Massive Rally Looks Really Real to Some

With another giant leap following yesterday's, Wall Streeters are starting to talk about a convincing breakout.
Publish date:

As the

New York Yankees

swept up Broadway for a

World Series

victory lap, Wall Street was having its own parade. Major proxies marched solidly higher as the strength of yesterday's broad rally easily spilled over in morning trading.

Technology stocks were at the head of the pack, with the

Nasdaq Composite Index

up 98, or 3.4%, to 2973 and on pace for a record close. Internet Sector

index was jumping 29, or 3.9%, to 748, while the small-cap

Russell 2000

was up 6, or 1.5%, to 429.


Dow Jones Industrial Average

was rising 166, or 1.6%, to 10,788, while the broader

S&P 500

was lifting 29, or 2.2%, to 1372. After a vigorous 227.64-point Dow jump and a 45.73-point S&P leap yesterday, things were looking pretty good for those long.

"This is not a one-day phenomenon -- yesterday felt like the real deal," said Bill Schneider, head of U.S. equity block trading at

Warburg Dillon Read

. "The party goes on." Characterizing yesterday's movement as a "broad and powerful rally" with solid volume, Schneider said there was a lot of pent-up demand and a sense that players had gotten too pessimistic about interest rates.

Investors cheered today's weak report on September

new home sales

, which dropped 12.8% to an 811,000 annual pace from a revised August pace of 930,000. And they were happy to look beyond the higher-than-expected headline number on this morning's

Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index

to concentrate on the good news: The prices-paid component came in at 65.4, down from the previous month's 71. October's headline number came in at 58.8, higher than the 56.8 expected by economists polled by


and up from last month's 53.8.

After two benign economic reports yesterday, today's numbers inspired a further surge in the bond market. The benchmark 30-year Treasury was up 1 7/32 to 99 16/32, its yield at 6.16%. (For more on the fixed-income market, see today's early

Bond Focus.)

Amid the cheering, there are still plenty of skeptics though. Ricky Harrington, chief technical analyst at

Wachovia Securities

referred to last week's agreement on reform of the


act, the longstanding law intended to keep banks, brokers and insurers separate, as one of the major influenced that kicked off a rally, and gave some leadership to financials that we had not seen for a long time. "We've got fairly good breadth and good strength in secondary stocks, but it remains to be seen whether this is a one- to two-week rally," said Harrington.

The financial sector was already relinquishing some of its earlier strength with the

Philadelphia Stock Exchange/KBW Bank Index

up just 0.2%, while the

American Stock Exchange Broker/Dealer Index

was slipping less than a point.

Though Harrington admits the trading range of 10,000 to around 10,900 is certainly wide, he predicted volatility will become more the norm when four new components --


(MSFT) - Get Report



(INTC) - Get Report


SBC Communications



Home Depot

(HD) - Get Report

ACTIVE="YES"/> -- are added to the Dow on Monday.

Breadth was strongly positive and volume was extraordinary, especially for a Friday. On the

New York Stock Exchange

advancers were trouncing decliners 2,088 to 855, on 668 million shares, while on the

Nasdaq Stock Market

laggards were beating leaders 2,129 to 1,584 on 845 million shares. New 52-week highs were leapfrogging over new lows 174 to 66 on the Nasdaq, while on the Big Board, new highs were topping new lows 101 to 60 -- a change from the recent trend.

Friday's Midday Watchlist

By Tara Murphy and Thomas Lepri
Staff Reporters

Mergers, acquisitions and joint ventures



was up 10 9/16, or 17.9%, to 69 5/8 after forging an agreement to provide



online telephone and other services through its Web site. The transaction calls for the two companies to develop a joint messaging and communications feature on Go2Net's site that enables users to send and receive voice mail, faxes, e-mail and telephone calls. Net2Phone was up 2 7/16 to 54 7/8.

Interpublic Group

(IPG) - Get Report

unveiled its plans to unite its

Ammirati Puris Lintas


Lowe & Partners Worldwide

advertising units. Interpublic said it has tapped Lowe Group Chairman and CEO Frank Lowe to serve in those posts at the new agency. Interpublic was up 1 5/8 to 41 1/8.




Sheraton International

launched a $295 million cash takeover offer for the ordinary and savings shares it doesn't already own of Italian hotels operator


. Sheraton already owns 72.91% of Ciga's ordinary shares and 30.85% of its savings shares. Starwood was up 1 3/8, or 6.4%, to 23.

Earnings/revenue reports and previews

Electronic Data Systems


last night posted third-quarter earnings of 51 cents a share, beating the 18-analyst estimate of 49 cents and the year-ago 39 cents, which included charges. It was 5 5/16, or 9.8%, to 59 5/16.

