Ryan Sweet is a director at Moody's Analytics. He is a member of the U.S. macroeconomics team, responsible for forecasting high-frequency economic indicators. The team has received the Forecaster of the Month award from MarketWatch/Dow Jones on several occasions. Ryan gives regular talks on the U.S. economic outlook and U.S. monetary policy, and is a lead contributor to the Dismal Scientist Web site.
Ryan is also an adjunct professor in the Economics and Finance Department at West Chester University of Pennsylvania. He received his master's degree in economics from the University of Delaware and his bachelor's degree in economics from Washington College.
One emerging theme is that a good portion of the remaining problems in the job market appears to be structural.
Just because the U.S. job market growth seems to be cooling, doesn't necessarily mean the economy is in trouble. The bar is low for monthly job growth.
While the Fed is more likely historically to cut rates in December than increase them, expect a raise this year. But is it the right thing to do?
A new bill passed in the House of Representatives last week will threaten the Federal Reserve's independence, which could mean its hands would be tied in the next financial crisis.
A recent speech by a Federal Reserve Governor shows that significant differences between Janet Yellen and other Fed economists may be starting to show.
While a hit from Hurricane Joaquin could mean tragedy for the northeast, it may not mean an economic disaster.
Low oil prices and a solid economy could hand the 2016 presidency to the Democrats, according to the highly accurate Moody's Analytics election model.
The U.S. economic expansion is entering its seventh year, but it still has plenty of room to run.
There are hidden reasons why consumer spending might not pick up as anticipated.
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