda

What I'm reading...

Online question twitter - are people wearing masks?

Replies from UK, very few are.

In Spain depends, in some places (Madrid transit) most people, but then local terrace or street, less than half. Over-all news poll 80% or more questioned say they wear masks, but in practice by observation in most situations less than half do.

In Portugal by own observation, some wear masks, some places (e.g. some shops) obligatory, outside probably less than half.

(Continued as own reply to not take space) .....

Casual_Observer
Casual_Observer

Speaking to sister in law who is a primary care doctor in South Texas. They had 100 admits at the hospital in 24 hours. They had 500 calls into their primary care facility in 24 hours or patients with covid like symptoms. The shitshow is truly beginning now in Texas.

Jojo
Jojo

Now They Are Trying To Tell Us That COVID-19 Is “10 Times More Infectious” Than It Was At The Beginning Of The Pandemic
June 29, 2020

If the elite really do intend to use COVID-19 to fundamentally transform our society, they are going to need to continue to find ways to make it sound a lot more scary than it really is. Over the past couple of weeks, we have been endlessly barraged with news stories that boldly declare that “the second wave” is here, and now we are being told that this coronavirus is “10 times more infectious” than it was when it first started spreading in China. And we are also being told that COVID-19 “causes infected human cells to sprout tentacles loaded with viral venom to help it spread around the body”. All of that definitely sounds quite frightening, and over the past couple of weeks a lot of people have really been freaking out as the number of confirmed cases has surged.

But it has become clear that this virus is not going to kill more than 50 million people like the Spanish Flu pandemic of 1918 to 1920 did.

So far, the death toll from this virus has surpassed half a million, and more will keep dying every day. However, we need to keep in mind that millions of people die from various diseases every single year. According to the WHO, the flu kills between 290,000 and 650,000 people each year, but we don’t shut down everything because of that.

Anda
Anda

"Jim Cramer in Search of a Good Mask Design"

This is paging Elon material, but I'll throw it in all the same because someone might be more up to tinkering with the idea than I am.

It is techy and probably expensive:

The idea is a baseball cap where on the rim pointing downwards, aimed just inside ear to ear, is a duct that sends a curtain of filtered compressed air aimed in but to pass over chin then meet a persons shoulders and front. When a person breathes in this is registered (various ways to) and the airflow, or a seperate air flow directed towards the face, increases.

This assembly is fed by a powered fan unit worn elsewhere, connected by (spiral) flexible tube to rear of cap.

No mask and free baseball cap included with space for any familiar motto .

Have fun someone...I'd like to know if it would actually work :) .

Curious-Cat
Curious-Cat

Give President Trump a break. He's merely exhibiting typical human behavior. Thinking is hard. That's why most people prefer to judge.

njbr
njbr

But wait, are we now moving past the "it's only younger people testing positive and they won't end up in the hospital" phase of the denial?

Isn't that what was being said last week??

Casual_Observer
Casual_Observer

So it turns out the strain that hit China Italy and New York was different then the one that most other places in March. The mutation that hit those 3 places only affected Washington state and Michigan because of travellers from New York. That mutation is now hitting the rest of the country and world. This strain transmits faster and gets more people sicker more quickly. This is why California and Texas and elsewhere is getting hit harder now than in March. The country will now go through what New York City went through in March and April. We will need a partial shutdown of high contact places like bars, restaurants and the like to bend the curve on this mutation. Unfortunately the first mutation in most of the country and world doesnt give any protection from the second one. The good news is outcomes are about the same but the bad news is hospitals cant keep up with the rapid spread on this strain.

njbr
njbr

Per CDC, expect 2000 CV cases admitted in hospitals per day in Texas by mid-July.

Not only are they pretending it doesn't exist, they're going to go to the hospitals pretending to be ill in record numbers.

What a set of jokesters.

What patriots!

njbr
njbr

I personally think a walk-out strike by healthcare workers is in order.

Mish
Mish

Editor

@DBG8489

This comment by you is blatant bullshit:

"Since April, the number of those tested has been rising but the percentage of positive results has gone down (with a notable exception in the 3rd and 4th week of April. "

You are entitled to your own stupidity but every source but armchair fools understands that the positive test rate has gone up so it is NOT just increased testing leading to more cases.

I do not have time to refute blatant bullshit. Either stop or I will stop you.

ToInfinityandBeyond
ToInfinityandBeyond

New York peaked at over 11,500 cases per day. Florida reported over 11,000 cases today. The COVID virus caught New York largely by surprise although you could argue in retrospect that they should have seen it coming. Florida on the other hand had lots of advance notice as to what was heading their way. The Florida governor has a lot to answer for. Is incompetence grounds for impeachment?

njbr
njbr

Gov Ducey AZ requests 500 additional crisis actors from feds to react to phony statistics...

Pence responds...we did hear in the briefing today for the need for personnel. We’ve already responded. Sixty-two medical personnel arrived this week in Tucson. But the governor conveyed to us an additional request for another 500 personnel, and I’ve instructed the Acting Secretary of Homeland Security to move out immediately on providing the additional doctors and nurses and technical personnel.

BaronAsh
BaronAsh

Daily death rates going steadily down. Testing number up, plus now conflating presence of antibodies with positive result.

Picture:


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