Bird Flu Outbreak: 4,500 of 7,850 Chickens Died of Contagion

Mish

China is slaughtering chickens now to stop the spread of bird Flu.

The South China Morning Post reports outbreak of deadly bird flu among chickens in Hunan province, close to coronavirus epicentre of Wuhan

China has reported an outbreak of the deadly H5N1 bird flu in Hunan province, which lies on the southern border of Hubei province, the epicentre of the rapidly spreading coronavirus.

The outbreak occurred in a farm in the Shuangqing district of Shaoyang city. The farm has 7,850 chickens, and 4,500 of the chickens have died from the contagion. Local authorities have culled 17,828 poultry after the outbreak,” according to a statement by China’s Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs on Saturday.

No human cases of the Hunan H5N1 virus has been reported. It is possible, but difficult, to transmit bird flu from person to person, according to the World Health Organisation (WHO).

However, bird flu is highly deadly to humans who contract it, with a mortality rate of more than 50 per cent in cases over the last 15 years, which is much deadlier to humans than either Sars (a 10 per cent mortality rate) or the novel coronavirus (a 2 per cent mortality rate in the outbreak so far).

Official Coronavirus Stats

Image placeholder title

Official Deaths in Wuhan

Image placeholder title

The above stats as translated from China Official National Statistics.

I added the percentages.

The problem is: few believe the death totals.

Comparison Silliness

  • Comparisons to the Flu are absurd without believable reporting
  • Comparisons between China and US are absurd as the US may have acted in time to stop the spread

Mike "Mish" Shedlock

Comments (18)
No. 1-7
Greggg
Greggg

Last year China lost a bunch of hogs to the African Swine Fever. Pork prices more than doubled there in some areas. I'd say they probably have more problems with maintaining a food supply than with This new viral outbreak.

abend237-04
abend237-04

I read recently that over 20% of China's protein comes from chicken. It's bad news when they're slaughtering them in huge numbers, as they do all too frequently. When they do, you know they've seen something that scares hell out of them.

Irondoor
Irondoor

Context: In the 2018 flu season, 80,000 Americans died from it. Why was this not a national pandemic? Hundreds died daily. No travel bans or checks at airports. No lockdowns. 250,000 die each year from medical malpractice. Doctors are so inept they have to carry expensive malpractice insurance. The whole thing is bizarre.

Realist
Realist

There is not enough appropriate land in the world to support the number of animals needed to satisfy our present and projected demand for meat. Though I am a big fan of most meats, I am also aware that what is simply unsustainable, will not continue. Fortunately, we are developing meat alternatives. Though I know what I would prefer to eat, I understand that as time goes on, humans will simply have less real meat in their diets.

Casual_Observer
Casual_Observer

Seems like an early overreaction to compensate for late reaction to nCoV. The problem again is China.

sangell
sangell

This is, at present, more a political and economic crisis than an existential medical one. And that is the problem. A million dead in China over a year is statistical noise. A 10% drop in global GDP is probably not survivable.

alanking
alanking

how come h5n1 in Denmark isn't news but as soon as it appears in China it's like top news ?

On 29 January 2020, low pathogenic avian influenza H5 has been confirmed in a commercial poultry holding with organic laying hens. The layers were tested in accordance with the Danish surveillance programme for avian influenza in poultry. The holding consists of approximately 48.000 organic egg layers. The egg layers at the infected holding will be culled and the carcasses will be disposed by rendering.