Hot Week Ends With Coolly Positive Session
Score one for the little guys, tech stalwarts and the new kids on the (Internet) block.
With blue-chip averages largely in a holding pattern alongside bonds, secondary and Internet names rose to the fore in terribly nonvolatile summer Friday session, triple-witching or no triple-witching.
Following
yesterday's blockbuster advance, the price of the 30-year Treasury bond slid 5/32 to 90 1/32, its yield rising to 5.97%.
TheStreet.com Internet Sector
index was the best performer of major averages, rising 8.61, or 1.5%, to 564.34. Also strong throughout was the
Russell 2000
, which closed up 1.67, or 0.4%, to 445.05 as the majority of stocks posted gains.
The equally weighted DOT was led by
RealNetworks
(RNWK) - Get RealNetworks Inc. Report
and
USWeb
undefined
, while two IPOs proved there's still demand for new Net issues.
GoTo.com
TheStreet Recommends
(GOTO:Nasdaq) jumped 48.3% on its first day of trading and ISP
Viant
(VIAN:Nasdaq) gained 52.3%.
The
Nasdaq Composite Index
closed up 19.29, or 0.8%, to 2563.44, overcoming an early drop to as low as 2524.81 and a 5.3% decline in
Intel
(INTC) - Get Intel Corporation Report
, which was downgraded by
Morgan Stanley Dean Witter
.
In addition to improving Net names, the tech-cured index was aided by behemoths such as
Sun Microsystems
(SUNW) - Get Sunworks Inc. Report
,
Cisco
(CSCO) - Get Cisco Systems Inc. Report
and
Microsoft
(MSFT) - Get Microsoft Corporation Report
. Additionally,
Nextel
undefined
rose 9% thanks to an upgrade from
CIBC World Markets
and
Adobe Systems
(ADBE) - Get Adobe Inc. Report
gained 11.8% to an all-time high of 82 9/16 after posting better-than-expected earnings. The
Nasdaq 100
rose 0.7%.
The
Philadelphia Stock Exchange Semiconductor Index
was unable to withstand the injury to industry leader Intel, falling 1.4% and snapping its streak of record closes at three. However, SOX component
Motorola
(MOT)
continued its recent acceleration, rising 3% to an all-time best of 93 1/8. The
Morgan Stanley High-Tech 35
gained 1%.
Like the Nasdaq, the
S&P 500
was able to overcome Intel's decline and an early dip to as low as 1333.52, closing up 2.94, or 0.2%, to 1342.84. The index was also restrained by
Gillette
(G) - Get Genpact Limited Report
, which fell 10.8% after issuing another profit warning
last night and suffering requisite downgrades this morning.
Among improving S&P 500 components,
Kmart
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rose 11.9% after
Business Week
said it could be a takeover target and
Deere
(DE) - Get Deere & Company Report
rallied 6.8% after receiving a less-speculative upgrade from
J.P. Morgan
.
The
Dow Jones Industrial Average
, buoyed mainly by cyclicals
Caterpillar
(CAT) - Get Caterpillar Inc. Report
and
International Paper
(IP) - Get International Paper Company Report
, overcame an early decline as low as 10,811.55 and some late-session waffling to close up 13.93, or 0.1%, to 10,855.56. The
Morgan Stanley Cyclical Index
rose 1.3%.
However, the blue-chip index demonstrated reticence throughout the session and traded well below its morning best of 10,888.49 for most of the day.
"There was some bargain-hunting in the Internet stocks and some techs based on Abobe's and
Oracle's
(ORCL) - Get Oracle Corporation Report
earnings
but today was exceptionally slow," said Randy Billhardt, co-head of block trading at
PaineWebber
. "People sort of had digested enough news and were content to sit back and see how things pan out."
Earnings preannouncements and economic data will be keys to the market's short-term fortune, Billhardt said, noting warnings thus far have been "company-specific" and there are few key economic data before the
Federal Open Market Committee
meeting on June 29-30.
As the FOMC gathering approaches, "I think basically the trend of the market is still upward," he said. "The market has discounted something will be done at next meeting. Unless there's disappointing earnings I think the trend is higher."
