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NEW YORK (
) -- "The cavalry is right around the corner," Jim Cramer told the viewers of his
TV show Thursday, as he discussed how the calendar will begin affecting stock prices on Aug. 1.
Cramer explained that when portfolio managers and hedge funds value stocks on a price earnings multiple, they never look at past earnings, they only look at future earnings. So with July's earnings season wrapping up, investors may think that October's earnings are next on the agenda but they would be wrong.
Cramer said 2010 earnings are pretty much a given now, with all of the estimates mostly set in stone. He said beginning Aug. 1, analysts will stop paying attention to 2010 and begin looking forward to 2011.
So what's that mean for stocks like
? Cramer said despite posting disappointing results, the stock of Boeing stayed virtually unchanged, because in just a few days the company's 2011 prospects will begin to matter, and those prospects look a heck of a lot better than 2010.
Cramer said whether its aerospace or tech stocks, the analysts will being raising their estimates for 2011 beginning in August, and that will be welcomed news for lingering stock prices. He said that it's too late to sell stocks now, investors would be better served to just sit and wait until the calendar changes.
"2011 is right around the corner," Cramer told viewers, and that will provide the cushion stocks need to start heading higher.
Insatiable Bandwith Appetite
In the "Executive Decision" segment, Cramer spoke with Moshe Gavrielov, president and CEO of
, which is up 31% since Cramer added it to his Mobile Internet Index on Aug. 11 of 2009. Xilinx recently reported an upside surprise of five cents a share on a 58% bump in sales, yet the stock saw profit taking as investors cashed out of the company.
Gavrielov said Xilinx' business is burgeoning, thanks to an "insatiable appetite for bandwidth." He said consumers are demanding new applications, and that in turn demands better devices, all of which need Xilinx chips. Gavrielov said the company's business is broad, including chips for communications, military, automotive and medical applications.
When asked about the many things analysts worry about, Gavrielov said that seasonality is out the window this year, as increased demand is outweighing any summer slowdown. He said in Europe, an area analysts worry about, the company is seeing no slowdown, as most of Xilinx' customers ship products worldwide, and not just to Europe.
Finally, when asked about analysts' fears of customers double booking orders with other vendors, Gavrielov said that Xilinx' products are unique, and therefore can't be ordered from other suppliers. He said his company works closely with all their key customers and therefore knows the orders they've placed are for real.
Cramer said Gavrielov is one semi-conductor company he believes in, and one that's not being held hostage by the recession.
Shame on Dell
In the Thursday "Sell Block" segment, Cramer finally unveiled the new top spot on his "Wall of Shame" list of the worst CEOs in America. He nominated Michael Dell, CEO of
to the top honor, as Dell has lost 70% of its value over the last decade.
Cramer said Dell is a pure case of laziness, as he sat idly by and watched his company go from leader to laggard. He said the company was a legend in the 1990's, which is why the fall from glory is all the more painful.
Cramer said Dell was simply too late in diversifying its business away from low cost servers and PCs. Additionally, Cramer said Dell only spends 1% of its revenues of research and development, while rivals like
, a stock, which he owns for his charitable trust,
Action Alerts PLUS,
spend upwards of 8% on R&D. "Dell can't compete," said Cramer.
During that last decade, Cramer noted that Michael Dell was paid a salary of $454 million while his shareholders lost 70% of their investments. Making matters worse, the company just paid a $100 million fine to the Securities and Exchange Commission to settle charges that the company took undisclosed payments for chip maker
Cramer called Dell a "pitiful, helpless giant," and said Michael Dell deserves the top spot on his Wall of Shame.
On the Rebound
In a second interview, Cramer sat down with Farooq Kathwari, CEO of
for the latest read on both the housing market and the retail sector.
Kathwari said that fiscal 2009 was the worst year he's seen in his 30-year tenure at the home furnishings company. But since then, he said, sales fell an additional 30% in the company's first fiscal quarter of 2010 and fell 9% in the second before it rebounded in the third quarter, when it was up 19% and up 23% in the fourth quarter. He said the company is making money again, albeit from a lower base.
Kathwari explained that Ethan Allen is one of only a few companies that takes an idea, designs it, manufactures it, distributes it nationwide before selling it through a retail network. Given that extensive operation, he said every element feels the downturns as well as the upturns.
Fortunately for Ethan Allen, Kathwari said his people were up for the challenges and were ready to make the changes they needed. He said the company consolidated three uphoustery plants into one state of the art facility, and 16 small manufacturing facilities into three major ones.
Cramer commended Kathwari for his efforts to turn around Ethan Allen, and said he's still a buyer of the stock.
Cramer was bullish on
He was bearish on
-- Written by Scott Rutt in Washington D.C.
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At the time of publication, Cramer was not long any stock mentioned.
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