Stocks Follow Brazil Lower, While the Net Bubble May Soon Pop - TheStreet

Stocks Follow Brazil Lower, While the Net Bubble May Soon Pop

Plus, you read it here first: UAL announced its interest in buying America West Airlines.
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A drop in the Brazilian stock market stymied what looked like it would be an upbeat open.

With Sao Paulo investors increasingly nervous about the continued decline in Brazil's currency, the

Bovespa

shed 4.4% in early trading. And as the Brazilian market dropped, so did U.S. stock-index futures. At 9 a.m. EST, the

S&P 500

futures were off 7.8, about 4 below fair value and indicating a negative open.

But while the trouble in Brazil may be the catalyst for the selloff in the futures, for some a drop in the market was just an accident waiting to happen.

"I don't know why they had them bid up," said Todd Clark, head of listed trading at

Charles Schwab

, who views yesterday's reversal, particularly in tech issues, as indicative of trouble. "That kind of action is the earmark of a market that needs a pause. The thing just needs to cool off a bit."

A common notion on Wall Street, it turns out.

"It looks a little lower," said Bryan Piskorowski, market analyst at

Prudential Securities

. "But when you consider the advance we've had, how much better can we do?"

Meanwhile,

Morgan Stanley Dean Witter

global strategist

Barton Biggs

has said that the end is nigh for Internet stocks.

"I promise you that like all bubbles, this bubble will come to a very bad end," the strategist said in a Tokyo speech, noting that the gold and biotech bubbles lasted about 100 days, and that the current rise in Internet stocks is 101 days old.

The weakness in stocks was lending Treasuries a bit of strength. The 30-year was up 16/32 to 101 23/32, dropping the yield to 5.14%.

Japanese stocks saw a second day of big gains, this time on the back of rallying bank shares. With recent announcements of a merger between

Chuo Trust

and

Mitsui Trust

and an alliance between

Sanwa

and

Toyo Trust

as well as reports that

Daiwa

is on the block, investors are beginning to sense that the long-awaited bank shakeout is at hand. Helping fuel that sentiment,

Financial Revitalization Commission

head

Hakuo Yanagisawa

strongly suggested that banks restructure.

Also helping stocks were hopes -- well-founded, it turned out -- that Biggs would have positive things to say about Japanese stocks in his speech. "In a very expensive world, we find that Japan is a value," he said, going on to say that, of the major markets, Japan looks the best over the next three to five years.

The

Nikkei

climbed 217.37, or 1.6%, to 14,245.42.

It has become clear that Hong Kong bank loans to ailing Chinese companies will not be repaid, and that weighed heavily on the island's market today. The

Hang Seng

dropped 266.34, or 2.6%, to 10,048.57.

Europe's markets were mixed. In Frankfurt, the

Dax

was up 17.4 to 5160.46. In Paris, the

CAC

was down 49.05 to 4140.96. And in London, the

FTSE

was down 40.2 to 6065.4.

Thursday's Wake-Up Watchlist

By

Brian Louis
Staff Reporter

(Earnings estimates from

First Call

):

    UAL

    (UAL) - Get Report

    , parent of

    United Airlines

    , said last night it has expressed interest in buying

    America West Airlines

    (AWA)

    .

    TheStreet.com

    broke the story

    yesterday.

    Internet search-engine company

    Lycos

    (LCOS)

    is seeking a media or telecommunications company to become a strategic partner by taking up to a 20% stake, one of the company's execs told the

    Financial Times

    . Eric Gerritsen, Lycos vice president for international business development, told the newspaper that Lycos wasn't pondering selling all of its business like

    Excite

    (XCIT)

    is with

    @Home

    (ATHM) - Get Report

    . The newspaper said Gerritsen confirmed that Lycos had entered into "informal discussions" with media and telecommunications companies -- Gerritsen wouldn't discuss the companies involved -- regarding having them make an investment of up to $1 billion.

    Exxon

    (XON) - Get Report

    posted fourth-quarter earnings of 62 cents a share, beating the 20-analyst view of 57 cents, but down from the year-earlier $1.00.

    Equifax

    (EFX) - Get Report

    reported fourth-quarter earnings of 31 cents a share, in line with the 10-analyst estimate, but down from the year-ago 37 cents.

    Ford

    (F) - Get Report

    posted earnings of $1.35 a share, excluding charges, above the 15-analyst view of $1.27 and up from the year-earlier $1.27.

    Lucent

    (LU)

    posted first-quarter earnings of $1.05 a share, excluding charges, beating the 27-analyst outlook of $1.01 and up from the year-ago 86 cents.

    United Technologies

    posted fourth-quarter earnings of $1.16 a share, beating the 15-analyst view of $1.11 and up from the year-ago 97 cents.