TheStreet Ratings' stock model projects a stock's total return potential over a 12-month period including both price appreciation and dividends. Our Buy, Hold or Sell ratings designate how we expect these stocks to perform against a general benchmark of the equities market and interest rates.

While plenty of high-yield opportunities exist, investors must always consider the safety of their dividend and the total return potential of their investment. It is not uncommon for a struggling company to suspend high-yielding dividends which could subsequently result in precipitous share price declines.

TheStreet Ratings' stock rating model views dividends favorably, but not so much that other factors are disregarded. Our model gauges the relationship between risk and reward in several ways, including: the pricing drawdown as compared to potential profit volatility, i.e. how much one is willing to risk in order to earn profits?; the level of acceptable volatility for highly performing stocks; the current valuation as compared to projected earnings growth; and the financial strength of the underlying company as compared to its stock's valuation as compared to its stock's performance.

These and many more derived observations are then combined, ranked, weighted, and scenario-tested to create a more complete analysis. The result is a systematic and disciplined method of selecting stocks. As always, stock ratings should not be treated as gospel — rather, use them as a starting point for your own research.

The following pages contain our analysis of 3 stocks with substantial yields, that ultimately, we have rated "Hold."

Air Industries Group

Dividend Yield: 7.60%

Air Industries Group

(AMEX:

AIRI

) shares currently have a dividend yield of 7.60%.

Air Industries Group, an aerospace and defense company, designs and manufactures structural parts and assemblies that focus on flight safety. The company operates through Complex Machining, Aero structures and Electronics, and Turbine Engine Components segments.

The average volume for Air Industries Group has been 6,300 shares per day over the past 30 days. Air Industries Group has a market cap of $59.6 million and is part of the aerospace/defense industry. Shares are down 25.1% year-to-date as of the close of trading on Thursday.

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TheStreet Ratings rates

Air Industries Group

as a

hold

. Among the primary strengths of the company is its robust revenue growth -- not just in the most recent periods but in previous quarters as well. At the same time, however, we also find weaknesses including poor profit margins, deteriorating net income and a generally disappointing performance in the stock itself.

Highlights from the ratings report include:

  • The revenue growth greatly exceeded the industry average of 1.7%. Since the same quarter one year prior, revenues rose by 39.1%. This growth in revenue does not appear to have trickled down to the company's bottom line, displayed by a decline in earnings per share.
  • AIR INDUSTRIES GROUP INC's earnings per share declined by 20.0% in the most recent quarter compared to the same quarter a year ago. The company has reported a trend of declining earnings per share over the past two years. However, the consensus estimate suggests that this trend should reverse in the coming year. During the past fiscal year, AIR INDUSTRIES GROUP INC reported lower earnings of $0.11 versus $0.64 in the prior year. This year, the market expects an improvement in earnings ($0.19 versus $0.11).
  • The change in net income from the same quarter one year ago has exceeded that of the S&P 500, but is less than that of the Aerospace & Defense industry average. The net income has decreased by 11.3% when compared to the same quarter one year ago, dropping from $0.38 million to $0.34 million.
  • Reflecting the weaknesses we have cited, including the decline in the company's earnings per share, AIRI has underperformed the S&P 500 Index, declining 24.45% from its price level of one year ago. Turning toward the future, the fact that the stock has come down in price over the past year should not necessarily be interpreted as a negative; it could be one of the factors that may help make the stock attractive down the road. Right now, however, we believe that it is too soon to buy.
  • The gross profit margin for AIR INDUSTRIES GROUP INC is rather low; currently it is at 19.82%. It has decreased from the same quarter the previous year. Along with this, the net profit margin of 1.59% trails that of the industry average.

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Arbor Realty

Dividend Yield: 9.00%

Arbor Realty

(NYSE:

ABR

) shares currently have a dividend yield of 9.00%.

Arbor Realty Trust, Inc., a specialized real estate finance company, invests in various structured finance investments. The company has a P/E ratio of 7.44.

The average volume for Arbor Realty has been 82,700 shares per day over the past 30 days. Arbor Realty has a market cap of $341.4 million and is part of the real estate industry. Shares are down 0.4% year-to-date as of the close of trading on Friday.

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TheStreet Ratings rates

Arbor Realty

as a

hold

. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its revenue growth, attractive valuation levels and expanding profit margins. However, as a counter to these strengths, we also find weaknesses including deteriorating net income, disappointing return on equity and feeble growth in the company's earnings per share.

Highlights from the ratings report include:

  • Despite its growing revenue, the company underperformed as compared with the industry average of 6.1%. Since the same quarter one year prior, revenues slightly increased by 2.8%. This growth in revenue does not appear to have trickled down to the company's bottom line, displayed by a decline in earnings per share.
  • The company, on the basis of change in net income from the same quarter one year ago, has significantly underperformed when compared to that of the S&P 500 and the Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) industry. The net income has significantly decreased by 73.6% when compared to the same quarter one year ago, falling from $65.29 million to $17.23 million.
  • Current return on equity is lower than its ROE from the same quarter one year prior. This is a clear sign of weakness within the company. When compared to other companies in the Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) industry and the overall market, ARBOR REALTY TRUST INC's return on equity is below that of both the industry average and the S&P 500.

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Teekay LNG Partners

Dividend Yield: 13.20%

Teekay LNG Partners

(NYSE:

TGP

) shares currently have a dividend yield of 13.20%.

Teekay LNG Partners L.P. provides marine transportation services for liquefied natural gas (LNG), liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), and crude oil worldwide. The company has a P/E ratio of 8.54.

The average volume for Teekay LNG Partners has been 275,800 shares per day over the past 30 days. Teekay LNG Partners has a market cap of $1.7 billion and is part of the transportation industry. Shares are down 52.7% year-to-date as of the close of trading on Friday.

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TheStreet Ratings rates

Teekay LNG Partners

as a

hold

. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its good cash flow from operations and expanding profit margins. However, as a counter to these strengths, we also find weaknesses including feeble growth in the company's earnings per share, generally higher debt management risk and disappointing return on equity.

Highlights from the ratings report include:

  • Net operating cash flow has significantly increased by 109.59% to $85.16 million when compared to the same quarter last year. In addition, TEEKAY LNG PARTNERS LP has also vastly surpassed the industry average cash flow growth rate of -26.27%.
  • The gross profit margin for TEEKAY LNG PARTNERS LP is currently very high, coming in at 75.05%. Regardless of TGP's high profit margin, it has managed to decrease from the same period last year. Despite the mixed results of the gross profit margin, TGP's net profit margin of 7.61% compares favorably to the industry average.
  • TEEKAY LNG PARTNERS LP has experienced a steep decline in earnings per share in the most recent quarter in comparison to its performance from the same quarter a year ago. Earnings per share have declined over the last year. We anticipate that this should continue in the coming year. During the past fiscal year, TEEKAY LNG PARTNERS LP reported lower earnings of $2.30 versus $2.49 in the prior year. For the next year, the market is expecting a contraction of 7.2% in earnings ($2.14 versus $2.30).
  • The debt-to-equity ratio of 1.36 is relatively high when compared with the industry average, suggesting a need for better debt level management. To add to this, TGP has a quick ratio of 0.51, this demonstrates the lack of ability of the company to cover short-term liquidity needs.

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