Airbnb recently traded at $146.06, down 0.5%. The stock has firmed 1% since its first day of trading Dec. 10.
Goldman Sachs analyst Heath Terry has a neutral rating and a $143 price target on the San Francisco company.
“With management having significantly reduced costs in the early days of the pandemic, aligning the cost structure around the core alternative-accommodations business, the economics of the model at scale are among the most favorable that we see in the online travel space,” he wrote in a commentary.
“That said, at about 17 times 2022 Goldman Sachs's estimated sales, with a three-year compound annualized growth rate of 33%, versus comparisons at 5 times on 27% growth, ... much of this outlook is priced into shares of ABNB already and will look for better entry points.”
Morgan Stanley analyst Brian Nowak rates Airbnb equal weight, with a $140 price target.
He respects the company’s “verb status within alternative accommodations,” he wrote in a commentary. Airbnb enjoys an $810 billion total addressable market, which is growing, Nowak said.
“We like ABNB’s growth runway, as its $38 billion of 2019 gross bookings represents only 5% of the $810 billion,” the analyst wrote.
Further, “we expect brand leadership to drive scalable growth, even through investment (14% 2019-24 CAGR revenue, 18% 2024 Ebitda margin),” Nowak said. “But a 16 times revenue multiple seems full. … [We] await - entry point.”