Biden Announces a 100-Day Plan to Defeat the Covid Pandemic

Mish

Biden warns things will get worse and expects the U.S. death toll to top 500,000 next month.

Dark Winter of Pandemic 

“We’re in a dark winter of this pandemic,” said president Biden addressing the nation.  

With a slew of executive orders, Biden Moves to Jump-Start Covid Fight.

President Biden signed 10 executive orders on his first full day in office to combat the coronavirus, seeking Thursday to jump-start the U.S. response to the pandemic while warning it will take “many months to get where we need to be.”

The new strategy is focused partly on ramping up vaccinations and curbing the spread of the virus through mask wearing, testing data and treatments, and includes the executive orders and directives signed Thursday. One order directs agencies to use their authority, including the Defense Production Act, to meet shortfalls in supplies such as masks, while another establishes a pandemic testing board to expand testing supply and access. 

Another order requires masks in airports and in certain types of public transportation such as many trains, ships, intercity buses and airplanes.

The orders signed Thursday also call for studies, including large-scale randomized trials, to identify treatments. And Mr. Biden’s administration will create public dashboards with state-by-state and national information on testing, vaccinations and hospital admissions.

“This is a fundamentally different approach from the Trump administration,” Jeffrey Zients, the White House Covid-19 coordinator, said on Wednesday, adding that the administration’s strategy is “driven by science, data and public health.”

Biden Signs Orders for Covid Response

The New York Times reports Biden Signs Executive Orders for Covid Response

“History is going to measure whether we are up to the task,” Mr. Biden declared in an appearance in the State Dining Room of the White House, with Vice President Kamala Harris and Dr. Anthony S. Fauci, his chief Covid-19 medical adviser, by his side.

The Biden plan is in some respects overly optimistic and in others not ambitious enough, some experts say. It is not clear how he would enforce the quarantine requirement. And his promise to inject 100 million vaccines in his first hundred days is aiming low, since those 100 days should see twice that number of doses available.

“The brutal truth is it’s going to take months before we can get the majority of Americans vaccinated,” Mr. Biden said.

“Help is On the Way”

“Help is on the way,” promised Biden. 

Here is Biden's 200-page National Strategy for the Covid-19 Response and Pandemic Preparedness.

"To meet the aggressive vaccination target  of 100 million shots by the first 100 days, the  federal government will work with states and the private sector to effectively execute an aggressive vaccination strategy, focusing on the immediate actions necessary to convert vaccines into vaccinations, including improving allocation, distribution, administration, tracking, and support to State, local, Tribal and territorial governments."

It's important to distinguish between Biden's fiscal plan and his covid vaccine delivery response. 

I propose the fiscal response should not be a $2 trillion shotgun approach. 

I see little reason to hand out money to people not impacted by Covid and I believe it is not wise to pay more money to people on unemployment than they made being unemployed.

Curiously, Trump agreed with the $2 trillion shotgun approach and fumed with Congress over smaller amounts. 

An Actual Plan

200 pages is a lot of detail. 

Whether you agree with the document or not, Biden unveiled an actual plan, something that Trump never had. 

Mish

Comments (77)
PecuniaNonOlet
PecuniaNonOlet

Well Xmas holiday is over, the next one will be spring break, then easter, then memorial day and finally fourth of july.

What are the odds we get spikes after each of those holidays?

Things will probably get better between late Sept thru Nov until we hit holiday season again.

ohno
ohno

As long as help doesn't include nationwide lockdowns i'm ok with it. We've destroyed enough. Better part of 1 million a week filing claims since last march. I don't know when we're going to hit the wall but it can't be far off.

caradoc-again
caradoc-again

A plan to hang onto. Good.

It can always be modified as it is executed as there are bound to be bumps in the road. There was little excuse for not having a plan under Trump.

Executing on this is a test of national defence for future warfare. How fast civilian protection can be develop and rolled out to key areas needed to keep a country operating.

Many useful lessons can be learned.

The Israelis, as one example "get it" and have been particularly quick.

