Pick a reason, any reason.
blamed rising fuel costs, the war in Iraq, a weak economy, terrorism fears and the SARS outbreak for a huge loss in the first quarter.
The carrier reported a loss of $221 million, or $3.38 a share, which includes a $41 million writedown for the reduced market value of its MD-80 fleet, an older series of twinjets used for shorter flights. Still, this beat the $3.43 loss per share expected by Wall Street analysts, who have been dropping their estimates in recent weeks as travel warnings have been issued about the international outbreak of the SARS virus.
Excluding all charges, the carrier lost $180 million, or $2.75 a share, which also topped analyst estimates of a $2.80 loss per share. Continental shares dropped 0.9% to $5.64 on the news.
"In spite of the convergence of a war, domestic terrorism, SARS, a poor economy and high fuel prices, coupled with one of the highest tax burdens of any industry, we're going to make it across the finish line," said Gordon Bethune, Continental's chairman and CEO. "Our strength is the unwavering integrity and professionalism of our employees and our product."
Total revenue, including cargo, came in at $2.04 billion, topping analyst estimates by about $20 million. Passenger revenue was flat with the year-ago quarter, despite Continental's capacity being up 0.7%. The airline may have flown more, but the planes weren't as full, coming in with a load factor of 69.6% vs. 74% a year ago. In order to break even in the first quarter, the company said it needed a consolidated load factor of 84.5%.
And while revenue was flat, costs -- especially fuel costs -- were soaring. The company said that the war in Iraq helped boost fuel prices by 63.7% from last year's levels in the first quarter, resulting in an extra $135 million in costs. All told, operating costs in the first quarter were up 6.3% from last year. Usually, airlines can hedge potential increases, but weak airline industry balance sheets have left many exposed to the vagaries of the market. (For more on this phenomenon, please read
earlier take on fuel prices and the industry.)
To control costs, Continental said it planned to make more cuts, in hopes of reaching $500 million annually in cost savings by 2004. The company didn't announce specifics on how to reach that goal, but said it would continue to cut staff and capacity as needed.
"We are not sitting idly by and waiting for the revenue picture to improve," said Jeff Misner, Continental's CFO. "Our goal is to align our cost structure with the revenue environment that exists today."
Continental will have to work harder to align its cost structure because it's flying more often to the international destinations, recently adding flights between Newark and Geneva, where fewer people are traveling. Continental's Pacific traffic, as charted by revenue per available seat mile, or RASM, was down 10.4%, despite the fact it was flying 8.3% more in available seat miles, or ASMs. Likewise, transatlantic RASM was down 6.6%, while the number of ASMs rose by 15.2%.
The negative tone in the report, especially the mentions of rising fuel costs and a drop in international traffic, could be a harbinger of themes to come this week. Continental is the first U.S. carrier to report earnings, followed by
Delta Air Lines
on Wednesday and Thursday, with the rest of the industry following suit next week.
Continental's code-share partners were weaker on the news. Delta was off 0.3% to $9.77, while Northwest was off 1.8% to $6.45.