The following commentary comes from an independent investor or market observer as part of TheStreet's guest contributor program, which is separate from the company's news coverage.
NEW YORK (
Market neutral with possibilities of surges in volatility.
trading at $53.99.
RIO implied volatility is overpriced relative to its forecast volatility of 4.58% over the time frame of this trade. We are looking for possible price movement but for it to stay within its $50 to $57.50 price range until the exit of this trade. This is a slightly more aggressive in the
Top Gun Options Advanced Model Portfolio due to the strikes we needed to use.
Opening 20 RIO May 2012 Iron Condors (strikes
47.5/50/57.5/60) for a $0.58 credit
Tactical Employment of Iron Condor:
Buying to Open 20 RIO May 2012 $60 Calls
Selling to Open 20 RIO May 2012 $57.50 Calls
Selling to Open 20 RIO May 2012 $50 Puts
Buying to Open 20 RIO May 2012 $47.50 Puts
Net Credit: $58 per Iron Condor for a total of $1160.00
Max Gain: $1160
Max Risk: -$192 per Iron Condor for a total risk of -$3840
We will be watching for a price movement near the short strikes. If the short strikes are threatened we will adjust the Iron Condor as necessary.
We don't want trade expectancy dropping below 2%. Based on this, we have two price targets at which we need to consider an adjustment. RIO trading below $50.51 and above $56.47 are triggers for an adjustment in our Advanced Model Portfolio.
We will wait for this Iron Condor to expire worthless taking the $1160 credit as profit.
We will wait for this Iron Condor to expire worthless, adjusting as necessary.
Matthew "Whiz" Buckley is the Founder and CEO of
an exclusive provider of options training and practical trading applications for options traders of all skill levels. He is also the founder of Strike Fighter Financial LLC, a business-consulting firm specializing in leadership development, risk management and strategic planning for Fortune 500 companies and related organizations. He's also a Managing Partner and Chief Financial Strategist at
Buckley flew the F/A-18 Hornet for the U.S. Navy. He's a graduate of TOPGUN, has close to 400 carrier landings and flew 44 combat sorties over southern Iraq. After leaving active duty, he served as a Managing Director at a Wall Street volatility arbitrage options firm and was a founder and the CEO of a financial media company. He is an
and combined his experiences in the military and corporate America in his first book "From Sea Level to C Level."