Apple's Revenue Streams Are Still Flowing
Posted at 2:09 p.m. EST on Friday, March 4, 2016
What happened to all of those Apple(AAPL) - Get Report bears? Where are the people who urged you to trade out of it so you wouldn't be hurt by the next quarter? Where are the ones who were ferociously warning you about the gulf, the chasm, the Mariana Trench between here and the next iPhone iteration and how there was no other revenue coming in? Did they disappear? Go to work for Samsung? LG? (Apple is part of TheStreet's Action Alerts PLUSportfolio.)
Once again, I want to remind people that just because a stock sells at a price to earnings ratio of 9, that does not necessarily mean the earnings are about to fall off the cliff. It might mean people are just wrong about other income streams, like the burgeoning service stream that still does not appear in anyone's numbers or the increased number of retail outlets that are going to produce upside that no one is thinking about.
It is simply ridiculous that people don't understand Apple has an ecosystem and it is supported by many different income streams. It is inconceivable that people would write off the watch just because the first time out of the gate it wasn't that good. It is preposterous to think that a huge number of people won't want to gravitate to the iPhone 7, given that the CEOs of both T-Mobile(TMUS) - Get Report and Verizon(VZ) - Get Report -- the latter, Lowell McAdam, being close enough to the situation to know more than any of these channel-checking analysts.
To me, this might be the one "cyclical" that really hasn't had the run yet in a crowded trade where so much junk has been taken up.
Still worth a look, especially as you know the company just raised enough money to buy along with you.
At the time of publication, Action Alerts PLUS, which Cramer co-manages as a charitable trust, was long AAPL.
People Have Forgotten Why They Sold Tech Stocks
Posted at 6:32 a.m. EST on Wednesday, March 2, 2016
High growth does trade together. It's a fact, and the trigger is usually one or two stocks back to back, surprising to the upside or downside.
If you go back to the first week of February, you will find one of the worst tech selloffs I can ever recall, the one-two punch of Tableau Software(DATA) - Get Report and LinkedIn (LNKD) . If you remember, at the time both companies painted a picture of a softening economy, although Tableau pretty much told you that it would all be in stride -- talk about being too calm -- while LinkedIn did sound a real economic alarm.
Now, Tableau Software had a pretty dramatic deceleration of orders and we still can't figure, one month later, whether it was orders lost to others or if there is just some execution issues. But the idea that somehow the cloud has slowed for them is truly not the case, because it is an analytics company that happens to be involved with cloud-based companies, it is not a cloud company.
LinkedIn is a cloud-based company with analytics, worldwide, social, reach, and cognitive qualities all on a mobile device if you want it, with a huge and faithful following.
Those two knocked the stuffing out of every company in tech, whether it be FANG-Action Alerts PLUS holding Facebook(FB) - Get Report , Growth Seeker name Amazon.com(AMZN) - Get Report , Netflix (NFLX) - Get Report and Alphabet (GOOGL) - Get Report -- or salefsorce.com(CRM) - Get Report , Workday (WDAY) - Get Report , Red Hat (RHT) - Get Report and Adobe(ADBE) - Get Report , four actual cloud-based companies.
This was a real humpty-dumpty situation, and there was no way that you could put all of these companies' stocks back together again without concrete proof that the cloud and cognitive data and mobile and social -- all of a piece -- weren't dead.
In fact, most of the tech followers I know took it to mean "we are going into a recession, and it's even affecting the fastest growing companies."
Now, fast forward to last week. Salesforce.com was slated to come in with a weaker quarter. Why? Because of Linked in and Tableau Software, that's why. The rumors persisted that there was something very wrong going on and that business just had to be weak. Again, total extrapolation.
Then, when the company reported, it was a monster. But, again, people figured, OK, Benioff got it right. Nevertheless, he had to be the outlier. There was no way anybody else could do those kinds of numbers.
Well, that proved to be wrong; Workday delivered fabulous numbers. Truly great. And that one-two punch ignited the group.
It's funny, I know that you would think what would Workday and Salesforce.com have to do with Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, Google or Adobe or Skyworks (SWKS) - Get Report or Apple (AAPL) - Get Report , for that matter.
The answer is that they are all treated as if they are the same by this market. All of these stocks were crushed by the LinkedIn-Tableau Software battering. Now they are all being lifted by Workday and salesforce.com, as people recognize that the slowing economy isn'ttaking down tech, it just took down LinkedIn and Tableau Software.
It's almost as if people have forgotten why they sold them to begin with. And why not? There was no reason to do so in the first place.
At the time of publication, Action Alerts PLUS, which Cramer co-manages as a charitable trust, was long FB, GOOGL and AAPL.