NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Shares of National Bank of Greece (NBG) fell 4.85% to $1.86 in morning trading Monday despite the agreement reached by the Eurozone and Greece on Friday to extend the nation's bailout by four months.
After weeks of tense negotiations, the two sides reached a shaky settlement that eliminated any immediate concerns about a Greek exit, or so-called "Grexit," from the European currency union. But the agreement did not completely remove the potential for Greece to leave the Eurozone in the future.
The agreement also forced leftist Greece prime minister Alexis Tsipras to soften on many of the anti-austerity positions that helped bring him and his Syriza party to power in January's election.
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Under the terms of the agreement, Greece must present by today a series of budget cuts and economic reforms. This list must clear the bailout's supervisors, which include the European Commission, the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund. Finance ministers will review these proposals on Tuesday.
After these reforms have been implemented, Greece would receive the next 7.2 billion euro piece of a 240 billion euro, or $273 billion, bailout that has helped keep the country going for nearly five years.
Separately, TheStreet Ratings team rates NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE as a "sell" with a ratings score of D. TheStreet Ratings Team has this to say about their recommendation:
"We rate NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE (NBG) a SELL. This is driven by several weaknesses, which we believe should have a greater impact than any strengths, and could make it more difficult for investors to achieve positive results compared to most of the stocks we cover. Among the areas we feel are negative, one of the most important has been a generally disappointing historical performance in the stock itself."
Highlights from the analysis by TheStreet Ratings Team goes as follows:
- NBG's stock share price has done very poorly compared to where it was a year ago: Despite any rallies, the net result is that it is down by 66.88%, which is also worse that the performance of the S&P 500 Index. Investors have so far failed to pay much attention to the earnings improvements the company has managed to achieve over the last quarter. Naturally, the overall market trend is bound to be a significant factor. However, in one sense, the stock's sharp decline last year is a positive for future investors, making it cheaper (in proportion to its earnings over the past year) than most other stocks in its industry. But due to other concerns, we feel the stock is still not a good buy right now.
- NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE reported significant earnings per share improvement in the most recent quarter compared to the same quarter a year ago. The company has demonstrated a pattern of positive earnings per share growth over the past two years. However, we anticipate underperformance relative to this pattern in the coming year. During the past fiscal year, NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE turned its bottom line around by earning $1.98 versus -$27.80 in the prior year. For the next year, the market is expecting a contraction of 71.7% in earnings ($0.56 versus $1.98).
- NBG, with its decline in revenue, underperformed when compared the industry average of 4.1%. Since the same quarter one year prior, revenues fell by 30.3%. The declining revenue has not hurt the company's bottom line, with increasing earnings per share.
- The net income growth from the same quarter one year ago has exceeded that of the Commercial Banks industry average, but is less than that of the S&P 500. The net income increased by 9.8% when compared to the same quarter one year prior, going from -$92.93 million to -$83.82 million.
- 36.50% is the gross profit margin for NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE which we consider to be strong. It has increased from the same quarter the previous year. Regardless of the strong results of the gross profit margin, the net profit margin of -5.49% is in-line with the industry average.
- You can view the full analysis from the report here: NBG Ratings Report