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Baby bull calves were born today on the floor of the market, said Jim Cramer on his "Real Money" TV show Thursday.
Despite the red ink in the major indices, "today was a breakout day" for the banks and for tech stocks, he said. Sectors that can withstand a selloff like Thursday's, will rally when things get better, he said.
Tech, especially, is the new leadership, said Cramer, with
leading the way.
JP Morgan Chase
were standouts Thursday.
Cramer likes tech and financials on any weakness, he said.
Raising the Bar
Cramer said the fallout from
( RFXCQ) will likely boost the stock of
as more companies rush to find out if they might have hidden legal agreements of the kind that brought down Refco.
Refco's law firm had apparently checked off on a document that led to the fourth-largest bankruptcy in history, said Cramer.
FTI will win because you can't realistically hire a law firm to investigate another law firm, he said. The legal profession just doesn't work that way. But, you can hire FTI Consulting, which Cramer called a kind of "CSI" of corporate fraud.
FTI's stock is near a 52-week high, said Cramer, because the company also has a bankruptcy business, which has been booming as distressed debtors rushed to file bankruptcy before a new, tougher bankruptcy law went into effect earlier this week.
But, that trade is now over, said Cramer.
However, Cramer doesn't believe that the market yet fully appreciates that FTI will become
chief investigator in a post-Refco world. FTI Consulting "is in a real sweet spot," he said.
In response to a question about the recent IPO of
( BOT) and whether CBOT could be in the same boat as Refco, Cramer said he is not worried because fraud knows no particular sector.
It is not confined to commodities trading, he said. It can be found in any sector, which is another reason he likes FTI.
Cramer added that the CBOT deal was a "totally scrubbed deal," and he really likes the stock. Nevertheless, he would be inclined to ring the register with the stock up so much since its offering -- especially if one were lucky enough to buy in the offering.
Things Fall Apart
Everyone knows which stocks to short when oil and natural gas futures fall. So, take the flipside and look for less obvious trades in companies that stand to benefit from lower prices such as gaming stocks and chemical stocks, said Cramer.
Two stocks Cramer likes are
Boyd Gaming was down almost every week when oil prices were on the rise, said Cramer. But, with oil prices lower, Boyd should benefit as people become more willing to drive to Boyd's casinos.
Additionally, with two analysts upgrading Boyd today, Cramer believes that the risk is out of the stock.
As natural gas falls, look to the chemical companies, which are heavy users of natural gas, said Cramer. Cramer has been buying PPG. Every dollar that natural gas goes down is 25 cents up for PPG, he said.
Cramer added that PPG reported a "magnificent quarter" Thursday morning, as most investors were expecting the company to fall apart. Cramer believes that the risk is out of PPG stock, as well.
The way to know if he's right on the chemical stocks is if we see more than one day of rallying, Cramer said. "Today was day one."
In response to a question about
, Cramer said he believes that there has been a major liquidation that is affecting a number of oil and gas stocks such as Southwestern.
The situation will be over tomorrow, Cramer believes, and he would buy Southwestern then for a trade. However, "the main trade is going to be moving over to tech and finance," he said.
( RLRN) was up 16% Thursday after Legg Mason upgraded the stock, said Cramer.
But, don't be tempted to chase it, and if you own it, you should ring the register, he said.
The educational software company's fundamentals may be OK, business may be fine and the stock may even be undervalued, said Cramer, but because co-chairs Judith Paul and Terrance Paul own about one-third of the shares outstanding, he's not too enthusiastic.
In some scenarios, this could be a good thing as it might be a sign of confidence in the company, Cramer said.
However, in the case of Renaissance, the company paid a special $71.6 million dollar dividend in 2004 and "did the same thing this year," said Cramer, adding that the company's cash balance had fallen year over year.
Stay away from the stock, he said, because "right now, I just see two co-chairmen leading the company in order to put some special dividend cash in their pockets."
Ne Plus Ultra
CEO Michael Watford joined Cramer by telephone. Cramer asked Watford what he is hearing regarding Refco and the seemingly endless liquidation of oil and gas stocks.
"I don't know much about that, Jim, at all," said Watford.
Cramer asked Watford if oil futures were indicating a big falloff in prices.
Watford said they weren't. In the short term, oil is priced well above $60 a barrel, he said, and in the long term it is above $50.
Cramer asked if the decline in UPL's stock is just a matter of people forgetting the fundamentals and taking profits because they have big gains.
"I think that's clearly what's going on," said Watford. "We have a long-term story here in energy that's about limited supply and growing demand."
Cramer asked if Chinese demand for oil had perhaps been satisfied.
"No. They still like it. In fact, they're buying more and more of it," Watford said.
Cramer summed up the interview saying, "I would buy Ultra Petroleum right here, right now."
Cramer was bullish on
Abercrombie & Fitch
Cramer was bearish on
Sirius Satellite Radio
( PD) and
At the time of publication, Cramer was long Motorola, PPG Industries, Qualcomm and Yahoo!.
James J. Cramer is a director and co-founder of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. Outside contributing columnists for TheStreet.com and RealMoney.com, including Cramer, may, from time to time, write about stocks in which they have a position. In such cases, appropriate disclosure is made. To see his personal portfolio and find out what trades Cramer will make before he makes them, sign up for
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