In
New York Stock Exchange
trading, 908.4 million shares were traded while advancers bested declining stocks 1,531 to 1,380. In
Nasdaq Stock Market
activity, 983.2 million shares were exchanged while gainers led 2,111 to 1,655. New 52-week highs bested new lows 82 to 31 in Big Board action and by 95 to 30 in over-the-counter trading.
Good Riddance to Triple-Witch
As has increasingly been the case in recent years, market players said the impact of today's concurrent expiration of stock options and futures and index futures was muted after a wild first hour.
"The first hour was purely expiration which at this point has been completely discounted," Billhardt said. "People are well aware what positions are, what needs to be rolled. Aside from
volume, there's no impact whatsoever."
Gillette was an exception, as its warning sparked a flurry of options activity, which
TheStreet.com
reported in a
story today.
"The best thing about expiration is its conclusion. Now we can get back to the business at hand," said Greg Nie, chief technical analyst at
Everen Securities
in Chicago. "
Ned Davis
Research
did a study and the history of expiration weeks after a declining week is generally favorable. But the June triple-witching expiration is generally flat to down. So it was a nonevent, possibly with an up bias if any at all."
It is "tempting" to call Wednesday a short-term low (at 1301.16 on the S&P and 10,609 on the Dow), Nie said, but we'll "get a better picture after expiration because it does push volume up."
Going forward, the "overriding question for a successful lift attempt is, do the bulls seize the initiative?" the technician said, echoing (for him) a familiar theme. "The contraction in volume since mid-May has been the prime element to say it's a timeout, not a rollover. But from a long-term perspective, volume has to come along and breadth is still a laggard piece of the internal picture."
As he often does, Nie believes "the bulls deserve the benefit of the doubt." But as the Dow retests 11,000 -- which he suspects it will as investors "favorably anticipate" second-quarter earnings -- "the momentum question becomes a bit more critical still," he said. "Broad-based participation accompanied by a significant expansion from short-term volume levels prevalent the last month or so will take care of resistance and other benchmarks."
Among other indices, the
Dow Jones Transportation Average
added 23.10, or 0.7%, to 3396.34; the
Dow Jones Utility Average
slid 2.81, or 0.8% ,to 330.10; and the
American Stock Exchange Composite Index
ebbed 0.12 to 768.57.
For the week, the Dow industrials rose 365.05, or 3.5%; the S&P 500 added 49.20, or 3.8%; the Comp climbed 115.42, or 4.7%; the Russell 2000 added 7.04, or 1.6%; and the DOT rose 14.07, or 2.6%. Additionally, the Dow transports gained 51.87, or 1.6%; the Dow utilities rose 1.38, or 0.4%; and the Amex Composite climbed 2.75, or 0.4%.
Elsewhere in North American equities today, the
Toronto Stock Exchange 300
climbed 76, or 1.1%, to 7005.06 and the
Mexican Stock Exchange IPC Index
added 55.99, or 1%, to 5716.65. For the week, the TSE rose 87.93, or 1.3% and the IPC soared 482, or 9.2%.
Friday's Company Report
By
Heather Moore
Staff Reporter
(
Earnings estimates from First Call; new highs and lows on a closing basis unless otherwise specified. Earnings reported on a diluted basis unless otherwise specified.
)
As noted above, Gillette shaved off 5 1/8, or 10.8%, to 42 3/16 after last night warning it expects to report about a 20% decrease in second-quarter earnings compared with a year ago. The 14-analyst estimate called for quarterly earnings of 29 cents a share vs. the year-ago 33 cents. Gillette said it sees quarterly sales increasing by a low-single-digit percentage, and blamed the warning on disappointing sales of its
Braun
, stationery and toiletries products. Today,
Donaldson Lufkin & Jenrette
cut the stock to market perform from buy.
J.P. Morgan
lowered it to long-term buy from buy and dropped its price target to 56 from 70. The firm also decreased its 1999 earnings estimate for the company to $1.27 a share from $1.35.
Bear Stearns
slashed Gillette to neutral from attractive.
GoTo.com, which operates an online marketplace that brings together consumers and advertisers, soared 7 1/4, or 48.3%, to 22 3/8, off an earlier high of 28 1/2, after DLJ priced its 6 million-share IPO top-range at $15 a share.
