Strong U.S. economic growth, robust capex spending and tax cut fueled profit boosts has Wall Street aggressively shoveling industrial stocks into client portfolios.
One of the most crowded trades among hedge funds right now is the industrial complex, says the RBC Capital Markets research team. The mutural fund space -- both large cap core and value funds -- have also been overweight industrial stocks.
"Normally, hedge funds are underweight Industrials. But they turned overweight in 1Q18, and expanded that overweight in 2Q18. Positioning in the sector at the end of 2Q18 was the most constructive we've seen since the financial crisis," RBC says.
The research team sees at least four reasons why the tailwinds behind industrials are likely to stay intact:
- Strong fundamentals, notably a solid capex spending cycle by businesses.
- Wall Street profit forecasts remain on the rise for the group.
- Early investor rotation into value names, which is often beneficial to industrials.
- Buyback activity for the sector is increasing.
Top 10 Industrial Names Owned By Dollar Value Among Hedge Funds
- United Technologies (UTX - Get Report) -- $3.7 billion
- CSX Corp. (CSX - Get Report) -- $3.2 billion
- Rockwell Collins (COL) -- $3.2 billion
- Boeing (BA - Get Report) -- $3.2 billion (watch TheStreet's interview with Boeing's CEO)
- Transdigm (TDG - Get Report) -- $3.1 billion
- Delta Airlines (DAL - Get Report) -- $3.1 billion
- FedEx (FDX - Get Report) -- $2.5 billion
- United Continental (UAL - Get Report) -- $2.3 billion
- Union Pacific (UNP - Get Report) -- $2.3 billion
- Deere & Co. (DE - Get Report) -- $2 billion
Here's why you should fear the rally.