: TJX trading at $67.50
: TJX is in a moderate uptrend and has been for several years, the implied volatility is low suggesting no upcoming downward action. Fundamentally the stock is edging out earnings a notch or two above estimates, keeping the stock chug-a-lugging toward the $70 mark. At
we believe wholeheartedly that the trend will continue for several more months, and would like to initiate a "Diagonal Spread" on this particular stock.
: Buy 10 of the March/July 65/70 put diagonal
Buy 10 July 65 puts @ $3.20
Sell 10 March 70 Puts @ $3.40
For a credit of $.20 ($200)
: During the course of this diagonal spread trade on our primary/intermediate model portfolio, we will be monitoring several key factors. First, the market and stock seem to be reaching new highs and could turn on a dime and retrace 5-10%. Second, a mid-course move is going to be rolling the March to the April in several weeks and I will notify all subscribers of this move in advance. Also, if IV continues to drift lower we might have to find another trade that we feel confident in and that is short Vega; this would help offset any Vega problem in our portfolio.
Once again I will notify all subscribers of any trade adjustments.
: Our potential profit target on this diagonal is $1,100 and we are receiving a credit of $200 to put the trade on and theta decay from front month should add to our credit. We will assess the profit target when we decide to roll next month.
Threats to Success
: A strong move down past $66.70 would be a threat to the success of this particular spread. We are bullish price movement, Vega and have theta working in our favor. Anything thing opposite of those would hurt our trade.
Eject Criteria/Contingency Plan
: Eject plan will be at the negative $1.00 level and this would be a negative $800 from our account and that is the most I am willing to lose on this position.
: To exit the trade we would buy back the March 70 puts for a debit or roll them out one month and sell the July 65 puts for a credit.
: At Top Gun Options we believe the trend is your friend and that charts do not lie with this trade. We will look for any upward or downward disturbances that will take money out of our pocket. We are aware of these threats and are prepared to adjust our trade accordingly in the coming weeks and hopefully months.
We are bid below on the open for this trade on Feb. 1. We are not filled on this trade yet in our
Happy hunting and make sure you hedge.
This commentary comes from an independent investor or market observer as part of TheStreet guest contributor program. The views expressed are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of TheStreet or its management.