Elsewhere in new issues, Viant rocketed 8 3/8, or 52.3%, to 24 3/8, off an earlier high of 29 1/2, after
Goldman Sachs
last night priced its 3 million-share IPO top-range at $16 a share. The price range for the Internet services company's offering was raised to $14 to $16 from $10 to $12.
And
Mail.com
(MAIL:Nasdaq) jumped 1 11/16, or 24.1%, to 8 3/4, off an earlier high of 9 1/2, after
Salomon Smith Barney
priced its 6.85 million-share IPO mid-range at $7 a share. The price range for the email provider was lowered to $6.38 to $8.38 from the original $10 to $12.
Mergers, acquisitions and joint ventures
Borg-Warner Security
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climbed 4 1/8, or 23.6%, to 21 5/8 after saying it received an "unsolicited preliminary indication of interest" from another company about a business combination. The company also postponed a planned secondary offering of 4.8 million shares held by
Merrill Lynch
(MER)
affiliates.
Britain's
Danka Business Systems
(DANKY)
expanded 1/2, or 6.7%, to 8 1/16 after selling its facsimile division,
Omnifax
, to
Xerox
(XRX) - Get Xerox Holdings Corporation Report
for $45 million in cash. Xerox slipped 1/32 to 57 31/32.
Durakon Industries
undefined
shot up 3 1/2, or 29.2%, to an annual high of 15 1/2 after agreeing to a $16-a-share buyout by a partnership formed by
Littlejohn
, a private investment fund based in Connecticut.
Frontier
(FRO) - Get Frontline Ltd. Report
added 9/16 to 58 5/16 after deciding to take no action on the hostile bid from
Qwest
(QWST)
and reaffirming its plan to be taken over by
Global Crossing
(GBLX)
. On Sunday, Qwest offered to acquire Frontier and Baby Bell
U S West
(USW)
in separate transactions.
Earnings/revenue reports and previews
Adobe Systems swelled 8 11/16, or 11.8%, to an all-time high of 82 9/16 after last night reporting second-quarter earnings of 70 cents a share, beating the 11-analyst projection by a nickel and moving ahead of the year-ago 41 cents.
Cotelligent
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shed 2 1/4, or 26.5%, to an all-time low of 6 1/4 after last night saying it sees a first-quarter loss of $13 million to $15 million, including a restructuring charge and a pretax goodwill writedown. The company, which did not provide per-share estimates, said it's experiencing a downturn in demand for its services which it believes is related to decreased investment in information technology infrastructures while companies analyze their Y2K compliance status. Today,
Prudential Securities
downgraded the stock to accumulate from strong buy.
Iomega
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sloughed off 9/16, or 12.9%, to 3 13/16 after saying it plans to take a $45 million restructuring charge in the second quarter. Excluding the charge, the company forecast a quarter loss of 5 cents to 10 cents a share. The four-analyst outlook called for break-even results vs. the year-ago loss of 13 cents.
MSC Industrial Direct
(MSM) - Get MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc. Report
tanked 5 1/4, or 32.1%, to an all-time low of 11 1/8 after last night saying it expects to record third-quarter earnings around 18 cents a share, which would be below the 10-analyst forecast of 25 cents. The company, which earned 21 cents in the year-earlier period, cited a declining growth rate in May. Today, Prudential slashed the stock to hold from accumulate, Morgan Stanley Dean Witter dropped it to neutral from market outperform, and DLJ cut it to market perform from buy.
Nova
undefined
vaulted 2 13/16, or 13.2%, to 24 1/16 after last night saying its full-year 2000 earnings will come in around $1.48 to $1.52 a share, which would be below the seven-analyst estimate of $1.72. Meanwhile, the company said its fiscal 1999 earnings will be in line with analysts' expectations for $1.13 a share. Nova blamed higher costs for operating expenses, taxes and service delivery for the warning. The company also announced the repurchase of up to $250 million in stock.
Oakwood Homes
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lowered 9/16 to 12 3/16 after warning its third-quarter earnings could be as much as 50% lower than the seven-analyst estimate of 55 cents a share. Oakwood said its board will look into strategic alternatives, including a merger or sale of the company. The board is also pursuing the possibility of a management-led buyout.
