More than $200 billion of investment-grade bonds could fall into the $1.2 trillion junk-grade category during the next economic downturn, Fitch Ratings estimates in a new report, adding to a growing chorus of regulators and Wall Street analysts warning of the risk.
What I would rather invest in to get similar yields.
Moody's Investors Service predicts active stock- and bond-picking firms' share of the money-management industry will be overtaken as soon as 2021 by 'passive' vehicles like index-tracking mutual funds and exchange-traded funds.
Look no further than Europe for why the Fed has make this shift.
Rob Isbitts, chief investment officer of Sungarden Fund Management, says that despite the past month of moderating emotions in the investment markets, we still are looking at an environment that offers danger and big gain potential at the same time.
The runaway growth of exchange-traded funds over the past decade shows no signs of abating, with a top industry forecaster now projecting the assets will surge at least 18% this year, topping $4 trillion for the first time.
Loans to companies with low credit ratings swelled by 15% last year to $1.3 trillion, prompting warnings from the Federal Reserve and International Monetary Fund. Yet Wall Street firms that are deeply immersed in the market, from banks including JPMorgan Chase to private-equity firms like Blackstone, say they don't see what the problem is.
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