Peter Tchir started his career at Bankers Trust and later at Deutsche Bank, running high-yield derivatives. He has traded all manner of fixed-income products, both on the sell side as a market maker and as a portfolio manager at a fixed-income hedge fund. During the financial crisis he ran the U.S. CDS-index business (made famous by The Big Short) for RBS.
Peter received B.S. in mathematics and computer sciences from the University of Waterloo and an MBA with distinction from Vanderbilt University, where he also won the Matt Wiggington Leadership Award for outstanding performance in finance.
There's a lot going on right now and the markets (and media) have difficulty latching on to more than three or four stories at a time.
This may be a case where the short-term damage to markets may be for the best in the longer run.
China trade is the president's 'immunity idol.'
I am still bearish on risk assets after an eventful week of news flow.
While the first round of tariff wars had little visible impact on the economy, companies or inflation, this time will be different.
This may be another example where the president likes to 'blow things up' at the 11th hour, primarily so he can personally ride to the rescue and negotiate "even better" terms.
What I expect from the Fed this week and how the markets will likely react.
My 'Hopium/Doomium' model has stood the test of time.
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