Realist
Realist

Trump went an entire year without a plan. Over 400,000 Americans died. Biden has been President for one day and he presents his plan. It will take time for it to have an effect. Until then, another 100,000 Americans will die (at least).

The economy cannot recover until the pandemic is under control. We may not be able to completely eradicate it (time will tell), but at least we can try our best to get it under control. That is why it is so difficult to talk about the fed, interest rates, taxes, etc. Because none of that stuff really matters until the pandemic is controlled.

Realist
Realist

Imagine that. 424,864 more deaths than the year before. Looking at Worldometer, it says 420,000 US Covid deaths so far. What a good match.

In addition, US life expectancy is expected to drop by 1.13 years because of Covid. Think about the damage. 332 million Americans x 1.13 years = 375 million years of life lost.

Yet the feeble minded conspiracy believers kept saying that deaths were over counted, because it was all a media hoax to take away your freedoms.

It's funny, because no how many times these feeble minded folk are proven wrong, they keep coming back with new conspiracies, oblivious to the fact that they are wrong every time.

I wonder what all the Q-Anon kooks will alter their conspiracies to be now.

bluestone
bluestone

The USA in the world is in the strange position of being Italy in the EU but entirely in charge of the ECB. Certainly in this case more stimulus wouldn't increase the competitiveness of Italy (and has not).
There are 150 million workers in the US then they are carrying 5K per person goods deficit.
But. When you think about the value of the dollar, its not just Venezuela, there is demand for dollars all over the place. I wouldn't be surprised if external real non-financial dollar users globally was easily 300 million. Zimbabwe, general use in Africa, cash holdings in Mexico. Thats ignoring petro-dollar use. These are embedded systems of exchange are robust to change.
So maybe Biden/Yellen are correct. Maybe they can inflate to 5% internal to the US but have that soaked back down to 2.5% by global dollar use (and demand). You might think this is just rehashing the petro-dollar demand argument and vulnerable to China/Russia decoupling, the point i am making is that the US reflation is internal, but there is real and extensive non-financial dollar use externally that has to wait for the dollar outflows.
i.e. it might work and not be an inflationary disaster for the states.

Eddie_T
Eddie_T

It’s better to overspend on a fiscal stimulus right now than to underspend. What I think is....this won’t even be the last round.

I haven’t seen our grosses for the last quarter of 2020 yet...that’s how I intend to plan for the future.....it’s our new normal......probably the best we can do with all the extra social distancing we have to do....the extra time it takes mostly.....to do our normal amount of work each day. I hope it’s substantially better than Q3, which was still down 46% y.oy. from 2019. We actually worked full time throughout Q3...and I was surprised we didn’t do better than that. We seemed very busy to me. We just weren’t as efficient as we used to be in normal times.

I applied for the new PPP. It should be $100K....it will keep us going. Glad to get it.

I worry about tenants deciding to take advantage of the rent forbearance. Fortunately it hasn’t been an issue.....yet. I’m struggling to get all our property taxes paid on time. It will happen but my reserves are down....I had to spend big on repairs on a couple of my houses this year...and I still have a vacancy. But we aren’t in any kind of real bind o our RE.....so far.

I’m glad to see Biden’s COVID plan get kick-started so soon. Not sure it will get the job down that much faster....but the more people we can vaccinate the better. Just returning to an evidence based approach to treating disease......from Trump’s ill-considered ignorance and voodoo belief system. What an absolute miserable failure of an administration.

I was scared of Trump from the day he got elected....Scared because he was such a bad choice.....scared because so many people bought into his brand of snake-oil politics...scared he would try to subvert the electoral process..

And I was right to be scared. I won’t be happy until he is convicted in the Senate...or he goes to jail for one or more of his many crimes. If he gets any political capital back together.....it’s Katy bar the door.

shamrock
shamrock

The goal is way too low. 50m fully vaccinated in 3 months is not nearly enough to put this virus away. Need at least double.

