NEW YORK (
Bank of America
has been among the
in 2012, with shares up 46% year to date.
There is cause to worry of the rally is overdone, considering that the market seems to be bidding up last year's underperformers such as
, up 28% and
, up 36%, while stocks of healthy banks such as
have trailed behind with a return of 19%.
But Bank of America's stock might have more steam left, according to readers of
and some analysts.
In a poll run by
last week on whether it was time to cash out of Bank of America's rally, more than 60% or 344 of the voters said they would not sell the stock because the "rally is just getting started."
Only 21% or 118 readers thought the stock's rally was overdone. About 15% of the voters or 85 voters thought that the stock was a trader's delight, meaning they could just hop in and out of the stock depending upon sentiment.
Indeed the extreme investor apathy that dogged the stock in 2011, when it crashed nearly 60%, seems to have reversed in the early months of 2012.
Investors appear convinced that the bank has successfully addressed its capital adequacy issue. While some analysts question the ability of the bank to generate earnings as it shrinks its balance sheet, the market, at least for now, seems more optimistic for now.
With the stock continuing to trade at a discount to its book even after the rally, analysts are also reluctant to call the top for Bank of America.
The bank has also had more good news than bad news in recent weeks. The $26-billion nationwide foreclosure settlement between the biggest banks and the states has helped resolve one piece of the mortgage puzzle, although banks still remain exposed to mortgage liabilities.
Bank of America also scored a small victory after a U.S. appeals court ruled that a proposed $8.5 billion mortgage-backed securities settlement should be reviewed in a New York court and not a federal court, increasing the chances that it will be approved.>
Meanwhile, there is also the Buffett factor. Billionaire investor Warren Buffett talked up his $5 billion investment in the stock in his annual letter to shareholders issued last week.
"At Bank of America, some huge mistakes were made by prior management," wrote Buffett. "Brian Moynihan has made excellent progress cleaning these up, though the completion of that process will take a number of years. Concurrently, he is nurturing a huge and attractive underlying business that will endure long after today's problems are forgotten. Our warrants to buy 700 million Bank of America shares will likely be of great value before they expire."
Few seem inclined to bet against the legendary investor.
Written by Shanthi Bharatwaj in New York.
Disclosure: TheStreet's editorial policy prohibits staff editors and reporters from holding positions in any individual stocks.