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With oil prices plummeting and bank stocks on the move to the upside, Jim Cramer asked the viewers of his "Mad Money" TV show, "how did the whole world turn upside down?"
Cramer said some good things are happening in the markets, and investors need to change their strategies to capitalize on them.
According to Cramer, three forces are driving the market higher. First is oil's inability to breach the $150-a-barrel level. Cramer said he's always believed that the rise in oil was due to supply and demand and not speculation.
He said oil is "just too high" at $150 a barrel. He said consumers are finally starting to cut their usage, leading to the decline in oil prices. He predicted oil could fall as far at $110 a barrel before stabilizing.
The second force driving the market is the financials. He said it's now clear that both the Federal Reserve and Securities and Exchange Commission are stepping in to bail out the sector.
With stocks like
JP Morgan Chase
both reporting good results, Cramer said there may be life in the financials after all. He explained that the banks can use this strength in their stocks to raise capital and stay in business.
Finally, Cramer said the home-build rate of single-family homes is finally slowing, allowing excess supplies to dry up and prices to stabilize. Cramer predicted the bottom in home prices should occur in 2009.
Cramer: Oil's Headed to $110
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Cramer said for the short term, investors should take profits on the banking stocks, which have moved up too much. He also suggested buying oil and gas stocks because they have gone too low.
Cramer owned up to telling viewers to begin buying the oil stocks last week by saying he was wrong. However, he said investors who bought last week will be OK for the long term.
Cramer added nursing homes, or senior living communities, to his sell-block list, calling them "serial destroyers of value."
He singled out both
Brookdale Senior Living
Sunrise Senior Living
( SRZ) as two of the worst offenders.
Brookdale's stock has fallen from $48 a share to $17 a share, while Sunrise has fallen from $41 a share to just $19 a share. Cramer said the stocks could rally from here and he wants to avoid investors thinking this is the bottom.
Cramer said that most investors see senior living as a play on demographics. Although it's true the number of Americans 75 years and older will increased by 20% in the next 10 years, he said it's a mistake to own shares of these nursing homes.
He said nursing homes have made the same mistakes as homebuilders, building far too much capacity for now declining demand.
According to Cramer, the occupancy rates at nursing homes are flat to down, as people postpone retirement to recoup losses in the markets.
Furthermore, many retirees must sell their homes in order to move into these facilities and find they now can't. Yet between 2004 and 2008, Brookdale increased capacity at their facilities by 50%, while Sunrise increased its capacity by 25%.
"Housing is housing," said Cramer, as he reiterated his sell recommendation on the whole industry.
A Speculative Healthcare Play
Cramer moved "Speculation Friday" to Thursday in order to talk about
, a stock that he said has been on his radar for awhile.
With the economy looking more like it's in a recession, Cramer said it's the healthcare stocks that will prosper.
Symmetry is a supplier of orthopedic implants to many of Cramer's larger healthcare favorites, including
Smith & Nephew
, which is up 5.8% since Cramer's recommendation just last week.
"Nobody stops getting hip replacements because the economy is bad," said Cramer, who called Symmetry's products necessities and not discretionary spending.
Cramer said that bigger healthcare companies come to Symmetry to help speed up production and lower costs. He also noted that the company is not affected by rising raw costs since its main commodity is titanium. "Think of Symmetry as the arms dealer to the medical sector," said Cramer.
Symmetry makes Cramer's speculative list because of its run-in with the SEC earlier this year, which led to earnings restatements and a $2.2 million hit for accounting and legal costs.
But with the situation now behind them, Cramer called Symmetry a tarnished stock but not a tarnished company.
Wall Street is expecting 8.5% revenue growth for Symmetry in 2008, but Cramer said that number could be almost double. He sees the $16 stock reaching $21 a share if that happens.
Nothing Has Changed
Cramer said steel stocks have been crushed in recent weeks, with favorite
falling 11% after it lowered earnings guidance from $1.95 per share in the third quarter to between $1.80 to $1.85.
To find out if the drop was warranted, Cramer talked with Nucor CEO Dan Dimicco.
Dimicco said that his business has not dropped 20%, as the company's stock price would indicate. He said business is still strong and he also expects the third quarter to be strong. He called Nucor's guidance conservative.
Dimicco explained that Nucor's philosophy has always been to make money making steel. The company has great technology, great people and a great culture, he said. After delivering a second quarter that saw earnings up 68%, Nucor is firing on all cylinders, he said.
Cramer said that while the markets have been punishing steel, he's a buyer of Nucor.
Cramer was bullish on
Energy Conversion Devices
He was was bearish on
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At the time of publication, Cramer was not long on any stock.
Jim Cramer, host of the CNBC television program "Mad Money," is a Markets Commentator for TheStreet.com, Inc., and CNBC, and a director and co-founder of TheStreet.com. All opinions expressed by Mr. Cramer on "Mad Money" are his own and do not reflect the opinions of TheStreet.com or its affiliates, or CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL or their parent company or affiliates. Mr. Cramer's opinions are based upon information he considers to be reliable, but neither TheStreet.com, nor CNBC, nor either of their affiliates and/or subsidiaries warrant its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Mr. Cramer's statements are based on his opinions at the time statements are made, and are subject to change without notice. No part of Mr. Cramer's compensation from CNBC or TheStreet.com is related to the specific opinions expressed by him on "Mad Money."
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