There are many factors in play and many questions that can't be answered.
If you had any doubt the Federal Reserve would be hiking in June, doubt no more.
I am sizing the trade to give me good staying power in case we do something irrational.
Treasury rates are likely headed lower in the near term.
The idea that perhaps March's very low employment reading is just statistical noise is boosted by two facts.
I don't see much scope for rates to keep falling without a meaningful change in Fed expectations.
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