Dylan Ratigan hosted CNBC's "Fast Money" show Friday night. He began the show with a discussion of the U.S. markets' issues with the largest credit crisis in American finance history. Ratigan mentioned that in the overnight session, the futures were "limit down," and there were expectations that the Dow would open down 1,000 points. Jeff Macke joked, "Life is like a singles bar; between 1 a.m. and dawn, no good decisions are made."
Pete Najarian says "there seems to be a level that people are starting to get comfortable with the material, agriculture and energy names." He pointed out that once
hit $60 a share, the stock immediately spiked higher.
Ratigan asked the traders if they are more optimistic or pessimistic about their investment positions than in recent weeks. Karen Finerman said this is the most optimistic she has been. She says "we haven't seen the end of the redemption, but I have been taking back some of my hedges here."
Guy Adami said a company like
trading at four times forward earnings is "absurd." He also mentioned that he liked the price action in
Ratigan asked the crew if we will now see the insurance companies beg the government for capital. Adami said yes, we will. He pointed out that
Hartford Financial Services
is interesting from a valuation perspective.
Najarian told viewers to be cautious with
. He explained that people in the market are wondering where these banks will get their earnings from, now that the market has digested the government bailout capital.
Tim Seymour says, "I need to see volatility in emerging-market currencies come down dramatically before I can get comfortable about going into places where I think there is a great long-term story." Macke told viewers he's long the dollar through the
PowerShares DB US Dollar Index
and short the
ProShares UltraShort S&P 500
Ratigan asked the crew if we have come to terms with the debt and housing problems. Finerman says "we aren't there yet, but there are some companies out there where you can pay nothing and get the rest of their business for free."
Adami said companies like
Johnson & Johnson
Church & Dwight
have "done it right" but been unfairly punished. Najarian mentioned that
rose 15% on the week and reported unbelievable earnings.
Pimco Spots Value
The traders spoke with Mohammed El-Erian, Pimco co-CEO and CIO, about his view on how we get out of the credit crisis. El-Erian explained that we got to where we are today because there was structural failure at every level, combined with a global deleveraging process that caused major damage. He told viewers to look for high-quality names that were damaged by the overall environment but are likely to recover. He says "we are starting to form a bottom in this market, and there is starting to be some good value here."
El-Erian said he feels more "optimistic" than in the past, because we are starting to see the final stages of the deleveraging and we are starting to see policy go from "announcement" to "implementation." Finerman told viewers that
is trading at two times cash flow and is overdone on the downside. She also mentioned that
is trading at one times net cash flow.
Joe Terranova joined the traders to discuss the energy markets. He said crude oil is trading off the
futures and is coming into a near-term bottom. He says "we're running out of sellers, and if you're short oil it might be time to cover." Seymour suggested that crude oil is simply following the dollar. He says "technically, support for oil is good around $62, and fundamentally the argument is decent when you look at demand." Terranova explained that hedge funds just aren't as actively involved in trading crude oil now. He says "there is nobody in there to drive it higher now."
The gang talked about ways to battle the bear market. Adami explained that gold isn't working, but the infrastructure story will work at some point. Seymour recommenced viewers play gold names
Harmony Gold Mining
Najarian says "some of tech names with large cash positions like Microsoft,
will work. He also mentioned the
Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF
saw huge options activity and could bounce to the upside from current levels.
Macke said stay long the dollar with the PowerShares DB US Dollar Index. Adami picked
. Finerman selected
. Najarian recommended the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF.
This article was written by a staff member of TheStreet.com.