Trade-Ideas LLC identified

Simon Property Group

(

SPG

) as a "roof leaker" (crossing below the 200-day simple moving average on higher than normal relative volume) candidate. In addition to specific proprietary factors, Trade-Ideas identified Simon Property Group as such a stock due to the following factors:

  • SPG has an average dollar-volume (as measured by average daily share volume multiplied by share price) of $218.5 million.
  • SPG has traded 949,033 shares today.
  • SPG is trading at 1.64 times the normal volume for the stock at this time of day.
  • SPG crossed below its 200-day simple moving average.

'Roof Leaker' stocks are worth watching because trading stocks that begin to experience a breakdown can lead to potentially massive losses. Once psychological and technical resistance barriers like the 200-day moving average are breached on higher than normal relative volume, the stock may then be subject to emotional selling from investors that can continue to drive the stock lower. Regardless of the impetus behind the price and volume action, when a stock moves with weakness and volume it can indicate the start of a new, potentially dangerous, trend.

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More details on SPG:

Simon Property Group, Inc. is an equity real estate investment trust. The firm invests in the real estate markets across the globe. It engages in investment, ownership, management, and development of properties. The stock currently has a dividend yield of 3.1%. SPG has a PE ratio of 36. Currently there are 14 analysts that rate Simon Property Group a buy, no analysts rate it a sell, and 1 rates it a hold.

The average volume for Simon Property Group has been 1.3 million shares per day over the past 30 days. Simon Property Group has a market cap of $59.5 billion and is part of the financial sector and real estate industry. The stock has a beta of 0.47 and a short float of 1.7% with 4.00 days to cover. Shares are up 4.9% year-to-date as of the close of trading on Monday.

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TheStreetRatings.com

Analysis:

TheStreet Quant Ratings

rates Simon Property Group as a

buy

. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its revenue growth, notable return on equity, expanding profit margins, good cash flow from operations and solid stock price performance. Although no company is perfect, currently we do not see any significant weaknesses which are likely to detract from the generally positive outlook.

Highlights from the ratings report include:

  • SPG's revenue growth has slightly outpaced the industry average of 6.1%. Since the same quarter one year prior, revenues slightly increased by 7.6%. Growth in the company's revenue appears to have helped boost the earnings per share.
  • The company's current return on equity greatly increased when compared to its ROE from the same quarter one year prior. This is a signal of significant strength within the corporation. Compared to other companies in the Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) industry and the overall market, SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC's return on equity significantly exceeds that of both the industry average and the S&P 500.
  • The gross profit margin for SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC is rather high; currently it is at 58.79%. It has increased from the same quarter the previous year. Along with this, the net profit margin of 30.31% is above that of the industry average.
  • Net operating cash flow has increased to $735.52 million or 11.25% when compared to the same quarter last year. In addition, SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC has also modestly surpassed the industry average cash flow growth rate of 9.44%.
  • Looking at where the stock is today compared to one year ago, we find that it is not only higher, but it has also clearly outperformed the rise in the S&P 500 over the same period. Although other factors naturally played a role, the company's strong earnings growth was key. Turning our attention to the future direction of the stock, it goes without saying that even the best stocks can fall in an overall down market. However, in any other environment, this stock still has good upside potential despite the fact that it has already risen in the past year.

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