Sechel
Sechel

The goal is low but far higher than where we are or where Trump's trajectory was putting us. My feeling is Biden's team looked at where we are and what was achievable. They needed a goal that is both achievable and one that required a fair bit of work and planning. It is refreshing to see an actual plan with details. Trump always talked in vagueries, avoided publishing metrics and then failed to take responsibility. I"m sure people will quibble as to whether its the best plan but just like in business after debate a plan must be chosen and then everyone needs to buy in and execute. Sounds like this is a decent plan and far superior to what we had before.

Sechel
Sechel

Some of Biden's plan is low hanging fruit. Requiring masks in Federal buildings, airports and Federal transportation hubs. Not rocket science.... Which brings up the question why the Trump team fought the obvious. Trump let ideology take priority over pragmatism and science.

Augustthegreat
Augustthegreat

Having a plan is a professional way to handle a major problem. Trump did worse than a toddler. Trump's team were mostly sycophants and ass-kissers.

Mattbeau
Mattbeau

I barely come here once a month. Wow. It has turned into a Biden felatio fest filled with cowards afraid of an affliction no worse than flu for most people. Weaklings

JoeJohnson
JoeJohnson

Only thing Biden can do is yell at the kids for being on his lawn. Day 2 and he has already turned out to be the most hyper partisan, divisive usurper.

JoeJohnson
JoeJohnson

Working in Covid ICU day to day we are definitely seeing different presentation and progression of the disease. We knew we had a different strain before it was in the media. Overall mortality is still low but once a patient in ICU it's above 70%.

guidoamm
guidoamm

Help is indeed on the way. PCR cycle thresholds are suddenly important ...
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WHO Information Notice for IVD Users 2020/05
WHO Information Notice for IVD Users 2020/05

Product type: Nucleic acid testing (NAT) technologies that use polymerase chain reaction (PCR) for detection of SARS-CoV-2 Date: 13 January 2021                                                                       WHO-identifier: 2020/5, version 2 Target audience: laboratory professionals and users of IVDs.Purpose of this notice: clarify information previously provided by WHO. This notice supersedes WHO Information Notice for In Vitro Diagnostic Medical Device (IVD) Users 2020/05 version 1, issued 14 December 2020. Description of the problem: WHO requests users to follow the instructions for use (IFU) when interpreting results for specimens tested using PCR methodology.  Users of IVDs must read and follow the IFU carefully to determine if manual adjustment of the PCR positivity threshold is recommended by the manufacturer.WHO guidance Diagnostic testing for SARS-CoV-2 states that careful interpretation of weak positive results is needed (1). The cycle threshold (Ct) needed to detect virus is inversely proportional to the patient’s viral load. Where test results do not correspond with the clinical presentation, a new specimen should be taken and retested using the same or different NAT technology.WHO reminds IVD users that disease prevalence alters the predictive value of test results; as disease prevalence decreases, the risk of false positive increases (2). This means that the probability that a person who has a positive result (SARS-CoV-2 detected) is truly infected with SARS-CoV-2 decreases as prevalence decreases, irrespective of the claimed specificity. Most PCR assays are indicated as an aid for diagnosis, therefore, health care providers must consider any result in combination with timing of sampling, specimen type, assay specifics, clinical observations, patient history, confirmed status of any contacts, and epidemiological information.Actions to be taken by IVD users: Please read carefully the IFU in its entirety. Contact your local representative if there is any aspect of the IFU that is unclear to you. Check the IFU for each incoming consignment to detect any changes to the IFU.Provide the Ct value in the report to the requesting health care provider. Contact person for further information:Anita SANDS, Regulation and Prequalification, World Health Organization, e-mail: rapidalert@who.int References:1. Diagnostic testing for SARS-CoV-2. Geneva: World Health Organization; 2020, WHO reference number WHO/2019-nCoV/laboratory/2020.6.2. Altman DG, Bland JM. Diagnostic tests 2: Predictive values. BMJ. 1994 Jul 9;309(6947):102. doi: 10.1136/bmj.309.6947.102. 

