: BP needs a British government bailout, like the U.S.
: BP is far from broke, like GM was, and hardly needing restructuring -- YET. Don't look for the British government to come in on this one. There aren't the same job risks. To put it succinctly, BP isn't "too big to fail."
: Does President Obama's speech about new energy policy provide any reasons to increase alternative energy investments? --
: As I said on
, I was disappointed with the president, who essentially made a call for a cap-and-trade bill that even Dems don't really like or think will help.
: So no boost for solar stocks like
or wind energy equipment makers like
? Safe to stick with oil (excluding BP)? And if so, which is the safest oil exploration outfit?
: I saw nothing in the speech to get me hot on solar or anything else. I've been a big advocate for XOM here, a long-term hold. Of the others,
is the most compelling.
: Out of the three -- BP,
-- which do you think will pay the least amount in consequences? --
: Halliburton seems the "safest" of the three.
: Did you see the video comparison from the 1979 spill? It's worth watching. The only thing advanced sine then is how to drill deeper. --
: Yes, the Ixtoc spill in 1979 was (formally) the largest to date. This one will eclipse that by a factor of perhaps three -- BP has literally poisoned the Gulf of Mexico.
: I like to track the crude six- and 10-month spreads and have seen your segments discussing how with the large spread we get an approximate floor of about 68-ish. The spreads have steadily contracted to about 4 for the six-month and 5 for the 10-month as of this morning. Is there a point where this contracts such that the current month's upside is capped? --
: Yes, but I'd look for a much flatter curve before I capped oil on the upside. The $5 12-month contango represents to me "neutral" comparative to where it was -- not bearish, but no longer intensely bullish.
: What do you think about the possibility of BP limiting their liability to their North American division, a $50 billion entity? --
: I'm no lawyer, but do not see how BP manages to shove all their liabilities into their NA division and walk away -- but again, I'm no lawyer.
: Do you in any way think that when all the numbers come in for all the damages thus far that BP can see a range of $17 to $24 a share for a real long time? --
: Anyone who thinks they can estimate liabilities and how this will all "play out" is rolling dice. Credit Suisse came up with a $37 billion number. How do they do that? Whatever, all I know is I wouldn't be long this stock on a bet.
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