NEW YORK (ETF Digest) -- What can rally markets off recent lows is this announcement from Bloomberg: "Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke will speak to an Atlanta Fed conference and after will engage in a brief, moderated Q&A session. Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart will also speak at various times during the conference, as will Boston Fed Pres. Eric Rosengren, in Stone Mountain, Ga." Bernanke et al are stock market tape watchers. No doubt focus groups are giving him some tidbits of QE hope for discouraged bulls. They'll be looking for it in any parsed phrase.

In China inflation data was reported as hot while at the same time authorities wished to ease. This is a contradiction and may not happen as now they'd be trapped. The eurozone is back center stage with reports of their recovery being greatly exaggerated. Spain is on deck and any austerity measures will be greeted with riots. The ECB has already printed nearly $1.3 trillion (about the same as the U.S. Fed) to stimulate and/or bailout their mostly southern neighbors. They may be tapped-out and if not they're just pushing on a string.

Earnings season will begin with Alcoa (AA) leading off once again. Judging by weak base metals prices (DBB & JJC) it's all about the outlook. Earnings growth is estimated at 3.2% growth for quarter one but if you strip-out Apple (AAPL) earnings this is whittled down sharply to 1.8%.

Oil prices (USO) were weaker on what is perceived as declining future demand notwithstanding Iranian issues. Gasoline prices (UGA) got left-wing politicos searching for someone to blame. Washington senator Maria Cantwell wants to pin the blame on ETFs which allow investors (gasp!) to hedge or speculate. She should look in the mirror and then she would know who really is to blame for 30 years of no new refineries being built due to counterproductive regulations. It's react and distract for many politicians looking for scapegoats in the retail sector of all places.

The dollar (UUP) was quite weak but mostly against the yen (FXY). Gold (GLD) rallied given dollar weakness and renewed demand from India. Again, here as well, the Indian government (nanny-state) relaxed duties on the metal. The big winner on the day was U.S. bonds as demand increased on weak economic data and stock prices.

Stocks sold-off early, rallied some off lows, then closed weaker sporting +/-1% losses overall. Volume remained light even as sell-stops were hit and breadth per the WSJ was decidedly negative. Perhaps institutions decided to sit this one out hoping and waiting for a Turnaround Tuesday.

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SPY - The SPDR® S&P 500® ETF is a fund that, before expenses, generally corresponds to the price and yield performance of the S&P 500 Index. Our approach is designed to provide portfolios with low portfolio turnover, accurate tracking, and lower costs.

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IWM - The

iShares

Russell 2000 Index Fund seeks investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance, before fees and expenses, of the small capitalization sector of the U.S. equity market as represented by the Russell 2000 Index. The index represents the approximately 2,000 smallest companies in the Russell 3000 Index.

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QQQ -

PowerShares

Capital Management LLC is passionate about our goal of delivering the highest quality investment management available through one of the more benefit-rich investment vehicles ever created, the exchange-traded

fund. PowerShares

QQQ¿, formerly known as "QQQ" or the "NASDAQ- 100 Index Tracking Stock®", is an exchange-traded fund based on the Nasdaq-100 Index®. The Fund will, under most circumstances, consists of all of stocks in the Index. The Index includes 100 of the largest domestic and international nonfinancial companies listed on the

Nasdaq

Stock Market based on market capitalization. The portfolio is rebalanced quarterly and reconstituted annually.

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Continue to U.S. Sector, Stocks & Bond ETFs

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XLK - The Technology Select Sector SPDR® Fund, before expenses, seeks to closely match the returns and characteristics of the Technology Select Sector Index (ticker: IXT). Our approach is designed to provide portfolios with low portfolio turnover, accurate tracking, and lower costs.

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SOXX - The iShares PHLX SOX Semiconductor Sector Index Fund seeks investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance, before fees and expenses, of U.S.-listed semiconductor stocks as represented by the PHLX Semiconductor Sector Index ("the Index").

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XLY - The Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR® Fund, before expenses, seeks to closely match the returns and characteristics of the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector Index. Our approach is designed to provide portfolios with low portfolio turnover, accurate tracking, and lower costs.

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XLB - The Materials Select Sector SPDR® Fund, before expenses, seeks to closely match the returns and characteristics of the Materials Select Sector Index. Our approach is designed to provide portfolios with low portfolio turnover, accurate tracking, and lower costs.

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XLI - The Industrial Select Sector SPDR® Fund, before expenses, seeks to closely match the returns and characteristics of the Industrial Select Sector Index. Our approach is designed to provide portfolios with low portfolio turnover, accurate tracking, and lower costs.

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XLF - The Financial Select Sector SPDR® Fund, before expenses, seeks to closely match the returns and characteristics of the Financial Select Sector Index. Our approach is designed to provide portfolios with low portfolio turnover, accurate tracking, and lower costs.

