The U.S. Treasury yield curve slipped into inversion for the first time in more than 12 years Wednesday.
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A new report from the Labor Department shows that consumer prices for goods and services rose by 2.2% over the past year, in an indication that businesses are starting to pass along higher costs from tight labor markets and trade tariffs imposed on Chinese imports. Some of the biggest price increases have come from furniture and bedding products.
The yield spread between 2-year and 10-year Treasury notes narrowed to the lowest level in more than a decade Tuesday, placing one of the most reliable recession indicators near the level that often signals a sharp economic slowdown.
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Speculation is growing that the Trump administration might intervene in global currency markets to push down the value of the dollar as part of his fight with China over allegedly unfair trade practices. But the consequence could be an erosion of the dollar's status as the world's reserve currency, which is at the heart of investors' willingness to buy U.S. Treasury bonds.
German bond yield spiked higher Thursday, pulling global government bonds along with them and boosting U.S. equity markets, following a report that suggested the government is mulling a spending package that could ignite growth in Europe's biggest economy.
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