Technical indicators hinted on March 21 that they'd jump.
U.S. equities capped their strongest three month gain in a decade over the first quarter, while the economy continues to expand and the jobless rate sits at the lowest level in a generation, but President Donald Trump and his team think the Federal Reserve should move quickly to cut interest rates in order to ensure the current boom remains on track.
Although the short squeeze wasn't as quick and swift as we thought it might be, it didn't disappoint in the end.
Markets where the Russell 2000 outperforms are healthier than those where it doesn't.
Taken together they create a worrisome picture, one that can explain why it wasn't just the banks that fell on the inversion news.
The Federal Reserve, led by Chairman Jerome Powell, said it will hold interest rates steady in their current range from 2.25% to 2.5%, while waiting for signs that the economy is stabilizing.
The U.S. dollar traded at a two week low against its global peers Tuesday, while the gap between short and longer-date Treasury bonds continued to narrow, as investors extended bets on a dovish turn from the Federal Reserve at the start of its two-day rate setting meeting in Washington.
U.S. banks are quietly making plans to protect themselves from a slowing domestic economy, potentially giving investors the chance to profit from some of the very bonds that many bank bosses resisted issuing when regulators overhauled the sector in the wake of the global financial crisis.
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