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IYR - The iShares Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate Index Fund seeks investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance, before fees and expenses, to the performance of the real estate sector of the U.S. equity market, as represented by the Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate Index.

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IYT - The iShares Dow Jones Transportation Average Index Fund seeks investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance, before fees and expenses, of Dow Jones Transportation Average Index.

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IEF - The

iShares

Barclays 7-10 Year Treasury Bond Fund seeks to approximate the total rate of return of the intermediate-term sector of the United States Treasury market as defined by the Barclays Capital U.S. 7-10 Year Treasury Bond Index.

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TLT - The

iShares

Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund seeks to approximate the total rate of return of the long-term sector of the United States Treasury market as defined by the Barclays Capital U.S. 20+ Year Treasury Bond Index.

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HYG - The iShares

iBoxx

$ Investment Grade Corporate Bond Fund seeks investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance, before fees and expenses, of the corporate bond market as defined by the

iBoxx

$ Liquid Investment Grade Index.

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Continue to Currency & Commodity Market ETFs

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UUP - The

PowerShares

DB US Dollar Bullish Fund (Symbol: UUP) is based on the Deutsche Bank Long US Dollar Index (USDX®) Futures Index¿ (DB Long USD Futures Index). The Index, which is managed by DB Commodity Services LLC, is a rules-based index composed solely of long USDX® futures contracts.

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FXE -

CurrencyShares

Euro Trust is designed to track the price of the euro net of Trust expenses, which are expected to be paid from interest earned on the deposited

euros

.

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FXY - CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust is designed to track the price of the Japanese Yen net of Trust expenses, which are expected to be paid from interest earned on the deposited Japanese Yen.

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GLD - The objective of the SPDR® Gold Trust¿ is for the Shares to reflect the performance of the price of gold bullion, less the Trust's expenses.

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GDX - The Gold Miners ETF seeks to replicate as closely as possible, before fees and expenses, the price and yield performance of the NYSE

Arca

Gold Miners Index. The Index provides exposure to publicly traded companies worldwide involved primarily in the mining for gold, representing a diversified blend of small-, mid- and large- capitalization stocks. As such, the Fund is subject to the risks of investing in this sector.

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SLV - The objective of the

iShares

Silver Trust is for the value of the shares of the

iShares

Silver Trust to reflect, at any given time, the price of silver owned by the

iShares

Silver Trust at that time, less the

iShares

Silver Trust's expenses and liabilities.

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DBB - The PowerShares DB Base Metals Fund (Fund) is based on the Deutsche Bank Liquid Commodity Index - Optimum Yield Industrial Metals Excess Return¿ (Index) and managed by DB Commodity Services LLC. The Index is a rules-based index composed of futures contracts on some of the most liquid and widely used base metals - aluminum, zinc and copper (grade A). The index is intended to reflect the performance of the industrial metals sector. You cannot invest directly in an index. Ordinary brokerage commissions apply.

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JJC - The Dow Jones-UBS Copper

Subindex

Total

ReturnService

Mark is a sub-index of the Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index Total

ReturnService

Mark and reflects the returns that are potentially available through an unleveraged investment in the futures contracts on physical commodities comprising the index plus the rate of interest that could be earned on cash collateral invested in specified Treasury Bills.

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DBC - The PowerShares DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund (Fund) is based on the Deutsche Bank Liquid Commodity Index -- Optimum Yield Diversified Excess Return¿ (Index) and managed by DB Commodity Services LLC. The Index is a rules-based index composed of futures contracts on 14 of the most heavily-traded and important physical commodities in the world. You cannot invest directly in an index. Ordinary brokerage commissions apply.

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USO - The United States Oil Fund, LP ("USO") is a domestic exchange traded security designed to track the movements of light, sweet crude oil ("West Texas Intermediate").

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UGA - The United States Gasoline Fund LP (UGA) is an exchange traded security that is designed to track in percentage terms the movements of gasoline prices.

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XLE - The Energy Select Sector SPDR® Fund, before expenses, seeks to closely match the returns and characteristics of the Energy Select Sector Index. Our approach is designed to provide portfolios with low portfolio turnover, accurate tracking, and lower costs.

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DBA - The

PowerShares

DB Agriculture Fund is based on the Deutsche Bank Liquid Commodity Index Diversified Agriculture Excess Return¿ and managed by DB Commodity Services LLC. The Index is a rules-based index composed of futures contracts on some of the most liquid and widely traded agricultural commodities. The Index is intended to reflect the performance of the agricultural sector. You cannot invest directly in the Index. Ordinary brokerage commissions apply.

