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NEW YORK (
) -- It's time to start focusing on what matters, Jim Cramer told viewers of
Today he explained the differences between where investors are focusing their attention and where the money is actually being made.
Cramer said the markets have been buzzing about the looming U.S. economic "fiscal cliff" for months now, but no one had ever asked the most important question: Where will it cost us? He said that question is important because so far it hasn't been asked.
The threat of a fiscal cliff was supposed to rein in consumer spending, but apparently 310 million Americans never got that memo because everything from retail to autos has been bullish. Even the banks are beginning to rebound, with foreclosure levels hitting multi-year lows.
Then there's the obsession with tech stocks, the place where innovation and excitement are supposed to live. But Cramer said that outside of the iPad, there's been little innovation as of late. He said the most innovative thing he's seen in tech are the cell tower companies converting themselves into REITs. As for disk drives, memory chips and semiconductors, those stocks have cost investors fortunes.
Cramer said the real money is being made in the aforementioned retail and consumer names, companies like
. Meanwhile, the real innovation has been in biotech, with companies like
That's why investors need to keep their focus on what's working, because worrying about the fiscal cliff and investing in most of technology would have just cost them much of their portfolios.
What Makes a Great IPO?
It was the best of times for the initial public offering market last week, but the worst of times the week before that. What changed? Cramer said the quality of the companies coming public did, which makes the last two weeks the perfect lesson in what makes a great IPO.
Cramer said that last week's IPO of
outperformed because that company is a cloud play with strong revenue growth and a solid management team. Meanwhile,
was also a fast grower as well as a pure play on a housing recovery.
are two biotechs with big market opportunities and, in the case of Intercept, also have orphan drug protection.
is one of only a few players in its space, said Cramer, while
is another cloud play like Workday.
Compare those successful IPOs to those of two weeks ago, however, and the stories change.
is a commodity plastic container maker with next to no growth.
provides identity protection but is seeing increased competition and is not yet profitable.
aims to be a REIT, but has no track record to offer investors, while
is a biotech with no funding.
Cramer said its easy to see why this second group of IPOs failed to impress Wall Street.
The Better Half
has split itself into two companies, Cramer said it's time to decide which half is worth owning.
He said that investors have to choose between the new Kraft Foods, a slow-growing domestic grocery business with a 4.1% yield or
, a fast-growing global snack foods company with a modest 1.9% yield.
Cramer said for him the choice is easy -- he wants to own Mondelez. He said the company's dividend may be smaller, but Kraft's valuation is stretched at 17 times earnings for a 2% to 3% organic growth rate. Meanwhile, Mondelez trades at 16.5 times earnings but is growing at 13.5% a year.
Beyond valuation, Cramer said that Mondelez has 6.6% share of the global snack food market and derives 44% of its sales from the red-hot emerging markets. Mondelez owns 15% of the global chocolate market and a full 7% of the candy aisle. The company is also benefiting from declining commodity costs and a positive foreign exchange rate.
Cramer said investors' portfolios can only afford to have one food stock and that stock should be Mondelez.
In the Lightning Round, Cramer was bullish on
Kinder Morgan Energy Partners
Cramer was bearish on
Eagle Rock Energy Partners
Helmerich & Payne
In the "Mad Mail" viewer feedback segment, Cramer told a viewer that
PSS World Medical
( PSSI) is a battleground stock and he would stay away for now.
When asked to compare
, Cramer said that he prefers Allot with its cheaper stock price, 32 times earnings versus 44 times for Procera.
When asked about
, Cramer said that he still likes this rural retailer.
No Huddle Offense
In his "No Huddle Offense" segment, Cramer sized up the wireless landscape now that
is partnering with
. He said the deal now caps how much Sprint shareholders can make, so he'd be a seller and come back to it after the deal closes.
As for the winners in the deal, those would be the tower companies like
, but those have already run big. So it's time to sell those as well, said Cramer.
The losers in the deal are AT&T and
, two stocks that Cramer said he'd only buy on weakness.
Lastly, the wild card remains
, a partner with Sprint but one the company is under no obligation to take along for the ride. Cramer said to sell Clearwire along with Sprint.
-- Written by Scott Rutt in Washington, D.C.
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At the time of publication, Cramer's Action Alerts PLUS had a position in AAPL, HD, MDLZ and SLB.
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