Jojo
Jojo

From the NYT quote below, it seems that Covid-19 vaccination will not prevent you from getting sick, you will [supposedly] just get LESS sick than you would have. 

I know this is not what most people getting vaccinated are expecting.  From my readings and conversations, almost everyone believes that vaccination will be complete and total protection against Covid-19 moving forward. Going to be some disappointment if vaccinated people get sick anyway.

"Proof of immunization will not be sufficient, because the vaccines have only been shown to prevent serious illness, said Jason McDonald, a spokesman for the C.D.C. Vaccinated people may still become infected, in theory, and transmit the virus on a flight."

auloa
auloa

Those strategies were what USA was needed a long time ago, they have been losing so many people just for not apply the right measurements with the virus, i think with this new plan they are going to overcome and get better, although is something good i belive that some companies are going to suffer economically that why i think cryptocurrencies can help them https://www.mintme.com/news/cryptocurrencies-social-distance-best-friend here you can find more information about!

numike
numike

Dr. Fauci says new data shows Covid vaccines appear to be less effective against some new strains
so Fauci is saying that all these wonder vaccines will NOT protect you against the slew of mutations that are occurring. SO WHAT IS THE POINT OF THESE VACCINES?? Seriously what do these vaccines cover??

Call_me_Al
Call_me_Al

How about an effort to get a reliable, widely-used diagnostic test? PCR is a method for replication and isn't a valid way to diagnose disease, no matter how many articles claim it is the gold standard. A positive PCR result does not indicate the pathogen causing illness, does not indicate whether the pathogen is live or inactive, and the result can be positive or negative depending on the cycle threshold.

To illustrate the incoherent approach to testing --

Back in November, MIT was telling young adults with no symptoms to isolate while using a cycle threshold of 40 (a ridiculously high level), while a study of symptomatic health care workers deemed to be infected considered them uninfected at or above a cycle threshold of 31.5.

TexasTim65
TexasTim65

Whelp, I've just finished my 10 day quarantine for being positive along with the rest of my family and a bunch of relatives.

Know how many were actually sick (as in vomited or missed a day of school/work from home). Zero. Nada. Nobody.

For us it was all a big nothing burger other than loss of smell/taste for a few days.

None of us were planning to get the vaccine anyway and now we definitely won't be getting it.

AussiePete
AussiePete

Here is a very interesting article on the current strategies from an expert... A few points from the article...

1 The first principal of vaccinology has always been that a vaccine is unlikely to give better protection than does the disease itself. Recurrent Covid19 infections have been documented during the first year of the pandemic.

2 The 80 year history of influenza vaccine development, has resulted in an annual vaccine-induced protection of 20-60%, with lower response rates in those over 65.

3 Over 800 mutations have been described to date for the Covid19 virus, including a Brazilian strain that the current vaccines might not protect against

4 The author suggests that the Nova Vax vaccine might be the one to keep an eye on, with clinical trial results due mid year

5 The current vaccines give little (at best 50%) protection against infection (as opposed to “clinical symptoms”) over the 8 weeks observation period, when asymptomatic infection was recorded. When FDA data (not provided by Pfizer) was analysed to include “suspected Covid19 disease”, protection against infection dropped to 20%

6 Careful follow up of the Oxford vaccine trial, showed re-infection rates in those given the vaccine who had positive cultures at the start of the trial, was the same as “first up infections” in the placebo group.

7 There is no realistic chance of herd immunity, given the high rate of asymptomatic infections in vaccinated individuals. It can be predicted that endemic spread of the virus throughout the population will occur.

8 In a “Post Truth World’, those with Covid19 disease are denied safe, effective treatment which if given early can reduce admission to hospital and death. Two drugs are effective: hydroxychloroquine, and ivermectin - there is an "irrefutable case."

njbr
njbr

The UK variant is reported to have a death rate of 13 or 14 out of 1000 cases, as opposed to the orginal variant that had a death rate of 10 per 1000.


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