Lockheed Martin

(LMT) - Get Report

was down 4 1/2, or 19.6%, to 18 7/16 after posting third-quarter earnings of 57 cents a share, which includes two gains that contributed 9 cents to the quarter's earnings. The report beat the 15-analyst estimate of 47 cents but fell below the year-ago 83 cents.


(SOI) - Get Report

reported third-quarter earnings of 53 cents a share, in line with the nine-analyst estimate and up from the year-ago 47 cents. The stock was down 5/16 to 17 1/16.

Offerings and stock actions

America Online


after yesterday's close set a 2-for-1 stock split, its seventh such split in seven years. AOL reported that more than 2 million individual investors will get one share for every share they own on Nov. 8, with the remaining shares up for grabs starting Nov. 22. After the split's effective date, the company will have 2.2 billion outstanding shares. According to AOL, a stockholder who purchased 1,000 shares for $11,500 at its IPO and held his position would now own 128,000 shares worth roughly $7.8 million. AOL lately was up 3 to 129 1/2.


(CLS) - Get Report

said it has set a public offering of subordinate voting shares.

Morgan Stanley Dean Witter


RBC Dominion Securities

have been tapped to underwrite the offering. The stock was up 1 15/16 to 56.



said its lead underwriter,

Goldman Sachs

, will release the lock-up restrictions on 10% of the company's shares on Nov. 2. That will increase eToys' float by as much as 9.5 million shares. The stock was down 6 5/8, or 9.4%, to 64.


Eileen Kinsella

Analyst actions

Commerzbank Global Equities



(AEG) - Get Report

to hold from buy. Aegon was up 7/8 to 91 13/16.

Morgan Stanley cut

American Express

(AXP) - Get Report

to outperform from strong buy, based on valuation but raised its price target to 179 from 175. The stock was down 7 1/2 to 153 1/2, retreating after yesterday's run-up.

Deutsche Banc Alex. Brown




to market perform from buy. The stock was up 7/16 to 23 13/16.

J.P. Morgan



(C) - Get Report

with a buy rating and set a price target of 61. The stock was up 7/8 to 55.

Merrill Lynch raised its intermediate rating on

Consol Energy

(CNX) - Get Report

to buy from accumulate and upped its second-quarter earnings estimate to 35 cents a share from 18 cents. The stock was up 1 1/4, or 10.9%, to 12 3/4.

Credit Suisse First Boston


R.R. Donnelley


to hold from buy. The stock was down 3 11/16, or 13.4%, to 23 15/16.

Merrill Lynch

slashed its rating on

EchoStar Communications

(DISH) - Get Report

to intermediate-term accumulate from buy. EchoStar was up 1 to 62 1/2.

Warburg Dillon Read rolled out coverage of



with a buy rating. It was up 3 3/16, or 5%, to 67 1/16.

CIBC World Markets



(INTC) - Get Report

to buy from hold. Intel was up 5 7/16, or 7.5%, to 77 5/8 after saying late yesterday that it sees limited Y2K impact on its business.

Goldman Sachs started coverage of

Intimate Brands


, adding the stock to its recommended list. The stock was up 3 3/16, or 8.2%, to 42 1/8.

Warburg Dillon Read

upped its price target on


(MAN) - Get Report

to 39 from 33. The stock was up 2 15/16, or 9.2%, to 34 7/8.

Wit Capital



to outperform from buy. The stock was down 4, or 6.9%, to 54.

Merrill Lynch cut its intermediate-term rating on

Methode Electronics


to accumulate from buy. Last night, Methode warned investors that it expects to post second-quarter earnings 10% to 20% below the year-ago 26 cents a share. Methode said its second-quarter results would include a 6-cent charge from the bankruptcy of a large automotive customer. The four-analyst estimate has the company pegged to make 27 cents a share in the quarter. The stock was down 2 1/8, or 12.1%, to 15 11/16.

Warburg Dillon Read raised its 2000 price target on



to 60 from 40 and reiterated a buy rating on the stock. The stock was unchanged at 59.

Warburg Dillon Read started coverage of



with a buy rating. The stock was up 10, or 9.2%, to 119 3/8.

J.P. Morgan initiated coverage of

Tower Automotive


with a buy rating. It was up 1/2 to 16 3/8.

Donaldson Lufkin & Jenrette



(WB) - Get Report

to market perform from buy. Wachovia was down 1 to 86 3/4.

Merrill Lynch

upped forest and paper products firms


(WLL) - Get Report


Boise Cascade

(BCC) - Get Report

to long-term buy from long-term accumulate. Merrill also upgraded


(WY) - Get Report

to long-term accumulate from long-term neutral. Willamette was up 2 5/8, or 6.7%, to 41 3/4; Boise Cascade was up 4 1/4, or 13.8%, to 35 1/8; and Weyerhaeuser was up 2 3/4, or 4.9%, to 58 3/8.