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JJG - The Dow Jones-UBS Grains

Subindex

Total

ReturnService

Mark is a sub-index of the Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index Total

ReturnService

Mark and reflects the returns that are potentially available through an unleveraged investment in the futures contracts on physical commodities comprising the Index plus the rate of interest that could be earned on cash collateral invested in specified Treasury Bills. The Index is currently composed of three futures contracts on grains traded on U.S. exchanges.

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Continue to Overseas Sectors & ETFs

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EFA - The

iShares

MSCI EAFE Index Fund seeks to provide investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance, before fees and expenses, of publicly traded securities in the European, Australasian and Far Eastern markets, as measured by the MSCI EAFE Index.

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IEV -  The iShares S&P Europe 350 Index Fund seeks investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance, before fees and expenses, of 350 stocks providing geographic and economic diversity over 10 market sectors, as represented by the Standard & Poor's Europe 350 Index.

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EEM - The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index Fund seeks to provide investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance, before fees and expenses, of publicly traded securities in emerging markets, as represented by the MSCI Emerging Markets Index.

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EWJ - The

iShares

MSCI Japan Index Fund seeks to provide investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance, before fees and expenses, of publicly traded securities in the Japanese market, as measured by the MSCI Japan Index.

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EWA - The

iShares

MSCI Australia Index Fund seeks to provide investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance, before fees and expenses, of publicly traded securities in the Australian market, as represented by the MSCI Australia Index.

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EWC - The

iShares

MSCI Canada Index Fund seeks to provide investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance, before fees and expenses, of publicly traded securities in the Canadian market, as measured by the MSCI Canada Index.

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EWY - The

iShares

MSCI South Korea Index Fund seeks to provide investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance, before fees and expenses, of publicly traded securities in the South Korean market, as measured by the MSCI Korea Index.

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EWP - The iShares MSCI Spain Index Fund seeks to provide investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance, before fees and expenses, of publicly traded securities in the Spanish market, as measured by the MSCI Spain Index.

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EWG - The

iShares

MSCI Germany Index Fund seeks to provide investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance, before fees and expenses, of publicly traded securities in the German market, as measured by the MSCI Germany Index.

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EWZ - The

iShares

MSCI Brazil Index Fund seeks to provide investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance, before fees and expenses, of publicly traded securities in the Brazilian market, as measured by the MSCI Brazil Index.

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RSX - The Russia ETF seeks to replicate as closely as possible, before fees and expenses, the price and yield performance of the

DAXglobal

® Russia+ Index. The Index provides exposure to publicly traded companies that are domiciled in Russia, and traded in Russia and/or on leading global exchanges. As such, the Fund is subject to the risks of investing in this country.

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EPI -

WisdomTree

India Earnings Fund seeks investment results that correspond to the price and yield performance, before fees and expenses, of the

WisdomTree

India Earnings Index.

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FXI - The

iShares

FTSE China 25 Index Fund seeks investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance, before fees and expenses, of the FTSE China 25 Index.

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The

NYMO

is a market breadth indicator that is based on the difference between the number of advancing and declining issues on the NYSE. When readings are +60/-60 markets are extended short-term.

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The

McClellan Summation Index

is a long-term version of the McClellan Oscillator. It is a market breadth indicator, and interpretation is similar to that of the McClellan Oscillator, except that it is more suited to major trends. I believe readings of +1000/-1000 reveal markets as much extended.

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The

VIX

is a widely used measure of market risk and is often referred to as the "investor fear gauge". Our own interpretation is highlighted in the chart above. The VIX measures the level of put option activity over a 30-day period. Greater buying of put options (protection) causes the index to rise.

Continue to Concluding Remarks

We're short-term oversold and should get a bounce perhaps as early as tomorrow (Turnaround Tuesday). Volume was quite light and perhaps Bernanke will give bulls what they want Monday evening. Tuesday four Fed governors (Rosengrend, Kocherlakota, Fisher and Lockhart) will be making speeches pitching Fed policies.

Tuesday Alcoa will lead with earnings and expectations have been downgraded enough a beat could happen.  

Let's see what happens.

Disclaimer: The ETF Digest maintains active ETF trading portfolio and a wide selection of ETFs away from portfolios in an independent listing. Current positions if any are embedded within charts: Lazy & Hedged Lazy Portfolios maintain the follow positions: VT, MGV, BND, BSV, VGT, VWO, VNO, IAU, DJCI, VMBS, VIG, ILF, EWA, IEV, EWC, EWJ, EWG, & EWU.

The charts and comments are only the author's view of market activity and aren't recommendations to buy or sell any security.  Market sectors and related ETFs are selected based on his opinion as to their importance in providing the viewer a comprehensive summary of market conditions for the featured period.  Chart annotations aren't predictive of any future market action rather they only demonstrate the author's opinion as to a range of possibilities going forward. More detailed information, including actionable alerts, are available to subscribers at

www.etfdigest.com

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