Trade-Ideas LLC identified

Avis Budget Group

(

CAR

) as a "dead cat bounce" (down big yesterday but up big today) candidate. In addition to specific proprietary factors, Trade-Ideas identified Avis Budget Group as such a stock due to the following factors:

  • CAR has an average dollar-volume (as measured by average daily share volume multiplied by share price) of $116.3 million.
  • CAR has traded 1.3 million shares today.
  • CAR is up 3.4% today.
  • CAR was down 26.5% yesterday.

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More details on CAR:

Avis Budget Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides car and truck rentals, car sharing, and ancillary services to businesses and consumers worldwide. The company has three segments: North America, International, and Truck Rental. CAR has a PE ratio of 9. Currently there are 3 analysts that rate Avis Budget Group a buy, 1 analyst rates it a sell, and 3 rate it a hold.

The average volume for Avis Budget Group has been 2.7 million shares per day over the past 30 days. Avis Budget Group has a market cap of $3.0 billion and is part of the services sector and diversified services industry. The stock has a beta of 2.81 and a short float of 17.7% with 3.20 days to cover. Shares are down 39.3% year-to-date as of the close of trading on Wednesday.

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TheStreetRatings.com

Analysis:

TheStreet Quant Ratings

rates Avis Budget Group as a

hold

. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its revenue growth, notable return on equity and growth in earnings per share. However, as a counter to these strengths, we also find weaknesses including generally higher debt management risk, weak operating cash flow and a generally disappointing performance in the stock itself.

Highlights from the ratings report include:

  • The revenue growth came in higher than the industry average of 16.9%. Since the same quarter one year prior, revenues slightly increased by 1.4%. This growth in revenue appears to have trickled down to the company's bottom line, improving the earnings per share.
  • The company's current return on equity greatly increased when compared to its ROE from the same quarter one year prior. This is a signal of significant strength within the corporation. Compared to other companies in the Road & Rail industry and the overall market, AVIS BUDGET GROUP INC's return on equity significantly exceeds that of both the industry average and the S&P 500.
  • AVIS BUDGET GROUP INC's earnings per share improvement from the most recent quarter was slightly positive. The company has demonstrated a pattern of positive earnings per share growth over the past year. We feel that this trend should continue. This trend suggests that the performance of the business is improving. During the past fiscal year, AVIS BUDGET GROUP INC increased its bottom line by earning $2.22 versus $0.07 in the prior year. This year, the market expects an improvement in earnings ($3.16 versus $2.22).
  • CAR's stock share price has done very poorly compared to where it was a year ago: Despite any rallies, the net result is that it is down by 53.32%, which is also worse that the performance of the S&P 500 Index. Investors have so far failed to pay much attention to the earnings improvements the company has managed to achieve over the last quarter. Turning toward the future, the fact that the stock has come down in price over the past year should not necessarily be interpreted as a negative; it could be one of the factors that may help make the stock attractive down the road. Right now, however, we believe that it is too soon to buy.
  • The debt-to-equity ratio is very high at 22.55 and currently higher than the industry average, implying increased risk associated with the management of debt levels within the company. Along with the unfavorable debt-to-equity ratio, CAR maintains a poor quick ratio of 0.72, which illustrates the inability to avoid short-term cash problems.

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