Steelcase
(SCS) - Get Steelcase Inc. Report
tacked on 13/16 to 17 1/4 after posting first-quarter earnings of 37 cents a share, topping the five-analyst outlook by 7 cents and moving ahead of the year-ago 35 cents.
Valley Media
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plunged 6 7/8, or 31.6%, to an all-time low of 14 15/16 after last night saying it sees a first-quarter loss of 8 cents to 10 cents a share due to higher-than-expected warehouse moving expenses. The two-analyst estimate called for earnings of 2 cents vs. the year-ago loss of 25 cents. Today,
BancBoston Robertson Stephens
cut the stock to long-term attractive from buy.
Woodhead Industries
undefined
declined 1 13/16, or 13.2%, to 11 15/16 after last night saying it sees third-quarter earnings coming in around 18 cents to 21 cents a share. The four-analyst estimate called for 28 cents vs. the year-ago 25 cents. Woodhead said sales for the industrial communications and connectivity segments of its business haven't met expectations.
Offerings and stock actions
Cutter & Buck
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stumbled 2 7/8, or 14%, to 17 5/8 after last night announcing a 1.7 million-share stock offering.
National Discount Brokers
undefined
skidded 2 3/8, or 6%, to 37 9/16 after last night saying that, in view of current market conditions, it will go ahead with its planned 2.6 million-share stock offering. Three days ago, the firm canceled the offering -- due to (then) current market conditions.
Analyst actions
Intel sliced off 3/16, or 5.3%, to 54 15/16 after Morgan Stanley Dean Witter downgraded it to outperform from strong buy. Yesterday,
Credit Suisse First Boston
cut its fiscal 1999 earnings estimate on the chipmaker to $2.25 from $2.32 a share and to $2.55 from $2.65 for fiscal 2000.
Caribiner
(CWC)
stormed up 1 5/16, or 23.1%, to 7 after PaineWebber lifted it to buy from attractive.
Caterpillar inched up 2 5/8 to 61 1/2 after
Legg Mason Wood Walker
analyst Barry B. Bannister reiterated his buy on the company. He said trucking industry data released late this week showed Class A truck orders for May were in line with his expectation but cancellations were lower than he was expecting.
Deere picked up 2 5/8, or 6.8%, to 41 3/16 after J.P. Morgan upgraded it to buy from market performer. The firm also blessed farm equipment companies
New Holland
(NH) - Get NantHealth Inc. Report
, which picked up 1/8 to 15 3/16, and
AGCO
(AG) - Get First Majestic Silver Corp. (Canada) Report
, which picked up 15/16, or 8.8%, to 11 9/16.
EarthWeb
undefined
rallied 4 1/4, or 15%, to 32 3/4 after
Volpe Brown
lifted it to strong buy from buy.
Lam Research
(LRCX) - Get Lam Research Corporation Report
added 1 3/8 to an annual high of 40 1/2 after Morgan Stanley Dean Witter upgraded it to strong buy from outperform and lifted its price target to 55 from 50.
Nextel Communications grew 3 11/16, or 9%, to an annual high of 44 3/4 after CIBC World Markets pushed up the stock to strong buy from buy.
Quantum
(QNTM)
climbed 1 7/8, or 8.6%, to 23 7/8 after Prudential upgraded it to strong buy from hold.
Times Mirror
(TMC)
rose 3/16 to 62 1/16 after
Merrill Lynch
raised it to near-term accumulate from neutral while keeping its long-term buy.
Miscellany
Aetna
(AET)
deflated 2 15/16 to 93 9/16 on word
Prudential Healthcare
, the company's planned acquisition target, is performing worse than expected. Salomon Smith Barney analyst Jim Lane cut Aetna's price target to 106 from 114.
Kmart kicked up 1 13/16, or 11.9%, to 17 after
Business Week's
Inside Wall Street column said the company is being eyed as an acquisition target by some big grocers, notably
Safeway
(SWY)
and
Kroger
(KR) - Get Kroger Company (The) Report
. Kroger recently bought
Fred Meyer
.
Rural/Metro
(RURL)
flew 1 15/16, or 23.9%, to 10 1/16 after the column said a management group appears to be moving toward taking the company private. The piece also said some investors specializing in leveraged buyouts have expressed interest in the company.