Take profits in tech.
U.S. tech stocks have had a stellar run this year, with the Nasdaq Composite
"Be in consumer discretionary," Chief Investment Officer of First Republic Wealth Management Chris Wolfe told TheStreet. He sees healthy increases in consumer spending as a core catalyst for the sector, as the jobs report showed strong wage growth. "Consumer discretionary continues to enjoy growth as employment continues to be strong," he added. "The wage story is pretty good." He also added "underemployment is falling. That's the key."
Already, the Consumer Discretionary Select Sectpr SPDR ETF (XLY -- which measures the performance of cyclical stocks inside the S&P 500
And there's yet another tailwind for the consumer discretionary space other than wage growth, Wolfe said. Amazon (AMZN is soon to be listed as a consumer discretionary stock, rather than a tech company, which should push the sector up further as fund managers are forced to buy. "Amazon is going to join the consumer sector," he said, adding "I expect that flow will help as far as that sector." He said Amazon could account for as much as 30% of the sector.
This comes at a time when some investors are starting to grow weary of tech stocks, which got hit hard after Facebook's (FB earnings disaster July 25. Wolfe stressed that he is not so fearful of tech stocks, but did warn that "there will be some volatility coming up" in the sector. U.S. tech will be less weighted by Amazon as it moves to consumer discretionary, Wolfe pointed out.
Perhaps just as important, "regulatory issues, privacy issues, will continue to be risks alike" for tech stocks Wolfe said. For instance, Facebook showed some signs in its earnings report that the European Union's GDPR (General Data Protection Rule) regulation weighed on user growth.
Consumer discretionaty companies are absent those issues, bolstering their relative investment case.
A good play for an investor right now, according to Wolfe, is as follows:
"Be in tech, selective. Be in consumer discretionary."